According to the provisions of the mainland refined oil price adjustment every 10 working days, the thirteenth oil price adjustment in 2024 will be ushered in at 24 o'clock on June 27, in the previous 12 adjustments, a total of 5 increases, 4 declines and 2 strandings, domestic gasoline prices have risen by nearly 400 yuan/ton compared with the previous year. At present, the domestic price of No. 92 gasoline is about 7.81 yuan, and the price of No. 95 gasoline is about 8.38 yuan.
At the beginning of June, due to the OPEC+ meeting's decision to continue the production cut agreement, and the plan for the fourth quarter of the oil producing countries to voluntarily reduce the impact of the withdrawal mechanism, as well as the overall poor international economic situation, investors are worried about the follow-up crude oil oversupply, international crude oil prices fell in response, Brent crude oil prices and WTI US crude oil prices moved down simultaneously, affected by this, domestic refined oil prices also ushered in the second largest decline in the year, down 190 yuan/ton overnight.
After entering a new round of oil price adjustment cycle, international crude oil prices opened low and went high, after a few days of narrow downward adjustment, Brent crude oil prices once rose above a high of $85, WTI US crude oil prices rose to a high of $81, although in recent days frequent ups and downs adjustment, but as of press time, Brent crude oil prices remained at $84.67, WTI US crude oil prices remained at $81.14, this round of oil price adjustment cycle, the comprehensive rate of change of international oil prices was 4.68%, The agency predicts that domestic gasoline prices will rise by 210 yuan/ton, which exceeds the previous maximum increase of 200 yuan/ton and reaches a new high.
There are still two working days before the oil price adjustment at 24 o'clock on June 27, due to the demand season for crude oil consumption in the United States, as well as the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East on crude oil production, it is expected that international oil prices will rise and fall in the next two days, and even if they fall, the range is limited, that is to say, the sharp rise in gasoline prices has been determined. If the increase in the last two days cannot be reduced, then oil prices will rise by the largest amount this year on the 27th. In the face of soaring oil prices, everyone remember to tell relatives and friends that the price of domestic gasoline will rise sharply on June 27, and everyone will arrange in advance to fill up the fuel tank along the way, so as not to spend more money at that time.
Pig prices "overnight face", after 3 consecutive days of sharp decline in pig prices to stop falling and rebound, in addition to individual areas of pig prices remain stable, the national pig price is basically "a red". Northeast rose 0.15-0.4 yuan/kg, pig prices in East China rose 0.05-0.3 yuan/kg, Central China rose 0.15-0.25 yuan/kg, North China pig prices rose 0.2-0.4 yuan/kg, Southwest pig prices rose 0.05-0.2 yuan/kg, South China pig prices were relatively stable, only Guangxi rose 0.05 yuan/kg. After the adjustment, the pig price in the southwest rose to 8.3-8.8 yuan, the pig price in the northeast rose to 8.6-9.0 yuan, the pig price in North China rose to 8.5-9.0 yuan, the pig price in South China was relatively stable at 8.6-9.2 yuan, the pig price in Central China rose to 8.5-9.0 yuan, and the pig price in East China rose to 8.7-9.2 yuan.
Pig prices can stop falling and rising, one is because of the breeding end of the price reluctance to sell, pig prices in just three days fell below 9 yuan, into the 8 yuan range, farmers slaughter a pig to earn nearly 100 yuan less, group pig farms by completing the monthly slaughter task of the confidence began to shrink the price, free-range households followed, slaughtering enterprises to collect pigs increased difficulty, can only raise the price to promote the volume. The second is because after the price of pigs fell, the cost of breeding fell again, before the success of the farmers seized the opportunity to step up the supplement, the market has appeared to grab pigs, the slaughtering enterprises to buy pigs are difficult to meet the needs of slaughter, take the initiative to give up the price reduction.
But pig prices lack the confidence to rise again, on the one hand, the current pork consumption demand is still in the off-season, although the banquet increases, the demand for catering consumption improves, but the daily consumption demand is sluggish, overall pork consumption compared with April and May has not improved significantly, there is only a further reduction in the amount of frozen meat in cold storage, but now the price of pork, slaughtering enterprises slaughtering and warehousing operations are very few.
On the other hand, in the next period of time, there will be a lot of two breeding and pressure of the pig to the time to go on the market, before the slaughter of the pig plus the normal slaughter of the pig, it is enough to meet the demand for pigs in the market, not to mention that the large pig market increases not only the number of supply, but also the average weight of the slaughter, the pork gap in the market will be easily filled.
It is believed that under the support of the breeding end of the price, the pig price is expected to return to 9 yuan, but affected by the sluggish demand, the pig price rise is difficult to continue, and then it will rise and fall around 9 yuan.