In late June, the pig market continued to be weak, and today's pig price finally reappeared "turnaround"! According to the monitoring of pig data, on June 26, the average price of three-yuan live pigs outside the country was 17.73 yuan/kg, up 0.08 yuan/kg from yesterday. The rapidly falling pig price finally stepped on the brakes, and the farmers breathed a sigh of relief, but the pig price fell to 17 yuan / kg, what impact will it have on the market in July?
Let's first take a look at the latest changes in pig prices in various provinces and cities.
According to the region, the pig price in the northern region has a strong "reversal". Among them, the northeast region changed the "declining trend", once again sounded the horn of pig price rise, especially Heilongjiang, a single-day increase of 0.33 yuan / kg, Liaoning performance is also good, compared with yesterday also rose 0.15 yuan / kg, the average price of live pigs in each region is between 17.55-17.74 yuan / kg, pig prices to open a new round of adjustment;
Pig prices in North China have turned red in an all-round way! Beijing and Tianjin have launched a counteroffensive, rising 0.29 and 0.30 yuan/kg respectively today, both of which rushed back to the 18 yuan/kg price area, and at the same time drove pig prices in other regions to stop falling and turn up; Pig prices in the northwest region rose at the same frequency, for example, Shaanxi and Gansu raised their respective prices by 0.13 yuan/kg, and the average price of pigs in each region was adjusted to between 17.13-17.93 yuan/kg, and the pig price market fluctuated and strengthened;
Pig prices in the southern region "changed face and broke through". Among them, the rally in central China was "rekindled", Henan, Hubei and Jiangxi rose by 0.11, 0.13 and 0.18 yuan/kg respectively, and the large field shrank and rose, and pig prices are expected to further rise in the short term; Pig prices in East China temporarily "stabilized" adjustment, in addition to Zhejiang rose 0.13 yuan/kg, Shandong, Fujian and other places pig prices rose and fell, the average price of pigs in each region was between 17.74-18.35 yuan/kg;
Pig prices in South China are "peak and loop", Guangdong, Guangxi, and Hainan have rebounded collectively, but the increase is not very eye-catching, and the overall price is mainly "stable", and the average price of live pigs in each region is between 17.58-18.15 yuan/kg; Pig prices in the southwest region rose and fell, Guizhou and Chongqing rose 0.16 and 0.25 yuan/kg respectively, and Yunnan fell 0.23 yuan/kg, and the game between supply and demand was fierce, and the average price of pigs in each region was adjusted to 16.78-17.64 yuan/kg.
On the whole, the price of live pigs has restarted to embark on the road of "counterattack" after a round of sharp decline. From the national pig price level, the current pig price "floor line" is 16.78 yuan / kg, and the pig price "ceiling" is 18.36 yuan / kg. Today's pig prices stopped falling and rebounded slightly, more or affected by sentiment, as the pig price fell to a low level, the breeding end of the bar price sentiment again, superimposed local and a small number of two breeding entry, the scale of the field homeopathic shrinkage pulled, boosted the pig price shock stronger.
The author believes that pig prices may have an emotional rebound in the past few days at the end of June, but the overall range is limited. For the trend of pig prices in July, the production capacity of the second breeding in the early stage is still in the release period, the supply pressure is still large, and the pig price market is still at risk of further decline.