Yesterday's review:
The public push England upset is playing again!
It's a pity for Slovakia, the style of play is tough, the counterattack is sharp, and the kick is respectable. It is no longer difficult to define the strength of the strong and weak teams on paper, and the tactical execution and the will to fight are the real kings!
In last night's game, England's promotion was the real upset.
Euro Cup: France vs Belgium
Start time: 07-02 00:00
More than 20 years ago, 30 kilometres from Borussia Dortmund, Didier Deschamps (the French manager) led the team to an important final for the first time as a manager. His Morocco lost 3-0 to Jose Mourinho's Porto, a game that also turned Mourinho's name into a magic bird, as it was the biggest upset in the Champions League that year.
However, from the perspective of 2024 compared to 2004, the tactical thinking of the two world-class coaches is more offensive, at least not too conservative.
And now, I think Didier Deschamps is the most conservative of the world's top managers, even more obscene than Mourinho.
He is France's longest-serving manager, winning the World Cup in 2018, reaching the final in 2022 and losing to Argentina on penalties. If you flip a little further, they also reached the final of the European Championship in 2016.
Considering France's poor performances in 2008, 2010 and 2012, Didier Deschamps' achievements in France are unprecedented.
But this year, France's performance plummeted, and after three group games, it was not only boring, but also extraordinary, playing three unconvincing half-time footballs.
- For example, in the 1-0 victory over Austria, France was actually beaten by the opponent in the first half, and it would be difficult for France to win if it were not for an own goal.
- In the 0-0 draw with the Netherlands, France might have gone home if it weren't for the referee blowing away a highly controversial goal from the Netherlands.
- In the 1-1 draw with Poland, France started all the main players in order to compete for the first place in the group, but was forced to draw by Poland, which had been eliminated early. ‘
Are you saying France doesn't want to win the group? They definitely want to, but maybe their strength doesn't allow it.
The group winners will not only face Turkey in the round of 16 (relatively weak), but will also be able to move into the bottom half of the bracket to avoid Spain, Germany and Portugal. ’
For more than a decade, a solid defense and individual offense have been the right strategy in international football.
But the question is, will the internationals be able to keep up with the clubs? Looking at this year's group stage, the competition, pressing, attacking rotation and cohesive attacking plan of the weaker teams can all be overperformed, such as Slovakia yesterday.
It is difficult for France to do this, because they promote individual heroism.
Today, Mbappe, who is the number 9, wants to come almost everything by himself, which can be said to be a big package. First snatched the captain's armband from Antoine Griezmann, and then it had to be a tactical system with itself at its core. If you watch the French game in the group stage, you will find that he is the sprint, he is the left and right drift, he is the retreat, the long shot is him, he is everywhere, and everyone else watches him perform.
Before the end of the first half against Poland, Mbappe scrambled to shoot before his team-mate Barcora.
Balcola has been in impressive form at club level, but lacks finishing ability at the moment – which is understandable for a player who has only played in the top five leagues for 18 months.
But for Dembele, now 27, there are not so many excuses.
In France's third game, Kante passed the ball to Dembele in the first half, and the latter kicked the ball into the three tiers of stands, not to mention the pass. Barcelona spent more than 100 million euros on him back then, but seven years later, Dembele still feels like a machine that can only dribble the ball in a straight line.
N'Golo Kante was France's best player in the first two games, and his dribbling and attacking prowess once again shone against Poland. However, he had three passes that were almost outrageously bad.
On the other hand, France's playmaker in midfield has always been Antoine Griezmann since Pogba and N'Golo Kante faded out of the scene, and he has always been France's best player, including at the World Cup in Qatar, and if I remember correctly, he is second only to Messi in the number of dangerous passes and chances created.
However, due to the poor performance in the first two games, Griezmann was directly abandoned in the game against Poland!
You must know that since Euro 2016, Griezmann has never played as a substitute in a major tournament! This is entirely indicative of what is wrong with France.
On the Belgian side, it has always been called the "crossroads of Europe", they speak Dutch, French, German, and they have attracted a lot of talent, such as Lukaku, who is actually Congolese, but he came to Belgium.
Such a structure is often infinitely magnified when it encounters problems, and it cannot be united. This is an important reason why Belgium has not been able to achieve good results in international competitions despite their strength.
Belgium's attitude can also be seen in the three group games:
In the first round against Slovakia, the Belgian team only ran 110.7 kilometers, and the opponent ran 117.3 kilometers!
In the second round against Romania, the Belgian team only ran 112.2 kilometers, and the opponent ran 116.1 kilometers!
In the final round and against Ukraine, the Belgian team only ran 109.1 kilometers, and the opponent ran 115.6 kilometers!
With less distance to run and sprint than their opponents in all three races, there is no doubt that Belgium's attitude is underpinned by the joy of victory rather than collective glory.
The data gives France a two-tier advantage, which is not too strong!
After all, France qualified from the group unbeaten but have scored just two goals in three games – an own goal and a Mbappe penalty.
The official set of statistics from the European Championship is interesting: only Serbia (3.8%) had a lower conversion rate than France and Belgium (both 4.2% – just two goals from 48 shots) in the three rounds of the group.
That is, France and Belgium are the second-to-last and third-highest goal efficiency of all teams.
Then I don't think much about it today, and I look forward to a double draw, followed by fewer goals (1+2).
Okay, that's all for today's game, what do you think of this game?
I'm Uncle Scum, if you like it, just move your fingers to pay attention to it, and then like it!
In today's other competitions, Uncle Scum will still send you text analysis in the evening.
If there is anything unclear, you can ask me, "Uncle Scum understands a ball", we will see you soon!