A-shares finally broke out today! The power of good policies is huge, indexes, sectors and individual stocks broke out across the board, especially the collective volume of Chinese asset stocks, the disk money-making effect has been greatly improved, and there are 5,100 shares rising at the close, a typical bull market.
Seriously, today's A-share sudden rise is really unexpected, but it rose too violently, the Shanghai Index rose more than 100 points in one breath to return to 2800 points, according to this pull up the Shanghai Index quickly repaired 2900 points, how to look at today's sudden surge in the market.
(1) Ignite the fuse of the A-share outbreak
In fact, investors who read the news will find that the fuse that really ignited the outbreak of today's A-share market is the three major policy benefits, which are as follows:
1. Reduce the reserve requirement ratio and policy interest rate, and drive the market benchmark interest rate downward.
2. Reduce the interest rate of the existing mortgage and unify the minimum down payment ratio of the mortgage.
3. Create new policy tools to support the development of the stock market.
After the three major policy guidelines came out, a series of favorable policy rules were announced at the same time, which were further implemented and directly benefited the economy, the property market and the stock market.
(2) The driving force for the outbreak of A-shares
Favorable policies are only the fuse of the outbreak, and the real driving force for today's A-share outbreak comes from the same three aspects, the same as follows:
1. The national team has shot, and today's Chinese assets have exploded across the board, with intraday diversified finance, liquor, securities and steel all rising by more than 5%, which is the real main force driving the outbreak of A-shares.
2. Incremental funds have entered the market in a big way, and the recent A-shares have been in a state of volume, and today's Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have increased by more than 300 billion.
3. The main capital has returned, and the main force is the most troublesome fund in A-shares, which is sold and cashed out almost every day; Today, the direction of the main capital has changed, from a net outflow to a net inflow, and the main inflow is more than 20 billion, which is very rare.
Therefore, the national team has made a move, the incremental funds have entered the market, and the main funds have returned, and many forces have promoted the explosion of A-shares all the way.
(3) Will A-shares rise sharply tomorrow?
If the policy supports the stock market to a big bull market, it will definitely rise sharply tomorrow, otherwise it will rise tomorrow and fall back again.
According to today's A-share rally, the probability of continuing to rise tomorrow is very high, and this probability is as high as 8%; Therefore, the trend of A-shares will continue to be optimistic about tomorrow, and investors will wait for a big return with peace of mind.
First: Because the sharp rise in A-shares this time is driven by the power of favorable policies, there will be more favorable policy rules issued in the future, which will continue to promote the sharp rise of A-shares.
Second: Because the national team has already shot, the weighted sector has collectively risen sharply, as long as the weighted stocks are launched in turn, it will inevitably promote the sharp rise of A-shares tomorrow.
Third: due to the entry of over-the-counter funds, A-shares have received incremental funds, and the over-the-counter selling pressure is very small, and a little incremental capital support can help A-shares continue to rise.
Final summary
It turns out that today's A-share outbreak is driven by favorable policies, but it is actually driven by the national team; Perhaps today's rise will ignite a big bull market in A-shares, as long as it maintains a big rise in two to three trading days, the A-share bull market will really come.
Therefore, the market of A-shares will continue to be bullish tomorrow, the reason is that the policy will continue to be powerful, the national team will shoot, and the incremental funds will run into the market, and it will be difficult for A-shares to rise tomorrow. #秋日生活打卡季#