In 2022, there are more black swans, more gray rhinos, and more unexpected farces for Modi.
When the world was paying attention to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and wondering whether the Russian military would show its sword to NATO, a "bizarre" farce occurred in India.
On January 18, the Indian destroyer HMS Ranville suddenly exploded off Indian waters, killing at least three people and injuring more than a dozen others.
The incident caused an uproar in India, because Indian intelligence services have just revealed that there are extremist forces that want to use drones to attack India.
There are at least 3 details worth noting.
First, the explosion of the "Ranville" can be regarded as India's "old" warship, from the commissioning to the present, it has been nearly 40 years, belongs to the Indian Navy's elder class warships.
From this point of view, the sudden explosion of the "Ranville" is not a surprise - often walking by the river, which can not get wet shoes. In the absence of maintenance, it is not surprising that destroyers are bound to have problems of one kind or another.
Second, judging by the reaction of the Indian military, this matter may not be so simple. The Indian military said it must thoroughly investigate the facts to find out why the Ranville exploded and whether it was related to internal forces.
The Indian military promised to give an account to the Indian military and civilians on this matter, and the fire caused by the explosion had been extinguished, the wounded had been treated, and the situation had not gotten out of control.
The Indian military believes that the explosion is unlikely to be caused by the failure of weapons and missiles, which means nothing more than that it is likely to be deliberately done by extraterritorial forces, militants or spies.
Because the "Ranville" will not explode suddenly for no reason, there will be something wrong with it.
Of course, there are no less recent farces in India.
In 2021, the Indian aircraft carrier suddenly caught fire, and although the fire was controlled, the aircraft carrier paid the price. Subsequently, another Indian destroyer caught fire and injured at least 4 people.
Now, the accident is the destroyer "Ranville", and the Reaction of the Indian military is still overwhelmed.
Judging from past examples, the results of the Indian military's investigation are likely to be inconclusive, and the matter will eventually be terminated.
Third, who did it? This is the top concern of the Indian military. During this period, India has repeatedly suffered the tragedy of Indian army attacks and many Indian soldiers being shot and killed by militants, respectively in Kashmir and the India-Myanmar border.
Whenever the Indian army assembles in the local area, the militants will be reduced to pieces, and when the main force of the Indian army leaves, the militants will jump out and make trouble.
If the Ranville explosion had been just an accident, everything would have been fine, but if the Ranville had been blown up, the situation would have been different.
You must know that at the time of the explosion, there were 340 Indian troops on the "Ranville", and if the opponent can complete the infiltration so easily, there must be spies to cooperate with external forces, otherwise it is unlikely to succeed.
This can't help but be reminiscent of another thing. At that time, the Indian aircraft carrier "Vikrant" was stolen, and the mysterious forces rushed into the command module of the aircraft carrier and stole classified information.
The Indian military felt "incredible" about the incident, but after the investigation, India still did not find the culprit behind it.
This makes people wonder: Is the Indian military's intelligence acquisition capabilities so vulnerable?
In fact, no matter who did it, whether it was a spy planted inside India, a retaliation against Indian militants, or just an accident, the results of the investigation will be inconclusive.
Because this has happened so many times, whether it is a warplane crash or a warship is burned, India can't find a reason.
Although India has not bragged about itself, it has always regarded itself as the "hegemon of South Asia", and even left the harsh words of "annexing Kashmir within a few years", nor did it find trouble for Pakistan and Nepal. But in terms of strength, India is still far from the five permanent members of the Security Council.
If India does not understand the principle of sharpening a sword in ten years, in time, it will surely cause trouble for itself because it is too ambitious, because the world has always spoken by strength.
How long a snack, India.