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3507+1647! Having affected 27 provinces, when will the epidemic be brought under control? Wu Zunyou's latest judgment!

Source: China Medical Tribune

From 0 to 24:00 on March 14, 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government) and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps reported 3,602 new confirmed cases. Among them, 3507 were indigenous cases:

There were 3,076 cases in Jilin City, including 2,601 cases in Jilin City, 460 cases in Changchun City, 10 cases in Yanbian Korean Autonomous Prefecture, and 5 cases in Siping City

There were 106 cases in Shandong, including 48 cases in Qingdao City, 19 cases in Binzhou City, 12 cases in Zibo City, 10 cases in Weihai City, 7 cases in Weifang City, 7 cases in Dezhou City, 2 cases in Rizhao City, and 1 case in Yantai City

There were 53 cases in Shaanxi, including 40 cases in Baoji City, 6 cases in Xi'an City, 4 cases in Hanzhong City, 2 cases in Tongchuan City, and 1 case in Xianyang City

There were 51 cases in Tianjin, including 26 cases in Wuqing District, 7 cases in Binhai New Area, 4 cases in Hexi District, 4 cases in Nankai District, 3 cases in Hongqiao District, 3 cases in Xiqing District, 2 cases in Jinnan District, and 2 cases in Baodi District

There were 48 cases in Guangdong, including 39 in Shenzhen and 9 in Dongguan

There were 33 cases in Fujian, including 31 in Quanzhou City and 2 cases in Xiamen City

There were 31 cases in Zhejiang, including 16 in Jiaxing City, 14 cases in Quzhou City, and 1 case in Jinhua City

There were 24 cases in Liaoning, including 9 cases in Dalian City, 8 cases in Yingkou City, 6 cases in Shenyang City, and 1 case in Fuxin City

There were 20 cases in Jiangsu, including 15 cases in Changzhou City, 3 cases in Lianyungang City, and 2 cases in Suzhou City

There were 13 cases in Hebei, including 5 in Langfang City, 4 cases in Handan City, and 4 cases in Cangzhou City

There were 10 cases in Chongqing, including 7 cases in Shapingba District, 1 case in Yubei District, 1 case in Banan District, and 1 case in Yongchuan District

There were 9 cases in Shanghai, including 3 cases in Minhang District, 2 cases in Huangpu District, 1 case in Xuhui District, 1 case in Hongkou District, 1 case in Pudong New Area, and 1 case in Songjiang District

There are 7 cases in Heilongjiang, all in Harbin City

There were 7 cases in Gansu, including 4 cases in Lanzhou New District, 2 cases in Lanzhou City, and 1 case in Baiyin City

There were 6 cases in Beijing, 2 cases in its Middle East District, 2 cases in Chaoyang District, 1 case in Xicheng District, and 1 case in Haidian District

There are 4 cases in Guangxi, all in Qinzhou City

There were 4 cases in Yunnan, including 3 cases in Dehong Dai Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture and 1 case in Honghe Hani and Yi Autonomous Prefecture

There are 2 cases in Guizhou, both in Zunyi City

Anhui 1 case, in Ma'anshan City

Henan 1 case, in Yongcheng

1 case in Hunan, in Changsha

31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government) and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps reported 1,768 new cases of asymptomatic infection, of which 1,647 were indigenous:

There were 991 cases in Jilin City, including 979 cases in Jilin City, 5 cases in Siping City, 3 cases in Changchun City, 2 cases in Yanbian Korean Autonomous Prefecture, and 2 cases in Meihekou City

There were 185 cases in Hebei, including 169 in Langfang City and 16 cases in Cangzhou City

There were 130 cases in Shanghai, including 24 cases in Jiading District, 23 cases in Minhang District, 22 cases in Pudong New Area, 21 cases in Huangpu District, 11 cases in Xuhui District, 9 cases in Songjiang District, 6 cases in Jing'an District, 4 cases in Jinshan District, 3 cases in Hongkou District, 3 cases in Fengxian District, 2 cases in Baoshan District, 1 case in Changning District, and 1 case in Yangpu District

There were 107 cases in Shandong, including 43 cases in Weihai City, 27 cases in Zibo City, 16 cases in Qingdao City, 12 cases in Weifang City, 6 cases in Dezhou City, 2 cases in Binzhou City, and 1 case in Yantai City

There were 68 cases in Guangdong, including 46 cases in Dongguan City, 21 cases in Shenzhen City, and 1 case in Zhongshan City

There are 30 cases in Fujian, all in Quanzhou City

There were 27 cases in Jiangsu, including 9 cases in Lianyungang City, 8 cases in Suzhou City, 6 cases in Changzhou City, 2 cases in Yangzhou City, 1 case in Nanjing City, and 1 case in Wuxi City

There were 24 cases in Yunnan, including 18 cases in Dehong Dai Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture and 6 cases in Honghe Hani and Yi Autonomous Prefecture

There were 20 cases in Gansu, including 12 cases in Lanzhou City, 6 cases in Baiyin City, and 2 cases in Lanzhou New District

There were 19 cases in Guangxi, including 11 in Chongzuo City, 5 cases in Qinzhou City, and 3 cases in Fangchenggang City

There were 11 cases in Anhui, including 9 cases in Ma'anshan City, 1 case in Tongling City, and 1 case in Bozhou City

There were 9 cases in Liaoning, including 8 in Dalian City and 1 case in Yingkou City

There were 8 cases in Heilongjiang, including 7 in Harbin City and 1 case in Mudanjiang City

There were 7 cases in Zhejiang, including 4 cases in Hangzhou City, 2 cases in Quzhou City, and 1 case in Huzhou City

There were 4 cases in Tianjin, including 2 cases in Wuqing District, 1 case in Xiqing District, and 1 case in Binhai New Area

There were 2 cases in Chongqing, both in Shapingba District

There are 2 cases in Sichuan, both in Yibin City

1 case in Jiangxi, in Yichun City

(Information from the official website of the National Health Commission)

Restrict the movement of people in many places!

Jilin stipulates that private movements should be held accountable

Shandong 3 places implement personnel stationary

At present, the epidemic situation in the country is spread in many places, and many places have adjusted their epidemic prevention policies to restrict the movement of people in the region. Among them, Jilin Province clearly stipulates that those who move across regions in violation of the law will be held accountable in accordance with relevant laws and regulations.

Jilin Province: It is forbidden for people in this province to move across provinces and cities and prefectures

On March 14, according to the news released by Jilin Province, in order to reduce the spillover and spread of the epidemic caused by inter-provincial and inter-municipal movement, from March 14, 2022, the movement of people in this province (especially Changchun and Jilin) across provinces and cities and prefectures is prohibited. If there are special circumstances that need to leave the province and the city and state where you are located, please register at the local police station, and the unit and community should supervise the whole process, and after returning, isolate and control in accordance with relevant regulations. Those who violate the regulations and move across regions without permission will be investigated for responsibility by the discipline inspection and supervision organs and public security organs in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the Prevention and Control of Infectious Diseases" and other laws and regulations.

Shenzhen, Guangdong: Stop all non-essential mobile activities

From March 14 to 20, Shenzhen citizens will enter a 7-day "slow life". On March 14, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, held a press conference on the prevention and control of the new crown pneumonia epidemic to announce that Shenzhen has comprehensively upgraded its prevention and control measures and implemented them from the 14th to the 20th. The upgraded prevention and control measures will reduce the flow of people while protecting the lives of citizens to the greatest extent.

Shenzhen municipality requires that government agencies and institutions work from home, non-urban security enterprises stop operating or work from home, stop all non-essential mobile activities, in addition to ensuring the operation of the city and the transportation of materials and freight supplied to Hong Kong, Shenzhen city bus subway suspension, the city's community community urban villages, industrial parks to implement closed management.

Three places in Shandong: Implement "personnel stillness" from now on

On March 13, Pingyuan County of Shandong Province, Huantai County of Zibo City, Shandong Province, and Wenchang Lake Provincial Tourism Zone of Zibo City, Shandong Province issued a notice that since March 13, the county (district) has implemented the static personnel, static at home, static in situ, and static in the original post, and carried out multiple rounds of screening of key personnel in the county (district).

During the period of rest, strictly abide by the requirements of epidemic prevention and control work, do not go out, do not gather, do not move around at will, open windows and ventilate on time, and exercise reasonably. During the period of rest, except for personnel engaged in work related to epidemic prevention and control, personnel of enterprises related to epidemic protection and necessary people's livelihood, and staff of large supermarkets and other staff who enter and exit with the county epidemic prevention and control headquarters pass, other residents are stationary at home. If you need to buy daily necessities, please contact your village or community in time.

Xi'an City, Shaanxi Province: All personnel do not leave the city unless necessary

According to CCTV News, in order to prevent the spillover of the epidemic, from March 15, Xi'an City has strengthened the management of exit channels, all personnel do not need to leave the city, and those who really need to leave the city need to hold a green code of Xi'an one-code pass and a 48-hour negative nucleic acid test certificate; in principle, the district and county personnel in the medium- and high-risk areas cannot leave the city, and if they really need to leave the city due to special matters such as going out for medical treatment, on this basis, they also need to hold the exit certificate, and pass after inspection.

Expressways, national and provincial trunk roads, city boundary roads out of the city bayonet and "one two stations" to strengthen the control of people leaving the city, for all people leaving the city must check the Xi'an one-code green code, 48 hours of negative nucleic acid test certificate before they can be released. All districts, counties and development zones should strictly implement the territorial responsibility of preventing the spillover of the epidemic. Where personnel in the district and county of the medium- and high-risk area really need to leave the city due to special circumstances, the epidemic headquarters of the district, county or development zone where they are located shall issue a certificate of departure from the city.

Two poisons in one!

The "Delta Croon" variant was confirmed for the first time

According to the American fun science website reported on March 11, French scientists confirmed for the first time through genome sequencing that the new coronavirus "deltacron" variant, which has attracted a lot of attention before, does exist, which combines the mutations in the delta variant of the new coronavirus and the Omicron variant. Currently, related cases have been reported in both the United States and Europe.

Researchers at the Mediterranean Institute for The Medical and Pedagogical Institute of Infectious Diseases in Marseille, France, published an article on medRxiv on the medical research paper preprint website on March 8 that they confirmed the existence of this new variant through genome sequencing. Moreover, the variant has been detected in several regions of France.

In addition, data from the Global Influenza Shared Database (GISAID) shows that cases related to Delta Kerong have also been detected in Denmark and the Netherlands. Helix, a California-based genetic research company, found two cases in the United States. According to the British "Guardian", the United Kingdom has confirmed about 30 cases of "Delta Kerong". And, according to GISAID, this new variant may have spread among the population since January.

Maria van Kirkkhoff, head of coronavirus technology at the World Health Organization (WHO), said at a news conference that so far, scientists have not found any change in the severity of the new variant compared to previous variants of the new coronavirus, but many scientific studies are underway.

Krkhof said: "Unfortunately, we do see the emergence of new recombinants because viruses are like that, and they change over time. The new crown virus has a strong ability to spread, it will infect animals, and it may infect humans again. ”

3507+1647! Having affected 27 provinces, when will the epidemic be brought under control? Wu Zunyou's latest judgment!

has affected 27 provinces,

What is the overall situation of the current round of epidemics in the mainland?

According to experts, from March 1 to 13, the cumulative number of infected people reported by the local epidemic has exceeded 10,000, affecting 27 provinces across the country.

At present, what is the overall situation of the current round of epidemics in the mainland? What stage of development is it in? Come and listen to the introduction of Lei Zhenglong, a first-level inspector of the Deputy Director of the Disease Control Bureau of the National Health and Health Commission.

Lei Zhenglong, deputy director of the Disease Control Bureau of the National Health Commission and first-level inspector:

Affected by the fourth wave of the new crown pneumonia epidemic in the world, especially the high epidemic in China's neighboring countries and regions, the pressure of imports outside the mainland is increasing, and the local cluster epidemic situation shows the characteristics of many points, wide coverage and frequent occurrence.

From March 1 to 13, more than 10,000 cases of infection have been reported in the local epidemic, affecting 27 provinces across the country. Recently, the epidemic situation in Jilin, Shanghai, Guangdong and other places is still developing, the epidemic situation in some areas has risen rapidly, and the epidemic in Inner Mongolia is in the final stage.

Experts believe that at present, the overall prevention and control of the epidemic in the mainland, the general strategy of external prevention and internal prevention and rebound, and the general policy of "dynamic zeroing" to deal with the epidemic situation of the Aumi Kerong mutant strain, but the characteristics of the Faster spread and strong concealment of the Aumi Kerong mutant strain require our prevention and control measures to be earlier, faster, stricter and more solid.

Wu Zunyou, chief expert in epidemiology at the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, said that this is due to the strong infectivity, strong concealment, mild symptoms and difficulty of detection, making it more difficult to find the earliest cases at the first time. Therefore, the current round of epidemics has occurred at multiple points, multiple provinces, and multiple epidemics at the same time.

What is antigen testing?

Can self-test results replace nucleic acid results?

In the past two days, "antigen detection" has attracted much attention. On March 12, the State Food and Drug Administration issued a notice approving the official listing of five new crown antigen self-test products. Yesterday, the State Food and Drug Administration approved the registration application of 5 new crown antigen products. Since then, a total of 10 new crown antigen self-test products have been officially launched.

3507+1647! Having affected 27 provinces, when will the epidemic be brought under control? Wu Zunyou's latest judgment!

So, what is antigen detection? Can self-test results replace nucleic acid results?

The relevant person in charge of the National Health Commission said that due to the superposition of imported cases and local cases, the current epidemic situation in China is locally clustered and multi-point sporadic. In view of the transmission characteristics of Omi kerong, the monitoring mode of "antigen screening and nucleic acid diagnosis" is promoted, and residents can purchase tests by themselves, which is conducive to early detection and improving the sensitivity of monitoring and early warning.

Experts say antigen detection is fast and convenient. The sooner the infected person is detected, the less the virus spreads, the faster we can take preventive measures, and the faster we can eventually achieve "dynamic zeroing" at a faster speed.

According to the "Basic Requirements and Procedures for Self-Testing of New Coronavirus Antigens" issued by the National Health commission, it is clear that the self-testing of new coronavirus antigens is applicable to isolated observers and community residents.

When will the outbreak be brought under control?

Wu Zunyou: It will definitely be clearly controlled in the next few weeks

On March 14, Wu Zunyou, chief epidemiologist of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, posted a weibo post to analyze why there has been a multi-point cluster of epidemics recently and make the latest judgments on the epidemic situation.

Full text of Wu Zunyou's Weibo:

On March 13, there were 1,337 new locally confirmed CASEs of COVID-19 nationwide, involving 16 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government, including Jilin, Shandong, Guangdong, Shaanxi, Hebei, Shanghai, Tianjin, Jiangsu, Gansu, Liaoning, Heilongjiang, Beijing, Zhejiang, Chongqing, Yunnan and Guangxi. The epidemic situation is very serious.

The emergence of this local cluster of epidemics at the same time at multiple points is affected by the high incidence of the epidemic in the world, especially in Asia. Since January 2022, the mainland has reported a marked increase in local clusters, with an average number of outbreaks per month about ten times higher than last year and the previous year. Imported cases are mainly from neighboring countries and regions.

Second, it is highly contagious by the Aomi Kerong mutant strain. The new crown cases reported by the recent outbreak in the mainland are mainly the Omikerong variant, accounting for about 80%. Omikeron is divided into four genotypes, and the main popular ones on the mainland are BA.2 and BA.1.1. The Omiljun strain BA.1 spreads about 70% faster than the Delta strain, and BA.2 spreads more than 60% faster than BA.1.

Third, most of the covid-19 infected people affected by the recent epidemic are asymptomatic or have mild symptoms that make it difficult to detect. Since about 90% of people have completed the new crown vaccination, the population already has a certain immunity, and at the same time, the Omiljung strain is relatively weak, which makes a considerable proportion of infected people have no symptoms or symptoms are particularly mild, which makes it difficult to find the epidemic prevention and control. Therefore, this requires that our prevention and control measures be able to catch outbreaks more sensitively and respond more quickly and accurately.

3507+1647! Having affected 27 provinces, when will the epidemic be brought under control? Wu Zunyou's latest judgment!

"Dynamic zero clearance" is still our general policy to control this epidemic, requiring all localities to detect the epidemic in time, block the transmission in time, and treat patients in time, so as to find, control and eliminate together. At present, the main measures for the detection of the epidemic include: isolation and observation of inbound personnel, daily monitoring of personnel involved in overseas cold chain and freight, isolation and observation of close contacts, nucleic acid testing of patients with fever or suspected colds, nucleic acid testing of local populations of a certain scale or multiple rounds of local nucleic acid testing after the outbreak of the epidemic, and so on. These measures to detect the epidemic must be implemented early, quickly and accurately in order to contain the epidemic in the bud. Measures to interrupt transmission mainly include: personal protective measures such as wearing masks, hand hygiene and social distancing, restricting the movement of people in local confinement during the outbreak of the epidemic, isolating close contacts or sub-close contacts, and treating COVID-19 patients. Treatment measures mainly include: traditional Chinese medicine treatment, convalescent plasma or neutralizing antibody application, symptomatic treatment, special drugs, psychological rehabilitation treatment, etc.

The comprehensive application of measures such as finding the epidemic, blocking transmission, and treating patients constitutes the core content of "dynamic zeroing". The soul of "dynamic zero clearance" is to cut off the transmission chain in a timely, accurate and completely clean manner, so as not to let the virus continue to spread in the population and eliminate the virus at the location of the epidemic.

Although the current epidemic situation facing the mainland is very severe, compared with the sharp increase in the number of new cases and the continued increase in deaths in a single day when the Aumicron strain attacked European and American countries and neighboring countries, we have achieved great success in epidemic prevention and control. Under the guidance of the general policy of "dynamic zero clearance", as long as we overcome the paralyzing thinking, continue to work hard, adhere to strict prevention and control, and solidly implement various epidemic prevention and control measures for normalization and prevention, the national epidemic situation will certainly be significantly controlled in the coming weeks.

3507+1647! Having affected 27 provinces, when will the epidemic be brought under control? Wu Zunyou's latest judgment!

@Wu Zunyou Weibo screenshot

Synthesized from: National Health Commission, CCTV News Client, China News Network, Global Network, @Wu Zunyou, People's Daily Health Client, Tencent News, etc

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