The Chinese Coast Guard is serious about the Philippines, Marcos fiercely protests, and the US aircraft carrier quickly retreats, has the overall situation in the South China Sea been decided?
Recently, the China Coast Guard issued the Regulations on Administrative Law Enforcement Procedures for Coast Guard Agencies, which stipulates that foreigners who violate entry and exit regulations can be detained for no more than 30 days with the approval of the coast guard, and can be extended to less than 60 days if the case is complicated. This is Order No. 3 issued by the China Coast Guard, which, in combination with Order No. 1, stipulates that "the China Coast Guard has the right to pursue criminal liability for foreigners and vessels engaged in illegal activities in waters under China's jurisdiction, and to take measures such as arrest, seizure, and confiscation". It is not difficult to see that China has begun to "take action" and safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity at the legal level, and the game in the South China Sea is entering a new stage.
Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos quickly came out to express his stance on China's approach, saying that China's approach was "unacceptable" and that the Philippines would "vigorously defend its territory." This kind of "opposition" voice is not new, in the process of the Philippine coast guard ships frequently invading China's islands and reefs, and being forced back by the Chinese coast guard water cannons, the Philippines has also repeatedly expressed "opposition", but judging from China's actions, Marcos's opposition is ineffective, China's various layouts in the South China Sea will not only not stagnate, but will continue to increase, and the Philippines in addition to hyping up international public opinion and winning sympathy with the posture of "weakling", in the face of China has no resort, and the pressure on the South China Sea is giving the United States.
Not long ago, the Philippines organized a number of civilian ships to try to forcibly enter Scarborough Shoal, but were scared back by the Chinese Coast Guard and PLA warships, and the US side stood idly by. Before the words of the China Coast Guard's No. 3 order fell, the US aircraft carrier "Roosevelt" escaped from the battle and hurriedly retreated 2,000 kilometers south; On May 16, the U.S. assistant secretary of defense called the Chinese side overnight to communicate on the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea, and the Chinese and U.S. defense ministers may meet in Singapore this month. It is not difficult to see from all kinds of indications that the United States has no interest in "coming out" for the Philippines, and it is the biggest goal of the United States to use the Philippines as a "pawn" to make China "uncomfortable" in the South China Sea.
After China's "real move" in the South China Sea, the US Department of Defense has repeatedly sought dialogue with China, which shows that maintaining a stable China-US military relationship is very important to the US side, and military conflict is not what the US side wants. Under this premise, if the Philippines plays with fire in the South China Sea, it will be abandoned by the United States again. Relying on the US side, the Marcos administration will only replicate the farce of 2016 by making harsh words and "touching porcelain" against China. For the Philippines, China is a rare opportunity for development, China's imports, investment and infrastructure are of great significance to the Philippines, and the success of China-Philippines cooperation is a key factor for the Philippine economy to maintain sustained growth.
At present, China's layout in the South China Sea is gradually becoming clearer, after diplomatic communication with many ASEAN countries, the military deployment of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) followed, and the No. 3 order of the China Coast Guard fills the gap in law enforcement.