In order to prevent the recurrence of the Cuban missile crisis, the United States has made two-handed preparations, the focus is to stabilize China, the United States and Russia are both roasted on the fire, the key depends on how China chooses!
The United States continues to "speak softly" in the hope of stabilizing Sino-US relations
The relationship between China, the United States, and Russia is complex, so complex that if one side makes a change, the other two sides will inevitably make adjustments to achieve a delicate dynamic balance. The visit of the Russian nuclear submarine squadron to Cuba will give China and the United States an opportunity to increase communication and allow China and the United States to reach consensus on certain issues.
U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Campbell said at the Stimson Center, a think tank in Washington, D.C., on June 12 that China's current focus is on the economy, and China is determined to work to stabilize China-US relations. To do this, "China needs to reassure investors" that it "is economically planned and does not seek friction or even unpredictable danger of intensification." ”
On the Korean Peninsula issue, Campbell insisted that "China is worried about the strengthening of relations between Russia and North Korea"; As for the United States, the concern is what Russia will give North Korea, whether it is energy, improving nuclear missiles and missile capabilities, or hard currency, which the United States does not know at the moment.
At the end of his speech, Campbell also said with deep meaning: "I hope that China and the United States can solve certain problems necessary to maintain the global economy without violating national security, which requires both sides to be cautious and strengthen cooperation." This, of course, is one of the most daunting challenges facing U.S. foreign policy.
Shortly after Campbell's speech, the leaders of the United States and Ukraine signed a 10-year security agreement on the 14th, in which the United States promised to provide Ukraine with possible assistance covering F16 fighter jets, precision-guided bombs, armored combat vehicles on the ground, personnel training, etc. By the way, Biden and Zelensky both mentioned China.
Zelensky said that China promised not to give Russia weapons and hoped that China would do what it said. Biden added that China did not supply weapons to Russia, but provided the technology and capabilities to produce weapons, which actually helped Russia. Finally, Zelensky also affirmed China's "peace plan", believing that China and Ukraine can find a point of convergence for dialogue.
It is unimaginable that the United States and its allies have successively "spoken soft words" to China, which is extraordinary at a time when Russia is attacking Kharkiv on a large scale and the confrontation between China and the United States is becoming increasingly fierce. It can only be said that the United States is in trouble, and this trouble keeps the United States awake at night, and it has to make adjustments in some aspects.
The visit of Russian nuclear submarines to Cuba has put full pressure on the United States
The incident is supposed to be related to the visit of a Russian nuclear submarine formation to Cuba and the public test launch of a "classified weapon" in the Atlantic.
According to John Kirby, coordinator of strategic communications at the White House National Security Council, and Sabrina Singh, spokeswoman for the US Department of Defense, the visit of the Russian formation to Cuba will not pose a threat to the United States, but the United States will continue to monitor all foreign ships operating in the vicinity of US territorial waters.
Russia's approach reminds the United States of the missile crisis that occurred in the last century, when the same Russian-style formation entered the Cuban port, but 62 years ago the adversary unloaded nuclear weapons, and now the Russian nuclear submarine is only symbolically turning around in the "back garden" of the United States, but its influence cannot be underestimated.
One is that the United States is worried that Russia will give Cuba a "big mushroom", which means that the whole of North America will be shrouded in the shadow of nuclear war from now on; Second, Central and North American countries are likely to ride the wall and no longer regard the United States as the sole hegemon in the region; Third, the United States had to deploy more troops to guard against Cuba, and US military spending increased significantly.
From a strategic point of view, the Putin government copied Biden's "old bottom", which made the opponent feel unprecedented pressure; From a tactical point of view, Russia has the ability to have local frictions and even war with the United States, which is tantamount to forcing the United States to come out of the field.
Of course, this does not mean that the United States seeks to improve Sino-US relations and make China its friend, but it only proves that the United States is not capable of doing enough to avoid China and Russia joining forces and attacking from multiple fronts, so that it can ignore the tail end and be tired of coping. See, the Russian nuclear submarine just stirred its wings slightly, which made the United States feel the slightest chill.
What we want to say is that with Russia in the front and the United States in full force, it may be possible to prevent the outbreak of the Taiwan Strait crisis from being delayed. After all, Russia's nuclear forces have entered Central and North America, and Russia has hinted at supplying weapons to America's enemies, which is tantamount to making the US-Russia struggle surpass the Sino-US struggle and rise to the first place.
The United States and Russia are both roasted on the fire, and the key depends on China's choice
I would like to make three points.
1. Russia launched an attack, and the United States either chose to fight hard, or sought to stabilize Sino-US relations, so that Russia could stand alone in the wind.
2. Russia's situation is not optimistic. After more than two years of war, Russia's political ecology and social order have undergone major changes, and Russia has rapidly declined from a world military power to a second-rate country. This can only happen in the context of war, and unfortunately, Putin may be following the path of the United States.
3. Both the United States and Russia have been placed on the barbecue grill, and they have called on China to take sides. It is believed that China will continue to "endure the moment" and balance Sino-US and Russian relations as much as possible to keep itself away from right and wrong. As for the trade war between China and the United States and China and the European Union, and the science and technology war, I believe that this is the inevitable challenge that China will experience before it becomes the new center of the world.
In short, China's position is slightly stronger than that of the United States and Russia, simply because China adheres to the concept of "prudent warfare", and the United States and Russia may have made the wrong choice.