Coptis chinensis
Coptis chinensis has a long growth cycle, and it is difficult to recover the yield in a short time. Large goods are gathered in the hands of a small number of merchants, and the market price is firm and upward. At present, the transaction price of the unified goods in the Bozhou market is 450 yuan, which continues to rise compared with the previous one, and merchants pay close attention to its future trend.
In 2010, Coptis chinensis entered an upward channel, and by 2011 it had risen to about 100 yuan, but it soon fell to around 70 yuan. From 2012 to the first half of 2016, the price of Coptis chinensis rose and fell repeatedly around 75-85 yuan, once soaring to about 90 yuan, and also fell to about 62 yuan. In 2020, it was still hovering around 110 yuan (chicken feet), and the price has reached a high price of 320 yuan on May 29, 2023.
After more than 20 years, Coptis chinensis has encountered its own big cycle and created the current glory, and this glory may continue in the future until the production capacity increases and the funds cannot be leveraged.
秦艽
Qin Gang, the recent popularity of the production area is stronger, the large goods are difficult to organize, the market is gradually rising, and the market price of Anguo is changing, and the local unified goods are asking for 65-68 yuan, and the cut price is 74 yuan; The Yulin market is now between 68-70 yuan.
Yunnan family Qin Gang planting benefits are acceptable, the planting area has not changed significantly, but the main reason is that it is concentrated in the production area, there are more participants, and it is also a variety that is very easy to be concerned by funds, with the continuous export of the source of goods in the production area, the future market of Qin Gang is still optimistic about some businesses, but for the future market changes also depend on the game between the holders and the actual market demand, as well as the promotion of popularity and capital intervention are key.
Snake Floor
It is rumored that the production of the origin has decreased, the market attention has increased, the supply of goods has accelerated, the market has risen steadily, and the market has a net value of about 27 yuan.
Due to the continuous low price, the price of new production in 2019 has a slight upward trend, the price has risen to 12-13 yuan, and will run below 14 yuan until the beginning of 2021; In 2021, the output is still not large, and the price of new production has risen to 17-18 yuan, and by 2022, the price will fall back to about 15 yuan due to the impact of new goods and the supply of goods in the market.
Buddha Hand
Recently, the market sentiment has increased, the overall trend of the market supply has turned faster, and the market has risen, with the lotus pond market including 54 yuan for thin slices and 48-50 yuan for thick slices. The supply of goods in Anguo market is sold smoothly in batches, and the market is rising, and the price of Sichuan goods in the market ranges from 48 to 55 yuan, and the price of Guangdong goods is 60 yuan; The general price of the whole film in the Yulin market is between 56-58 yuan.
From 2017 to October 2019, bergamot hovered around 30-35 yuan for nearly three years, suddenly rose to about 40 yuan in November 2019, hovered around 42 yuan in 2020 for nearly a year, steadily climbed from 45 yuan to about 75 yuan in 2021, the highest price rose to 90 yuan in September, and floated above 70 yuan before the new production in 2022, and the price fell to about 50 yuan after the new production. In 2023, Bergamot will run around 55-60 yuan for nearly a year, and the current Guangdong goods are 55 yuan, Sichuan goods are 46 yuan, and Guangxi goods are 43 yuan.
The cycle of bergamot is 3-4 years, and the current price is not high, nor is it low. The price of bergamot rises and falls in the future, mainly depending on whether the weather is good.
Shaenzi
Shayuanzi, the recent business purchase efforts have not decreased, the market continues to rise, and now the general price of Shayuanzi in Anguo market is 120 yuan. The price of Shayuanzi in Yulin market also continued to rise, and the current asking price of market merchants was also higher than that of the previous period, and the general goods rose to between 120-130 yuan.
Before 2009, the price of this variety fluctuated around 20 yuan, and in 2010, the price broke through the 100 yuan mark. The high price stimulated the enthusiasm of farmers, and after large-scale planting and inventory accumulation from 2011 to 2013, the price returned to around 20 yuan. From 2014 to 2020, the output and inventory of Shayuanzi were basically synchronized with the demand, and the price fluctuated between 20-40 yuan. In October 2021, affected by large-scale heavy rainfall in Shanxi and Shaanxi, the yield of Shayuanzi planting area in Dali County was reduced by more than 50% in a large area due to waterlogging. The empty inventory and the reduction of production have led to a continuous increase in the price of Shayuanzi in 2023, and the current market asking price of qualified goods is around 115 yuan.
Thirty-seven
Recently, the number of merchants looking for goods has increased, the heat, the market has risen, the supply of goods is sold smoothly, and now the price of 120 heads of Sanqi in Anguo market is 155 yuan, 60 heads are quoted at 165 yuan, and 20 heads are 245 yuan; The price of 120 heads in Yulin market is about 145-150 yuan, 155 yuan for 80 heads, and 165 yuan for 60 heads; The price of 20 heads of goods in Bozhou market ranges from 220 to 240 yuan, the price of 40 heads ranges from 170 to 175 yuan, and the price of 60 heads ranges from 160 to 165 yuan.
Due to the low price of this variety for many years, the fields that are still being planted for many years have been declining rapidly (as evidenced by the soaring price of red seeds and the decline in the number of Wenshan notoginseng in the land). This year, in 2024, and in 2025, the supply of notoginseng will decline. Coupled with the current price increase and drought of red seeds, as well as the continued low price of Panax notoginseng products, the author expects that the output of Panax notoginseng will continue to decline in 2026.
Therefore, based on the above phenomenon, it can be judged that the output of Panax notoginseng products will continue to decrease in the next three years, if the price of red seeds is still high in 24 years, and the price of Panax notoginseng products is still not high, the supply of Panax notoginseng will be further reduced in 27 years.
Finally, although the production of notoginseng is certain to decline in the next few years, the price of notoginseng may not rise immediately. Because the inventory situation is still impossible to judge. If the inventory of Panax notoginseng is calculated as 3-50,000 tons, the output is less than 15,000 tons per year, and the net sales are 2-25,000 tons, and the inventory of Panax notoginseng will be digested 05,000-10,000 tons per year, then there will be 3-5 years before the fundamentals of Panax notoginseng will usher in an inflection point.
Note: The information comes from the Chinese herbal medicine world, etc. If the unit is not specifically indicated, it is "yuan/kg", and the above information is for your reference only!