Original Lao Zheng Time and Space Public Number: Strange Time and Space 2024-06-30 16:25 Jilin
July (0701-0731) Expected #Retail Investor Stock Diary#
➡️ The previous point of view entered - stock affairs chatting
Link: June Caprice|Values determine the path of "money".
Link: Wednesday Strategy|Short-term bottoming, rebound is imminent (0626)
June is over, there will be no more, and there will be next year.
June has always been kind to me, and this year has been exceptional. The climate is neither hot nor cold, and it is very comfortable; The body is also okay, and the mental head is not bad; The raised water lilies bloomed, and only one bloomed, but it brought a good mood.
The old is taken in time and space
Regarding his views on the stock market, he said in his thoughts in June: A retail investor's opinion on the stock market "no one cares if it is posted, so it is not published." Nowadays, it is the world of all kinds of live broadcasts, so forget it, it is not necessarily a bad thing to say less. Now is the era of values investment, whether you can make money, relying on luck is actually very difficult, or rely on cognition, cognitive height will determine the fate of each investor's "money". ”
Only two articles were posted in June, and one of them had a surprise. This surprise was the second article on the stock market in June, which was published at 7 p.m. on June 25: "Link" actually had more than 8,000 views. Probably recommended by the platform.
It doesn't matter, the important thing is to say it accurately, just right, Wednesday's lowest of 2933.33 just became the low point of these days, and it was confirmed that it closed out of Changyang after Friday's downward test again. Surprised? A bit of a surprise, adding a lot of "same frequency people"; Not surprised? Not surprisingly, it was expected, but it was just another verification of my "turkey theory".
It should be noted that the judgment of that day was only given by the Bollinger Bands and the Nine-Revolution indicator in the turkey theory, and there is another turkey theory that does not say, that is, the time window that was commonly used in the past. Take a look at the chart below: Wednesday's low is the positive window of the 21st day window of the downward trend of the mid-high. Another point is that last Monday, that is, the 24th, was the main window of the 89th day of the time window of this wave of market, which means that this stabilization is related to the big cycle.
Regarding this big cycle, in fact, in the first article of June, I said in my view on the market: "The time for an intermediate market to run is 89 cycles is considered a normal cycle." The 89th cycle is exactly in June, and the 24th of June, the last Monday of the last week of June is the end of the 89th day of the cycle. ”
Originally, I hoped that it would stabilize in early June, complete the B reverse on June 24, and then start the C wave to kill and fall, but the trend in June should be yang and yin, so that until June 24, it must be reversed. This is called "the enemy changes and I change".
In this way, July has become a month to look forward to, and this expectation should only be regarded as a B reversal at present, not too high. Looking at the following monthly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index, June is the fifth month, when the yang is against the yin, then, July is the sixth month, the yin and yang are more yang, which is a correction to the fifth month when the yang is against the yin. In this way, it should be logical that the sixth month is yang, the seventh month of August is cloudy, and the eighth month of September is the main window to open the big three waves.
Let's talk about the weekly line. Look at the chart below: Next week happens to be the 21st week of this wave of market time window is the main window, and the positive window is the sun. However, looking at the downward trend near the high, next week is the seventh week of the front window, and the front window should be cloudy. In this way, it may be a little twisted, and the harvest is the best for false yin and true yang.
Let's look at the daily timeframe. Monday is the fourth day of the low, and the nature of the front window is cloudy. Therefore, it is more likely to be sorted out on Monday and then on Tuesday. Also, watch out on Fridays.
In fact, you don't have to look too fine, you can have a rough idea. It is very likely that B anti has already been launched, so it is good to press B anti first. B will also take the 123 pattern; B looks at the 13th day first, and the 13th day is the 12th day of July, and then we will talk about it; The first step is to look at the 20-week moving average, which is the middle of the Bollinger bands.
Finally, I would like to advise you to pay close attention to the 20-year moving average, which is the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, which is dynamic and closed at 3923.09 as of Friday's close, which is the number in the red box in the chart below. This position should not be broken again.
In terms of individual stocks, pay attention to the varieties that have been relatively sufficient before the market adjustment, perhaps this is one of the driving forces for the market B reversal in July.
Management, policy, and macro are not too worrying at the moment, but there are some things to look forward to.
Operation strategy: Medium and long-term holdings can still be held, and short-term opportunities can be lost.
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【Famous quotes】Zhou Bingyi: Speaking passionately; It's hard to do.
【Stock Market Epigram 1】There are no secrets in the market, and the principle of success is known to everyone.
【Stock Market Epigram 2】Things in the market cannot be persuaded, and everyone must be responsible for their own money bags.