Since the price of live pigs reached 14 yuan per catty in November 2022, it has continued to fall to about 6.5 yuan per catty this year. On May 18 this year, pig prices began to show a slow upward trend, and the price of fat pigs per catty around the Dragon Boat Festival exceeded 8.50 yuan in most places, and in some places broke through 9 yuan and approached 10 yuan. Pig farmers look forward to the stars and the moon, and finally look forward to the recovery of pig prices.
The first round of pig price increases this year has benefited from the entry into a new pig price cycle, de-capacity, the traditional festival Dragon Boat Festival and the annual college entrance examination consumption, which has promoted the sharp rise in pig prices. The annual Dragon Boat Festival is the starting point of pork consumption from the off-season to the peak season in a year, and the price of live pigs during the Dragon Boat Festival last year reached up to 8 yuan per catty, and this year it is close to 10 yuan. After the Dragon Boat Festival, the price of live pigs stopped rising, rising a few corners today, falling a few corners tomorrow, and fluctuating repeatedly. First, according to the analysis of experts, in June this year, it has bid farewell to the pig price cycle in 2022 and entered a new pig price cycle, ending the long loss period of pig raising and entering a new price cycle.
Now it has entered the golden period of the pig price cycle, and the pig price is rising more and falling less, and the prospect of pig prices this year is very good. Second, a large number of domestic sows eliminated this year, due to the serious surplus of domestic pig breeding in recent years, especially the overbreeding of sows, according to statistics, the number of domestic breeding sows has been maintained at more than 42 million, too many sows, naturally resulting in too many piglets, resulting in overbreeding of pigs, resulting in long-term sluggishness in pig prices. This year, the production capacity has been greatly reduced, and the number of sows that can reproduce has been greatly reduced, and it has been reported that a large number of sows have been eliminated, and the number of sows in the herd is now around 39 million. If the number of sows decreases, the number of fattening piglets will decrease, and the number of fattening pigs on the market will be reduced compared with previous years, so that supply and demand can reach a balance, and the price of pigs can reach a reasonable price. Now most of the farms are self-breeding, most of the purchase of fattening piglets are free-range pig households, piglet prices continue to decline, indicating that this year's pig breeders are relatively reduced, so the next stage of fat pigs slaughter is relatively reduced, the price is relatively rising. Pig prices continue to recover, how to improve the efficiency of pig farms?
I think that although it has now entered the golden age of pig raising, into the profitable period of pig raising, this year pig breeding must be able to make a lot of money, but the price of pigs is unlikely to rise sharply, it should be noted that the change in pig prices is very weird, the season of price increase is not price increase, the price should not be raised in the season, pig farmers should grasp the opportunity, pig prices exceed the cost of production after there is a proper profit to be slaughtered in time, do not press the fence, their own affairs, do not be bewitched by the people who speculate on the price of pigs on the Internet, Don't be unpopular and swallow elephants, you can slaughter with appropriate breeding profits. Pay attention to avoid the recurrence of the phenomenon of 14 yuan per catty at the end of October 2022 and waiting until the loss to be slaughtered.
With the recent admission of the college entrance examination, parents sending students to school to report to study and travel, banquets to thank tutors, etc., to promote the development of tourism and catering industry, the arrival of the traditional festival Mid-Autumn Festival is the main factor driving the increase in pork consumption. Therefore, it is difficult for the price of live pigs to drop significantly, and the probability is that the price of fat pigs per catty is fluctuating around 8.5-9 yuan. This year's pig price is likely to reach the highest price this year in 11-12 months, the price of live pigs in the month before the Spring Festival will slowly decline, so the fat pig slaughter should choose the price before the end of the year when the price is appropriate, the main one is that in recent years, pork will fall every year has formed a law, due to the rise in pig prices at the end of the year, the government will put a large number of low-priced reserve pork to stabilize the market pork price. Second, the basic trend of raising pigs is to choose to slaughter in the month of Layue, when the slaughter of fat pigs increased significantly, the price fell. Third, people have advanced the processing of pickled products to November to December, and the number of people processing pickled products in the lunar month has decreased. Therefore, after the pigs on the farm reach the slaughter weight, we must always pay attention to the changes in the price of pigs, and timely slaughter when the price is appropriate.