Abstract: Recently, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed his willingness to negotiate indirectly with Russia in an interview, citing the "Black Sea Grain Corridor" model as an example, and opening up third-party intervention, including the United States and other members of the international community as possible mediators.
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Zelensky hinted at a shift in the path of negotiations, and Ukrainian media commented on the "180° reversal of position"
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky revealed his openness to the possibility of indirect negotiations with Russia in a recent interview with the American newspaper Philadelphia Inquirer, a statement that attracted widespread attention after being reported by the Ukrainian state news agency. Zelenskyy referred to the "roundabout" model of negotiations through third parties, citing the Black Sea Grain Corridor agreement as an example, emphasizing the mediating role of the United Nations and Turkey in brokering the agreement, and suggesting that the United States, Western Europe, and even the rest of the world could be potential mediators in future negotiations.
It is worth noting that Zelensky made it clear that direct negotiations with Russia will not end the war, but may stimulate further Russian offensives. At the same time, he pointed out that the current Ukrainian army's battle loss ratio on the front line, especially in the Kharkiv and Donetsk directions, is much better than that of the Russian army, and called on the United States to provide more advanced weapons systems to strengthen its strike capability against Russia. Ukraine News Network commented that Zelensky's remarks represent a significant change in his attitude towards war and negotiations, which is in stark contrast to his government's previous position and public expectations, and may be a test for the future negotiation strategy.
On the Russian side, presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov confirmed that Russia is open to dialogue around Ukraine, provided that it meets the stated goals of the Russian side. Russian media generally believe that Zelensky's statement shows signs of softening his position, and at the same time indicates that he may be adding chips to the negotiating table for possible negotiations.
In terms of the situation on the battlefield, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported that the Ukrainian army suffered heavy losses in the past 24 hours, while the Russian army achieved a series of tactical victories, including the capture of important strongholds in the Donbas. This achievement benefited from the innovative tactical use of the Russian army, which successfully carried out a surprise attack and expanded the results of the battle by secretly digging tunnels directly behind the Ukrainian army's defense line.
To sum up, although the two sides continue to fight on the battlefield, the change in the negotiation path proposed by Zelensky has provided new imagination space for resolving the conflict, and the motives and actual effects behind it still need to be further observed.
Why does Ukraine suddenly want to negotiate with Russia at this time?
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has recently actively expressed his desire to start peace talks with Russia, and there are multiple factors behind this shift in position.
The reason for Ukraine's willingness to negotiate
- Zelensky's Hope for Peace: Zelenskyy has expressed a strong desire for peace, while also hinting that he is waiting for a more favorable environment for negotiations.
- Changes in the international situation: the West's game with Russia has become one of the key elements, especially the West's reluctance to assume obligations to Ukraine, which has prompted Zelensky to reconsider the possibility of negotiations.
- Considerations of the situation on the battlefield: Tensions over Russian missile strikes on Kyiv following Ukrainian forces using U.S.-made weapons on the Russian mainland and Crimea prompted Zelensky to seek peace talks.
Changes in the objective environment or imminent changes
- International Mediation Efforts: The first "peace summit" on Ukraine concluded in Switzerland, and although Russia was not invited, the mediation efforts of the international community, especially organizations such as the United Nations, the European Union, and NATO, provided a platform and opportunity for peace negotiations.
- New developments on the battlefield: Ukrainian military attacks on the Russian mainland and Crimea marked a new phase in the conflict, while the build-up of Russian troops on the Belarusian border posed a threat to Ukraine, prompting Zelensky to seek peace talks.
- Impact of international elections: Changes in EU politics, particularly the rise of Le Pen in France, and US President Joe Biden's poor performance in the debate, the outcome of these international elections could have a profound impact on the course of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
All these changes have subtly increased the willingness to negotiate
- Urgency of the situation on the battlefield: As the war continues, Ukraine is facing increasing human and material losses, making a peaceful resolution of the conflict even more urgent.
- Potential impact of international election results: The results of the upcoming U.S. and French parliamentary elections could have a profound impact on the course of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and Kyiv's concerns about future U.S. policy have increased the willingness to negotiate peace.
To sum up, Ukraine's sudden desire to negotiate with Russia at this time is the result of a combination of factors, including Zelensky's expectations for peace, changes in the international situation, considerations of the battlefield situation, mediation efforts of the international community, new trends on the battlefield, and the impact of international elections. Together, these factors have pushed Ukraine to reconsider the possibility of negotiations with Russia.
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Disclaimer: Personal opinion, for reference only.