滬指八連陽收複3000點！AI、紅利資産受青睐，機構解讀後市

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——騰訊官方證券投資平台

回顧滬指8連陽以來(2.6-2.23)市場走勢，上證指數累漲11.2%并收複年内跌幅，深證成指累漲13.87%，創業闆指累漲12.52%。

接下來自選哥用5張圖帶大家回顧一下此間A股表現：

兩市成交額放量明顯

整體來看，滬指8連陽區間兩市成交額放量明顯。其中，2月7日、2月8日兩市成交額直接突破萬億。另外，2月6日、2月19日，2月21日以及2月23日兩市成交額均在0.9萬億以上。

題材闆塊普漲

2月6日以來僅糧食種植、稀土、機場三大行業飄綠，其餘闆塊均呈現累計上漲。具體來看，由于人工智能(AI)闆塊的行情火爆，故數字媒體、通信裝置等科技行業漲幅居前。

8個交易日6股走勢翻倍

因媒體此前報道維海德涉及“多模态AI概念”，目前公司已斬獲6連闆，8個交易日以來累計漲幅超177%。安諾其、因賽集團也均因蹭上AI概念累計漲幅居前。個股跌幅榜方面，*ST商城、樂通股份、*ST民控等8股累計跌超10%。

高股息股獲主力青睐

2月6日以來白酒雙雄獲主力青睐，買入貴州茅台超38億元，加倉五糧液超19億元。紫金礦業、招商銀行、中國平安等權重股也獲搶籌居前。淨流出方面，中際旭創遭抛逾11億元，萬興科技、克來機電、立旭精密均遭抛售超7億元。

北向淨買茅台46億

貴州茅台、五糧液、招商銀行、中國平安、興業銀行等紅利資産獲北向看好，淨買入金額均超10億元。淨流出方面，藥明康德、萬華化學遭抛逾12億元居前。

監管動作頻繁

近期證監會維護市場穩定的政策動作頻繁：

其一，倒查IPO企業十年财務資料。據知情人士透露，“妖股”、業績變臉、股價較發行價大跌的上市公司是檢查重點；正處于IPO排隊階段、乃至已經撤回材料的企業同樣在倒查範圍之列。

其二，量化交易監管再出“組合拳”。2月19日，滬深交易所對甯波靈均限制交易并啟動公開譴責程式，嚴厲打擊做空行為。

其三，龍年以來，證券市場處罰消息接踵而至。據證監會網站顯示，近期共有11人因操縱上市公司股價或内幕交易，被處罰共計超過8000萬元，涉及恒逸石化、美尚生态等多家上市公司。

後市怎麼走？

國泰君安指出，反彈有望持續，建議持股待漲為主。受到銀行等權重闆塊繼續上漲帶動，滬指延續震蕩上漲盤中站上3000點，深成指與創業闆總體震蕩。指數雖然經過持續反彈，但市場幾大核心人氣方向依舊維持着較高的熱度，高位股依舊延續強勢，熱點有序輪動。整體而言目前市場仍處于較為良性的反彈結構之中。後續需要關注兩市成交量能否達到萬億左右級别，同時留意北向資金流入的持續性。短線可繼續關注熱門闆塊分化輪動過程中低吸機會，另外可适當關注前期超跌闆塊的補漲機會。

中信建投陳果認為，這個市場在春節前出現了一個明顯的變化，整個市場的流動性問題得到解決，随着一系列政策出台，市場開始進入反彈修複行情。往後總體來看，市場的大底應該說已經是确立了。往後走，應該說它會有一些震蕩，會有些反複，但總體來說是一個修複的趨勢，或者說是震蕩偏向上的趨勢。總體來講，今年市場應該比去年好。

渤海證券研報指出，A股市場已在管理層的呵護下，将風險逐漸化解，市場也呈現了底部的反彈過程，市場的進一步的上漲将需更多借助市場自身的力量。展望來看，如果普漲後，市場信心逐漸恢複，并帶動市場自發主線形成，則賺錢效應下，行情有望持續展開反轉的趨勢或将由此形成。反之，如果市場主線散亂，則普漲後輪動效應将加快，資金的共振效果不強，則指數反彈後也将進入到修整階段。

機會方面，國泰君安建議關注AIGC/新質生産力/産能出海/低空經濟等。

1)AIGC：文生視訊模型Sora進展及效果超預期，谷歌釋出Gemini 1.5模型，看好受益效率提升且成本降低的内容創作公司和算力産業鍊。

2)新質生産力：制勝新賽道引領産業投資新方向，看好智能制造/新材料等新技術和未來新場景。

3)産能出海：結構性産能過剩需求不足背景下，看好戰略性出海的高端裝備/五金工具和新消費趨勢下的跨境貿易。

4)低空經濟：看好低空飛行器制造/核心零部件/飛行服務公司。

中信建投陳果稱，2024年A股盈利正增長，高股息紅利依然是重點。除了紅利方向外，也會有一些其他投資機會。第一個是科技行業，科技裡首先有個半導體周期、電子周期。第二是醫藥，它的投資價值從中期來看，還是比較顯著的。另外是新能源。新能源是中國曾經市場中最靓的仔，也确實是中國具備核心競争力的行業。另外一塊就是AI，AI需要中期關注。

來源：騰訊自選股财經

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