Source: Health Times reporter Kong Tianjiao
Since January 26, Hangzhou has reported a cumulative total of 114 locally confirmed cases. The Health Times reporter found that since February 2, the daily increase in local confirmed cases in Hangzhou has increased in single digits, and on February 4, there are no new local confirmed cases in Hangzhou.
Yu Chuanhua, a professor of epidemiology and health statistics at Wuhan University, told the Health Times reporter that from the current situation, the transmission chain of the epidemic in Hangzhou is relatively clear, and it was found that in time, the epidemic prevention and control work has shifted from community clearance to isolation point clearance. This round of epidemic in Hangzhou should have taken a good turn.
In the analysis of the epidemic, the inflection point refers to the turning point of the epidemic trend of infectious diseases, which is a concept of a point in time. Infectious disease epidemics have a downward inflection point, an upward inflection point, and can also have a rising and falling alternate inflection point, without over-understanding the significance of the inflection point.
The Health Times reporter published a data mapping according to the website of the National Health Commission
On February 3, Mao Genhong, deputy secretary-general of the Hangzhou Municipal People's Government, said at a press conference, "The inflection point of the epidemic in Hangzhou has emerged. At present, from the perspective of the entire epidemic prevention and control situation in Hangzhou, the number of reported cases has shown single digits in the past two days; in the case detection channel, the cases in recent days have been found from the screening of centralized isolation points; according to the content of the press conference, several risky places and groups that have been concerned about this round of epidemic have basically no new cases. ”
Yu Chuanhua suggested that early detection, early diagnosis, early isolation, and early treatment of the epidemic are very critical. If the epidemic is detected in time, the epidemic can be quickly controlled in the bud. At present, the epidemic situation abroad is still quite severe, and WHO data shows that the average daily increase in the 7th of the latest week is 3.08 million, and the daily death rate is nearly 10,000. The prevention and control of external anti-input and internal anti-rebound should not be taken lightly. In particular, the gathering of relatives and friends during the Spring Festival may lead to a rebound in the domestic epidemic. Therefore, every citizen still needs to insist on wearing masks in public places, washing hands frequently, and maintaining social distancing.
Mao Genhong mentioned that considering that the current round of epidemic in Hangzhou has basically achieved community clearance, the work of epidemic prevention and control in Hangzhou will shift from community clearance to zero isolation points. Judging from the current situation, according to the standardized requirements of the "three districts" management, it will continue for a period of time. Where risks have been clearly eliminated, they will be gradually implemented by first adjusting and narrowing the scope of the "three zones" under the condition that the risks are controllable.
