Putin sent troops to Donbass, destroying the entire Ukrainian air defense system in an hour and twenty minutes, and the troops were directed at Kiev.
Is Zelenskiy only trembling in the face of Putin's anger?
The whole war looks like a quick knife cutting a watermelon, but the war is not about weapons but about logistics, in other words, every bullet you hit costs money and is consumables.
A missile hundreds of thousands or even millions of dollars, listen to a sound and disappear, throw hundreds of tens of millions or even hundreds of millions of dollars is gone.
We all know the current economic situation in Russia, which can only be described in two words as maintenance.
After all, under the dual pressure of economic sanctions and the epidemic sweeping the country, it is already very good to be able to achieve maintenance, and it is a fragile balance.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine is bound to break the balance, after all, people cannot rely only on bullets to fill their stomachs and rely on missiles to boil soup, so the direction of this war is determined not by the strength of Russia's armed forces but by whether the domestic economy can withstand it.
At the beginning of the war, the United States and NATO countries unanimously raised their economic weapons in order to make Russia's domestic economic turmoil and put Russia in a dilemma.
NATO and the United States have frozen about $1.4 trillion in Russian funds, the difference is more than a year of Russia's gross national product.
And the United States is to unite the younger brothers to completely close the door of Russia's international energy market, and the purpose is also very clear, that is, to let the Russian economy collapse first.
After all, Russia lives on energy, and the neck of energy is broken, which is really rudderless.
As can be seen from the stock market, as soon as the war broke out, only the US stock market in the world flourished, and the dollar soared, the euro leaked to the end, and the ruble plummeted.
So how the war will go, in fact, I have already made predictions, but whether Russia will fall into the quagmire of war and reproduce the history of the former Soviet Union's invasion of Afghanistan is very likely.
And this time Putin brazenly attacked Ukraine, Ukraine will definitely fight back, the fact has begun to fight back, if Russia can not win quickly, the next thing is probably in a dilemma.
Personally, I think it is imperative to take Kiev, the capital of Ukraine, and force Zelenskiy to sign the alliance under the city, and then quickly withdraw to pre-war status to prevent the situation from expanding further.
Of course, this situation is not something that the United States and Britain want to see, which is why the United States and Britain persuaded Zelensky to leave Ukraine at the beginning of the battle.
Because Zelenskiy's departure from Ukraine can organize a government-in-exile, even if Putin pushes a shadow government to power and signs an alliance under the city, zelenskiy's government-in-exile can not recognize it, after all, he is the democratically elected president of Ukraine.
But Zelenskiy did not go, but has been in Ukraine, which also gives Putin a chance, an opportunity to seize Zelenskiy.
So at present, Putin does have the idea of capturing Zelensky, quickly advancing the three-way army to surround Kiev, and now the war around Kiev is in full swing.
However, the Russian army also encountered strong resistance from the Ukrainian army, and Ukraine repeatedly announced the death toll of Russian soldiers, of course, the water is not small, but it also shows that the Russian army has encountered strong resistance, which shows that it will take a lot of effort to catch Zelensky.
So someone asked Zelenskiy why he didn't heed the advice of the United States and Britain to leave Ukraine quickly?
My personal guess is not that he does not want to go, but that he cannot go, putin will never let him leave Kiev alive, Zelenskiy himself knows it, so he stays in Kiev with a hard scalp, and constantly shouts to Putin to accept mediation, which is actually a manifestation of confession. He is telling Putin in disguise that I am still useful if you don't kill me.
If Zelenskiy had been captured in this way, Ukraine would not have become a second Afghanistan.
But in the unlikely event that things go by accident, Zelenskiy is not captured, Kiev is not taken, and the Russian army is caught in a street fight, then things will go off track, and Ukraine really has the potential to become a second Afghanistan.
After all, Russia's domestic economy, and external pressures, are not enough to sustain it to fight a protracted war, or even a protracted war, and if the war drags on for a month, or even three weeks, russia is likely to be overwhelmed, while Ukraine may become the sharpest steel knife to stab Russia in the chest and cause fatal wounds.
Although the United States, Britain, and NATO will not directly send troops, they will certainly provide funds and weapons for the Ukrainian army and militia, and they will spare no effort.
The Ukrainian army and militia are likely to become stronger and stronger, against the Russian army.
Once Russia falls into this situation, it is bound to have a great impact on the domestic economy, and whether the logistical support can keep up needs to draw a big question mark.
In addition to economic reasons, there are also political factors, on the surface it seems that Putin's control over Russia is solid, but there is also a dark tide in the interior, coupled with the international political wind direction is a major pressure on Russia and Putin.
In addition, Russia's internal anti-war sentiment is also very strong, the people's willingness is also a factor, coupled with the anti-Russian forces secretly installed by the United States and Britain are bound to take advantage of the opportunity to make trouble, so Russia must win a quick victory this time, otherwise the night will be long and dreamy.
If it cannot win quickly, it is really possible that Ukraine will become a second Afghanistan and the last straw to drag Down Russia. This was also the starting point for the United States and Britain to instigate this war.
The aim was to make Ukraine a second Afghanistan, and one of the main reasons for the collapse of the Soviet Union was the war with Afghanistan.
If Ukraine becomes Russia's bloodletting trough, how long will Russia hold out? Even if There is China behind Russia, it is really not easy to survive this barrier.
If this hurdle cannot be passed, there will be no more Putin the Great and no more Russia.
In short, the war is changing rapidly, I am just a personal opinion, welcome to discuss in the comments section.
