There is no suspense about who will win the war between Russia and Ukraine – Russia will win, but many have different opinions about how long it will take Russia to take Ukraine. With the size of Ukraine's territory and the number of troops, some people think that how can it last for a month or two, because the German blitzkrieg against Poland took 28 days and nearly a month; and some people, after seeing the Russian army's first fierce offensive, thought that Russia could take Ukraine in less than a week, even those NATO countries thought so, so there was no support for Ukraine, just watching from the sidelines.
But what everyone did not expect was that the Russian offensive seemed to have slowed down since the first day of great victory, and did not achieve great success in the next few days, and some of the captured places were even retaken by the Ukrainian army; and those NATO countries did not expect that Ukraine could hold out for so long, so they moved badly, and a large amount of military assistance was supported to Ukraine, fighter jets, anti-tank missiles, anti-aircraft missiles, medical supplies. If Ukraine can drag on to Russia for as long as it wants, it is best to drag Russia down. Ukraine, which received NATO support, was also inspired to decide not to engage in a frontal conflict with Russia, because they also knew that they could not fight, so they specially attacked the Russian rear, because the Russian army's front line was too long, and once the logistics support units in the rear were eliminated, the Russian army would not be able to get supplies and support on the front line, and it would naturally usher in failure. So will Russia really be defeated by this Ukrainian style of play? A senior U.S. military official gave the answer.
On the 1st, a US military officer said at the briefing: Although the current Russian army is facing the dilemma of too long front and insufficient logistics, the Russian army has not exhausted its full strength at present, because the US military found that the Russian army has not carried out large-scale bombing of civilian areas and infrastructure in Ukraine; this means that the Russian army still has a lot of resources and combat effectiveness that have not been mobilized, and the Russian army will definitely make corresponding adjustments after that. According to the data, Russia has dispatched a total of 150 battalion-level combat groups this time, but at present, less than 20% of the troops are used, and the rest are mostly staying in Belarus, some of which are watching at the border; and the belarusian part of this group of soldiers is to oppose NATO, give NATO a deterrent, and prevent NATO from suddenly sneaking attacks when it hits Ukraine. The officer therefore warned that Russia would readjust their strategy and make a new build-up in the future.
In fact, the officer's warning was indeed correct, according to the latest information released by the Russian Ministry of Defense, russia has now captured the southern Ukrainian city of Kherson; control of Zaporozhye Oblast Tokmak and Vasilievka; 20 battalions of combat strength have surrounded Kharkiv Oblast, and their own airborne troops have landed in Kharkiv; blockaded Mariupol; 17 battalion-level combat groups have encircled Kiev from the northwest and northeast.
As for the Berdyansk region, it is the notorious home of the Azov battalion, this area was also jointly attacked by Chechnya and the Russian army, and even the base camp with Mariupol was also destroyed, in this case the Azov battalion had to break through Kharkov, but Kharkov was also surrounded by the Russian army, and then his own back road was gone, so he had to fight with the Russian army to the death; and after the battle, the Azov battalion suffered heavy losses and had to recruit troops locally, but did not expect that the first conscription was Russian." Iskander", blowing up the enlistment points.
From these actions, it can be seen that Russia is now using its real strength, every step of the Azov battalion is in full view under its own eyes, and it has been calculated to suffer heavy losses, Russia has also completed part of the "de-militarization and de-Nazirification" - de-Nazirification, and then can focus all its energy on de-militarization. If the Ukrainian army dares to resist again, I am afraid that Russia will use their large-scale killing weapons, such as thermobaric bomb, which can quickly destroy the equipment and systems buried in the ground, and at the same time let people in the explosion area die of lack of oxygen, which is an indiscriminate large-scale weapon; once this weapon is used, then the speed of the Russian army's advance will be greatly improved, and where there is resistance, it will throw a thermobaric bomb on the line, unlike precision-controlled munitions. Just destroy the target with precision without hurting anyone else.
Moreover, this tactic of besieging large cities would force Ukrainian troops in other areas to defend themselves, so that they could not destroy the Russian front and allow their fire support to come more quickly; and these empty defensive areas could also be quickly occupied by the Russian army, giving themselves more leverage in the next round of negotiations. At that time, if Ukraine still does not cooperate with the negotiations, Russia is likely to launch a final blow to Ukraine, turning Ukraine into a province on its own map.