Why did the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations collapse? It was only because the Ukrainian delegation proposed three truce conditions that Putin would never have imagined. When Putin was angry, the Russian four-way army received the battle order, what is the prospect of the Russo-Ukrainian war?
On February 28, the Russian-Ukrainian delegation began negotiations on the Russo-Ukrainian war on the Ukrainian-Belarusian border. Logically speaking, now that Russian troops have arrived in Kiev, Ukraine should not dare to disobey Russia's demands. But unexpectedly, the two sides ultimately failed to reach a consensus, why?
In fact, the demands made by the Ukrainian side are really too surprising. As we just said, now the Russian army is already attacking the Ukrainian capital Kiev, to put it bluntly, now Ukraine and Russia are talking about the "alliance under the city", Ukraine is almost unqualified to bargain with Russia, any "unequal treaty" that humiliates the country must be accepted, otherwise it is ready to be a slave to the country.
In this regard, Russia is also full of confidence and puts forward three demands on Ukraine: first, it recognizes Russia's legitimate sovereignty over Crimea; second, it must be "de-militarized" and "de-Nazimized"; third, it must maintain a neutral state, that is, it is not allowed to join NATO.
Frankly speaking, this request is a bit like the scene of the late Qing government in the face of the unequal treaties of the great powers, it seems that it does not want to accept it, but the Ukrainian delegation clearly stated that it did not accept it, but instead put forward three major armistice demands for Russia.
First, the Russian army must surrender immediately;
Second, the Russian military must withdraw completely from Ukrainian territory, whether it is Donetsk and Luhansk, which were previously recognized by Russia as independent, or Crimea, which has been under Russian control for eight years;
Thirdly, Ukraine has the right to claim war reparations from Russia.
Frankly, when we first saw these demands, we went to confirm the situation of the Russo-Ukrainian War, and confirmed that the Russian army was attacking Kiev - I don't know that the Ukrainian army was attacking Moscow.
From the scene point of view, the current situation of the Russo-Ukrainian war is basically one-sided, Ukraine is not qualified to negotiate with Russia at all, and making such a request is either an insult to the strength of the Russian army or an insult to Putin's intelligence. But existence is reasonable, in fact, Zelenskiy's statement is normal. There are three main reasons for this, political, military and international.
Politically, It is true that Ukraine is already in danger, but the more such moments are, the more it forces out the Ukrainians' hatred of Russia. This point cannot be understood by others, but we should know best Chinese that this was the case in the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression a few decades ago, and the more precarious China is, the more united the sons and daughters of China are. At this time, Zelenskiy did not run away like the previous Afghan government leaders, nor did he have the slightest intention of being soft on Russia, and from beginning to end, he sat in Kiev, did not retreat, but became a national idol of Ukraine. On February 28, according to the British media report, Zelenskiy's support rate in Ukraine has reached a terrifying 91%, only 6% do not support it, and 3% choose not to express their position, saying that it is not too much to say that it is a national idol. But in fact, in December 2021, Zelenskiy was too provocative to Russia, with only about 30% support in Ukraine, and when the war began, he refused to surrender and became a national hero. In this case, once Zelenskiy succumbs, he will immediately degenerate from a national hero to a figure like the traitor Wang Jingwei, and his political position will be unsafe, so he will definitely harden to the end.
Militarily, the actual situation of the Russo-Ukrainian war was not as one-sided as imagined. It is true that Russia hit Kiev in just a few days, but that was because the Russian army set goals from the beginning, straight to Kiev, Kiev is the capital of Ukraine, and taking it at the first time helps Russia control the overall situation. Therefore, on this road, the Russian army basically only attacked some of the threat Ukrainian defense facilities, and the others could not fight without fighting, and concentrated on going to Kiev, which achieved the rapidity of the war on February 24 and the offensive and defensive war in Kiev on the evening of the 25th. But as of now, it has been almost a week, and the Russian army has still not been able to take Kiev. The Russian army is gradually falling into the quagmire of Ukraine, and because the early march failed to establish a complete stronghold to form a complete supply chain of materials, as the local Ukrainian army regrouped to launch a counterattack, the Russian army will be in trouble.
Internationally, the Involvement of the West. Although the West, represented by the United States and Britain, has not directly sent troops to support Ukraine, it has provided billions of material support to Ukraine, and at the same time, the West has also imposed unprecedented sanctions on Russia. As a result, the already relatively weak Russian economy suffered a severe setback, and the ruble even fell by 30% at one point, and there was simply not enough money to support a long war. Ukraine, on the other hand, has also relied on Western support to gradually hold Russia in place.
It is not difficult to find that in this case, the real emergency is not Ukraine, which seems to be in danger, but Russia, which is worried about internal and external troubles. Ukraine knew it could not block russia's offensive forever, but as long as it dragged the Russian army in Ukraine in the short term, it could kill Russia alive. In the February 28 negotiations, Zelenskiy made such a request, he did not expect Russia to agree, but as long as it can delay time, so although the negotiations did not reach a consensus, Ukraine said that it is still willing to start the next round of negotiations with Russia, the longer it drags on, the greater the possibility of Russia's collapse.
In this case, Putin also perceived that it was precarious, so on the 28th, under the order of putin, who was anxious and angry, the core forces of the Russian military, namely, the Strategic Missile Force, the Pacific Fleet, the Northern Fleet, and the Strategic Aviation Command, immediately entered a state of combat readiness. You must know that generally troops with the word "strategy" are capable of firing nuclear weapons, and at this point, Putin is really anxious.