Unconsciously, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has been going on for more than half a month. The Russian army's strategy of encircling points to help can be said to have successfully changed the attitude of the Ukrainians at the negotiating table. So, does this mean that the situation in Russia and Ukraine is a foregone conclusion?
It is worth noting that under the fierce offensive of the Russian army and the Donetsk militia, after many days of fierce fighting, the Russian army has achieved major results in the Mariupol region. At present, the Russian army has controlled more than half of the area. It should be known that at the beginning of the Russian siege of Mariupol, the more than 5,000 troops of the 53rd Mechanical Brigade of Ukraine and other Ukrainian troops trapped in the city were roughly estimated to be tens of thousands. However, the Russians finally took Mariupol after putting in mariupol with elite forces such as 8 battalion groups, 2 naval brigades, and 4 brigades in the Donetsk region. So why did the Russians bother to take the region? Because the capture of Mariupol was equivalent to opening up the land passage from Crimea to Donetsk. That is, Ukraine, which has lost control of Mariupol, is no different from a landlocked country.
However, in the course of the fierce war between Russia and Ukraine, it is necessary to mention that Ukrainian President Zelenskiy made a big taboo on the battlefield. In order to further strengthen the defense against the Kiev region of the Ukrainian capital, on March 15 Zelenskiy announced the appointment of Admiral Eduard Moskarev as the new commander of the joint forces and ordered the former head of the Aleksandr Pavlyuk as the new head of the Kiev Regional Military Administration. You know, changing generals in the front is a big taboo for soldiers.
In fact, with the gradual establishment of a dominant advantage by the Russian military in military operations, Russia has forced Ukraine to face reality and make certain concessions at the negotiating table. After continuous negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, finally, in the fourth round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, there was finally some eyebrows. According to the Financial Times, the negotiators of Russia and Ukraine have preliminarily reached a draft agreement of 15 articles. Among them, the demands made against Russia in the draft are mainly to stop military operations and withdraw troops in Ukraine. Ukraine, on the other hand, needs to make more compromises, including becoming a neutral country like Austria and Sweden, as well as renouncing NATO and accepting restrictions on armed military power, as well as recognizing the fact that Crimea belongs to Russia and the independence of Donetsk and Luhansk.
In addition, on March 16, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov also revealed that some of the contents of the Russian-Ukrainian peace agreement are close to reaching an agreement, and the two sides are making serious consideration on Ukraine becoming a neutral country. It can be said that the situation in Russia and Ukraine has developed to this day, and it has become a foregone conclusion that Ukraine will make compromises and concessions to calm this dispute. However, the 15 draft articles reached by the two sides in the fourth round of negotiations still have some uncertainty. Even Mekzynski, a Russian negotiator, admits that several issues, while progress, need further deliberations. In other words, there will be the next round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
But if Ukraine compromises on important issues such as neutrality and de-militarization, as Russia wishes, will the United States and NATO, which stands behind Ukraine, accept such setbacks?