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More than 24 hours above level 17! Typhoon Bravan turn, supercomputing: or there is an ocean-going giant typhoon

author:Passion fruit T9V

This year's No. 15 typhoon "Bravan" has become the "wind king" of the northwest Pacific, maintaining super typhoon level for more than 24 hours.

More than 24 hours above level 17! Typhoon Bravan turn, supercomputing: or there is an ocean-going giant typhoon

This is very rare in 2023. However, there are more super typhoons this year, and more than half of them are super typhoons.

More than 24 hours above level 17! Typhoon Bravan turn, supercomputing: or there is an ocean-going giant typhoon

This may indicate that super typhoons will be even crazier in the future. In addition, the ocean-going tropical disturbance activity may also develop a "Big Mac" typhoon.

More than 24 hours above level 17! Typhoon Bravan turn, supercomputing: or there is an ocean-going giant typhoon

Vigilance is needed. Although there are differences in the data given by domestic and foreign climate centers,

More than 24 hours above level 17! Typhoon Bravan turn, supercomputing: or there is an ocean-going giant typhoon

But Typhoon Blavan No. 15 has become one of the strongest super typhoons this year, and it is a typical "Needle Eye typhoon".

More than 24 hours above level 17! Typhoon Bravan turn, supercomputing: or there is an ocean-going giant typhoon

If it lands in any place, the destruction will be extremely strong. However, this typhoon has turned a corner and has not affected any area, which is very lucky.

More than 24 hours above level 17! Typhoon Bravan turn, supercomputing: or there is an ocean-going giant typhoon

In the western Pacific, a typhoon called Samba is about to form. According to the weather forecast, the typhoon may become a "Big Mac",

More than 24 hours above level 17! Typhoon Bravan turn, supercomputing: or there is an ocean-going giant typhoon

Huge impact on the surrounding area. From the simulation of the EC,

More than 24 hours above level 17! Typhoon Bravan turn, supercomputing: or there is an ocean-going giant typhoon

This typhoon embryo is expected to develop from the Central Pacific region around October 17 and is rapidly strengthening.

More than 24 hours above level 17! Typhoon Bravan turn, supercomputing: or there is an ocean-going giant typhoon

Around October 19, it reached a level where the air pressure was as low as 1000hpa. And GFS expects this typhoon to not only generate,

More than 24 hours above level 17! Typhoon Bravan turn, supercomputing: or there is an ocean-going giant typhoon

It may also become a "Big Mac", but it believes that the Beibu Gulf depression is weakening, and at the same time there will be another typhoon embryo in the Central Pacific.

More than 24 hours above level 17! Typhoon Bravan turn, supercomputing: or there is an ocean-going giant typhoon

But its development trend is not too strong. Although the two models are not quite consistent,

More than 24 hours above level 17! Typhoon Bravan turn, supercomputing: or there is an ocean-going giant typhoon

But it all suggests that this impending typhoon will have a great impact on the surrounding area. Will the ocean-going typhoon embryo become Typhoon Sanba No. 16?

More than 24 hours above level 17! Typhoon Bravan turn, supercomputing: or there is an ocean-going giant typhoon

Will it become Typhoon Gerawa No. 17? Are GFS and EC forecasts very different? During this autumn typhoon season, the sea temperature is high,

The ocean-going area is even around 31 degrees, and these factors are conducive to the development of typhoons.

If this ocean-going typhoon embryo does develop into a giant typhoon, how should we deal with it? Need to pay attention to ocean-going typhoon activity,

The specific development needs to be observed, revisited, and mainly referenced.

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