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FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

Tonight (17th), Beijing time, the Chinese men's football team ushered in Lebanon, the second opponent in the group stage of the Asian Cup. There were a few chances for both sides in the game, with Lebanon hitting the crossbar twice, Zhang Yuning narrowly missing the net in the first half, and Wu Lei having a shot from an empty net in the second half cleared off the line. In the end, the two sides shook hands 0-0.

FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?
FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?
FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

In the 14th minute, Lebanese defender Khamis kicked Dai Weijun's face in the process of clearing, and referee Gao Hengjin did not give a penalty after communicating with the VAR referee.

FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

In the 24th minute, Matuk's long-range shot from the periphery was saved by Yan Junling, and then Zain's header in front of the goal was high.

FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

In the 33rd minute, Lebanon launched a counterattack, and Bougier hit the side-end net with a powerful shot.

FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

In the 44th minute, Wu Lei and Zhang Yuning's consecutive shots were saved by Lebanese goalkeeper Matar.

FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

In first-half stoppage time, Lebanon launched a counter-attack, and Gerrardine cut the crossbar to save the national team.

FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

In the 52nd minute, Lebanese player Surur's shot from outside the box hit the crossbar again.

FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

In the 65th minute, Dai Weijun crossed from the side, the Lebanese goalkeeper saved the ball, and Wu Lei's follow-up shot was cleared by the opponent's defender's goal line.

FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

In the 81st minute, Xie Pengfei made a cross from the bottom, and Lin Liangming's header in the penalty area did not hit the ball. In the end, the national football team drew 0-0 with Lebanon, and won two draws after two rounds of the group stage.

FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

After two rounds of the group stage, the national football team currently has 2 points and ranks second in the group.

At 23 o'clock in the evening of January 22, Beijing time, the Chinese men's football team will face the last opponent of the group stage, Qatar, at the Khalifa International Stadium.

In the second game of the Asian Cup, the Chinese team drew 0-0 with Lebanon, and the situation is not too bad. In this game, coach Jankovic took the initiative to change the formation and made adjustments to the starting players, which played a certain role, and the players entered the state faster than in the first game, and the scramble was more active. Embarrassingly, the Chinese team, despite all their efforts, was still unable to win against an opponent ranked 107th in the world.

Jankovic changed the formation, changed the soup, not the medicine

After the first draw against Tajikistan, Jankovic's personnel and chaotic tactics became the target of public criticism and were bombarded by many parties. In the second crucial game against Lebanon, Jankovic, who had no way out, changed his formation: while changing the formation to 451, he changed two starters. Xu Xin, who came on as a substitute in the first game and performed well, replaced Wang Qiuming, Tan Long, who did not perform well in the front, was replaced by Zhang Yuning, and Dai Weijun also returned to the left side, where he was more adaptable.

FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

Compared with the first game, the mental outlook of the national football team after the opening of this game has been greatly improved, and the players are not only more active in scrambling, but also have a lot less return passes and horizontal passes, and the awareness of attacking forward is clearer. However, this change of formation and the advantage brought by the scramble did not last long, and the strength did not reach the level of crushing the opponent, and soon Lebanon took advantage of the mistakes and defensive loopholes of the national football team, and frequently created threats, especially after 20 minutes, the national football team was once held down by the opponent and attacked, before the end of the half, the opponent's long-range shot hit the post and shocked the whole team into a cold sweat.

In the second half, after the national football team changed to 451, the offensive was strengthened, and Wu Lei's shot in the 63rd minute almost completed the goal. In terms of substitutions, Jankovic also aimed at offensive weakness, Lin Liangming and Tan Long replaced Wu Lei and Zhang Yuning, and Xu Xin and Liu Binbin were replaced by Wu Xi and Xie Pengfei.

Judging from the statistics, the national football team did not have an embarrassment in the first game, and even occupied the advantage on the field. He had 60 per cent possession, 14 shots to 12 and 457 passes ahead of his opponent's 314. But the opponent also hit the crossbar twice and almost knocked down the national football team.

FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

Objectively speaking, it is a good sign that the performance of the national football team has improved in this game against Lebanon, but it is not gratifying, because many fundamental problems have not been solved. For example, in the offensive routine, in addition to continuing the big-foot pass, it is a cross with a very low success rate, and the threat created is very limited, while on the two wings, the national football team can continue to pass more than 3 feet very rarely, and most of them use personal ability to break through.

Jankovic's old problem is still that he is more cautious than bold enough, facing Lebanon, ranked 107th in the world, the national football team did not dare to boldly invest troops after the opening, and the three central defenders rarely dared to participate in the attack. This has caused the offensive end of the frontcourt to often fall into a positional battle with less play, and it is more difficult to find a breakthrough when the individual ability is not strong.

After this draw, the national football team still has hope of qualifying, and even the final round loss to Qatar is expected to advance. But the most difficult problem at hand is that including coach Jankovic and the players, they simply can't find a stable, positive, and oppressive tactical play, and even if such a national football team qualifies from the group, it seems that the outside world can't see hope. This is also the most difficult problem for the Chinese team at present.

0 goals in 2 games, worst in history!

Failed to score in the first two games, which set the worst record since the national football team participated in the Asian Cup.

FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

The national football team participated in the Asian Cup for the first time in 1976, and this year is the 13th time. Although the national football team has never won the championship before, and has even been eliminated in the group twice, it has not scored in the first two games of the group stage, and has only scored one goal in the first two games three times, namely the 1976 Asian Cup in Iran, the Asian Cup in Japan in 1992, and the Asian Cup in Australia in 2015.

In this Asian Cup, the national football team first exchanged blanks with Tajikistan in the first game, and then shook hands with Lebanon in the second game, and did not score a goal in the first two games, creating the worst record in the history of the team's Asian Cup. If you count the 0-3 defeat to Iran in the last Asian Cup final game of the national football team, the national football team is also the first time on the Asian Cup stage that it failed to score the opponent's goal in three consecutive games.

If the results between Qatar and Tajikistan are not taken into account for the time being. In the final round, the national football team only needs to beat Qatar to get 5 points, at least rank in the top two in this group, and successfully advance to the knockout round. And if the national football team can't beat Qatar, it has to look at the results of other games, that is, it has to enter the calculation stage.

FireWire | With two draws, what are the chances of the national football team qualifying?

It is worth mentioning that since the third place in the group of this Asian Cup also has 4 qualifying places, the national football team also has the possibility of advancing to the knockout round if it draws three times in a row. In Euro 2016, Portugal faced Austria, Iceland and Hungary in the group stage, and after three consecutive draws, they qualified for the third place in the group, and finally won the championship unexpectedly. Although it is unrealistic to expect the national football team to win the championship, it is not impossible to imagine that three consecutive draws will qualify.

No matter from the perspective of strength, state, or the right time, place and people, it is extremely difficult for the national football team to win Qatar in the final round. However, considering that Qatar is very likely to defeat Tajikistan in this round and lock in the qualification in advance, they may hide the main force in the final round and send a substitute lineup, which may be beneficial to the national football team. Of course, even if Qatar plays with a substitute lineup, the national football team cannot take it lightly, after all, the desire of the substitute players to perform after the appearance may make the host still have strong fighting power.

After the game, Xie Pengfei was interviewed by reporters on the sidelines, and when talking about the game, he said: "The team has tried their best from top to bottom, everyone has given their best, and they have not done well enough in some details, including the opportunity for the other party in front of our goal, so we still have a lot of room for improvement." In addition, in this kind of high-intensity competition, we should be more confident and flexible to play to our strengths. ”

In the post-match press conference, head coach Jankovic said that the team worked hard and the players improved, but the game was unlucky. "Lebanon is very tenacious and we want to get the adjusted result," Jankovic said. We hope

Keeping the pace of the game and controlling the game, physical fitness is the opponent's disadvantage, but unfortunately he couldn't score. We didn't win the game but showed a good spirit, we all fought hard, we were just unlucky and didn't take our chances. ”

@紫百合: You can't even take this kind of fish belly, is it worthy of the red on the jersey? Yes, it's you, the Lebanese team!

@山东鲁能泰山队前锋塔尔德利: Good news: no two games conceded, bad news, two games not scored.

@宇宙队侵略地球: No goal conceded, no defeat!

@wayneLXL: Wu Lei, Wu Lei, pass out of bounds, don't score with a single knife, don't score with an empty goal. The club also plays spirituality, and when it comes to the national team, how can it be like this, just one or two opportunities, all waves

@绿荫paris10号:武磊力保黎巴嫩球门不失

@暮色目涩: The beam did its best

@卡别: Don't say anything, the main focus of the Chinese team is a "harmony is precious"!

@你好我叫不紧张: 20 years ago: It's hard to score a goal in the World Cup, 20 years later: It's hard to score a goal in the Asian Cup

@不爱发言: Familiar with Wu Lei, familiar with the Chinese team

@虚虚实实0: Haha, the train station is getting closer and closer, I'm convinced, what else can I say, is this playing football, Chinese masters, but unhurried at the last moment?

@kagura: Is there a more ugly match in this Asian Cup than China vs. Lebanon? Yes, China vs. Tajikistan.

Text: Changle Gao Wen

Edit|All backstage gents

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