The north and the south are falling! A new round of falling pig prices is coming, and pig prices in 24 places are collectively "green"! According to the monitoring of pig data, on June 28, the price of three-yuan pigs outside the country was 17.70 yuan/kg, down 0.05 yuan/kg from yesterday. Affected by the downward adjustment of the ex-factory price of white pork in the market, the pig market once again "cold" and turned down!
According to the region, pig prices in the northern region have "turned around" and fallen. Among them, the Northeast region to keep "stable" failure, following Jilin took the lead in the fall, Liaoning, Heilongjiang pig prices also began to "sit on the slide", today compared with yesterday down 0.07, 0.13 yuan / kg, the average price of live pigs in each region temporarily fell to 17.46-17.66 yuan / kg;
It is worth noting that Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei have failed to hold the 18 yuan/kg mark, which has now been adjusted to between 17.73-17.93 yuan/kg, and there is a risk of further decline; Pig prices in the northwest region also stopped rising and falling, especially in Xinjiang and Ningxia fell 0.14 and 0.12 yuan/kg respectively today, and there is no hope of rising in the short term, and the average price of pigs in each region is between 17.17-17.88 yuan/kg.
Pig prices in the southern region "fell thunderously". Among them, the rise and fall adjustment in central China, today's Henan brother slaughter price continues to drop by about 1 cent, and the current demand side has limited acceptance of high-priced pigs; Pig prices in East China are "low", especially in Jiangsu, down 0.16 yuan/kg today, and now 17 yuan/kg with Anhui and Shandong, and Zhejiang, Fujian and Shanghai also fell 0.12, 0.18 and 0.10 yuan/kg respectively, and the decline is expanding, and the average price of pigs in each region is between 17.77-18.24 yuan/kg;
Pig prices in South China "stabilized and hovered", and the price of live pigs in Guangdong and Guangxi did not change much, and the average price of live pigs in each region was between 17.43-18.35 yuan/kg; Pig prices in the southwest region continued to "deteriorate", Sichuan fell 0.20 yuan/kg overnight, Guizhou, Chongqing also have the possibility of falling below 17 yuan/kg again, 17 yuan pig prices are in danger, and the average price of pigs in each region is between 16.83-17.49 yuan/kg.
On the whole, the current decline in pig prices in the country is the main theme, and both ends of supply and demand do not support the rebound of pig prices. According to the data of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, in May, the national large-scale pig farms purchased more than 100 kg of pigs, and the number of continued fattening increased by 17.4% compared with April, corresponding to the fattening time of 1-2 months for the second fattening, and the supply pressure still exists in July; Looking at the demand side, the ex-factory price of lean white pork in the latest week was 24.38 yuan/kg, down 2.1% month-on-month, indicating that market consumption is not enough to accept high-priced pork.
Based on the above, the current pig market supply and demand are both phased negative pig prices! The author believes that near the end of the month pig prices will still be weak adjustment, in early July, with the scale of pig farms shrinking slaughter, retail investors reluctant to sell high prices, pig market or stop falling to stabilize the operation.