With Iran's election over, a reformist president coming to power, and China and Russia calling to congratulate them, why should South Korea intervene? After winning the election, how much of a challenge will Iran's new president face? How the Western route is taken is very crucial, and the relations between China, Russia and Iran are facing a big test.
Iran's reformist president came to power, and China and Russia sent congratulatory messages
For Iran, the plane crash that occurred in May this year was undoubtedly a great grief for hardline President Raisi. However, as the world has entered a major change unseen in a century, and the Iranian government cannot remain leaderless for a long time, a new round of general elections has recently begun.
However, in the first round of voting in late June, none of the presidential candidates received more than half of the votes, so they moved on to the second round of the re-election, where former health minister Masood Pezehiziyan and Yihe referee representative Jalili competed in the final round. The outside world generally believes that the election for the presidency is a struggle between hardliners and moderates in Iran, and many people are optimistic about Iran's nuclear negotiator Jalili.
But the final result surprised many people, the relatively low-key reformist Pezeshiziyan, won the election with a narrow margin of 53% of the vote, representing that in a new round of fierce internal confrontation, the Iranian civilian clique once again held the presidency, allowing this position to return to the "normal" of the past.
Former Iranian President Khatami spoke highly of Pezeshiziyan, emphasizing that he is a presidential candidate who "treats the people well" and "pursues justice", and former Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif also expressed strong support.
During the election campaign, Mr. Pezekhciyan called on Iran to pursue a "balanced foreign policy" and to establish "constructive relations" with the United States and Europe to avoid "isolation."
From this alone, it seems possible to conclude that Iran's new president, who is ostensibly reformist, is in fact more of an "open-minded" than previous Iranian presidents. He advocates looking at the world with an open eye, believing that Western sanctions have seriously affected Iran's economic development, so he himself will work to "lift sanctions" and "repair the economy".
On the other hand, on July 6, after the results of the presidential election in Iran, many countries sent congratulatory messages to Iran one after another.
In his congratulatory message, Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed the hope that Pezeshitsyan would expand constructive bilateral cooperation between Russia and Iran in various fields and cooperate efficiently in resolving international hotspot issues. In his congratulatory message, the Chinese head of state also stressed that China attaches great importance to the development of China-Iran relations and is willing to work with Mr. President to guide the China-Iran comprehensive strategic partnership in depth.
It is worth noting that in addition to countries in the Middle East such as Syria and Saudi Arabia, as well as pro-Iran countries such as China and Russia, South Korea in East Asia has also sent congratulatory messages to Iran and expressed the hope that relations between South Korea and Iran can be improved. This move is very abnormal, and one can't help but wonder whether this is the "will of the United States" or a unilateral action by South Korea. But in any respect, the current Iranian presidential change can be regarded as a victory, and it has not further exacerbated the political turmoil in Iran, which is barely good news.
Pezeshitsyan succeeded in coming to power, and two wars were critical
But at the same time, this is only the first hurdle for Pezeshiziyan, who is a reformist.
Hong Kong media Hong Kong 01 mentioned in a report on July 6 that for the new Iranian government, although the hijab storm has "passed its peak", the legacy still exists, and Iran will continue to face two "endless wars".
The first war was a war with Israel and the United States, and despite losing the presidential election, the Iranian hardliners represented by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps still have strong strength, which leads to Iran not stopping its mobilization of the "axis of resistance", continuing to engage in military friction with Israel and the United States, and continuing to fight a geopolitical war with no end.
The second war came from within Iran, where the generation of Iranians born between 1966 and 1988 was called the "burnt generation", and as they entered middle age, they generally lost faith in Iran's future and were one of the sources of internal turmoil. Nowadays, with the development of online media, Iran's younger generation is also showing signs of developing in this direction, and how to solve this problem is the urgent task of the reformists represented by Pezeshiziyan.
From the perspective of these two wars, the existence of the former is destined to make it difficult for Iran to reconcile with the Western world, and the latter puts Iran at risk of implosion.
Internal undercurrents are surging, and China-Russia-Iran relations are ushering in a big test
On the other hand, the engagement with the West advocated by Iranian reformists also means that the trilateral relations between China, Russia and Iran will face a major test. Because the relationship between Russia and Iran is now highly tied to the situation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, if the Iranian government wants to engage in further dialogue with the West, it is obviously extremely crucial to stop military trade with Russia.
However, these suicide drones produced by Iran have become an important reliance for the Russian army to maintain an offensive posture on the front line, and once the relevant trade is stopped, there will inevitably be a certain "cold period" in Russian-Iranian relations.
The same is true in relations with China, where China has previously orchestrated the "reconciliation of the century" between Iran and Saudi Arabia, marking the "silence" of the largest Shia and Sunni countries in the Middle East, and an important support for the new security system in the Middle East.
However, if Iran takes the initiative to throw itself into the Western camp, or even makes certain compromises with the Western camp, it will directly balance Saudi Arabia's "coldness" in relations with the United States and return the Middle East region to a state of equilibrium in which the two camps wrestle with each other, which is not in line with the development trend of global multipolarization and China's fundamental interests in the Middle East.
Therefore, the coming to power of Pezeshizian will have an extremely far-reaching impact on the Middle East and even the world pattern.
But then again, Pezegchicyan's presidency has not even been hot, and the relevant governance concepts and diplomatic actions have not yet been revealed, and it seems a bit arbitrary to simply label him a "Westerner".