Stock selection logic (all must be met when selecting stocks, strictly implemented):
(1) Fry the new not the old, and fry the low but not the high; (2) only do the core, not stray hair; (3) Buy tickets and choose the trend to buy, try to buy as low as possible and not chase high; (4) There is no bottom in the fall, and the fool Bo rebounds;
Sell Logic:
If it falls below a certain stop-loss moving average for two consecutive days, it must be sold; (Note: The moving average is generally the 5, 10, and 20-day lines, and the stop loss level needs to move up with the rise of the stock, but not down; ）
Index Sentiment Analysis:
Friday's sharp rise in the index was largely due to the expectation of a weekend interest rate cut. Before the market, the central bank announced that [the one-year and five-year LPR were both lowered by 10 basis points]. The expectation of many funds in the market is 25 basis points, but the actual data is much smaller than this, less than expected, and there is a certain degree of smashing at the opening.
In addition, during last week's meeting, mysterious funds frantically pulled up the CSI 300 ETF/SSE 50 ETF to protect the disk. At the end of this week's meeting, as expected, there was no buying capital in an instant, and the CSI 300 ETF/SSE 50 ETF was in free fall.
The amount of energy has also fallen with the rest of GJD, and today is only 656.5 billion, a day at the level of land volume. This kind of volume can not support the market at all, and it depends on who will replenish it in the next two days. If there is no increment, beware of the possibility of the index turning downward.
The only advantage today is that dividend stocks such as banks, electricity, and oil have fallen, and the theme of partial return of funds has led to a slightly stronger sentiment today than the index.
It is that the front row of the list of gainers in this sector is wind power equipment, data security, Huawei Hongmeng and other super-falling directions, and the continuous logic is not large. Only local stocks have risen continuously, such as Shanghai Belling, Volkswagen Transportation, King Long Automobile, and quantitatively-led Lei Erwei and other stocks. But these stocks should be divergent expectations tomorrow, and after the divergence, we need to see the market to undertake. Tomorrow to undertake a strong focus on low absorption, if not strong, you should be cautious.
Anyway, the market is still like this, a very small number of people eat meat, and the vast majority of people run sideways and cut meat down.
Theme Analysis:
Unmanned driving: the strongest main line in the market, the three main boards of popular core Volkswagen Transportation, Jinjiang Online, and King Long Automobile continue to rise to new highs; The quantitative cores of Leierwei and Encore continue to be active.
At present, public transportation is the core representative of the trend of making money; And Jin Jiang Online is a turning point representative of the mood of the board is no longer A killing. With both, the sector is destined to continue to perform.
The intraday catalyst of the sector is mainly as follows: Serve Robotics, a U.S. delivery robot company, was raised by Nvidia, and its stock price continued to rise sharply, rising 64% in pre-market hours after doubling last Friday. At the opening of today's market, unmanned delivery vehicles such as King Long Automobile, Feiliks, and Yutong Heavy Industries took the lead in the daily limit, driving the popular core public transportation, Jinjiang Online, and Leierwei to rise sharply or increase the limit.
was expected to be adjusted, and the direction of preparing to suction low, because of the stimulation of the news, it was a high lift, which was very unfriendly to players outside the court.
At the end of today, the high standard of the plate is all up or touching, and there are some signs of climax. If you don't give a chance at the opening, you won't go tomorrow, and it's expected that there will be a big divergence. Wait for the divergence to look at it in a day or two.
Tomorrow's strength and weakness of the core of the plate can be stared at public transportation and Jinjiang Online. The two of them live and die together, and they have not been separated for the time being. Tomorrow, if Jin Jiang Online directly checks it, then be cautious; If it exceeds expectations, then it is necessary to pay attention to the possibility of unmanned driving going to a large cycle.
The current core stocks are as follows, in addition, if the Feiliks sector is strong, you can pay attention to arbitrage opportunities.
Chip direction: Sure enough, it is a large plate, which requires a large amount of funds, and in the context of shrinkage, the subdivision will basically go out in one day.
Thursday's rise is lithography machines, gluing and developing equipment; What rose on Friday was the auto chip, and today, it is basically completely turned off. In the context of differences, whether it can be stronger tomorrow is very much to eat the Chinese army and the market volume can be feedback. The market volume can start at 700 billion; The Chinese military mainly looks at the feedback of the three stocks of North Huachuang, SMIC, and Tongfu Microelectronics.
Above, if the feedback is good, pay attention to whether the popular core Shanghai Belling can drive the return of the plate. Reflux, then low absorption of the three days of strong stocks, such as Shanghai Belling (popular core), Lanying Equipment (lithography machine with acceptable form), Shuangle shares (quantitative like, but today's form is not good, minus points), Xinyuan Micro (gluing and developing equipment core), Yachuang Electronics, New Clean Energy, etc.
Vitamin D3:
The logic of continuous price increases, which continues to rise sharply today, is expected to continue. The following stocks focus on megatrend opportunities, such as Core Garden Bio (No. 1 in global output of vitamin D3), Zhejiang Pharmaceutical (about No. 5 in output, with a good trend), and Brother Technology (VB1).
Tomorrow's Strategy:
Looking at the strength of the divergence and the market volume, if it is small, continue to pay attention to unmanned driving, chips only focus on a few cores, and other vitamin trends, if the mood is adjusted, this branch is easy to benefit.