On July 31, Hamas leader Haniyeh was attacked after returning to his home after attending the inauguration ceremony of Iran's new president, killing Haniyeh and one of his bodyguards.
This sudden assassination will undoubtedly have a tremendous impact on the already tense Palestinian-Israeli situation.
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Ali, has publicly stated that he will take revenge on the perpetrators and avenge Hania.
And Hamas was extremely angry and denounced Israel's terrorist acts.
Judging from the fierce reactions of Hamas and Iran, the Palestinian-Israeli negotiations are likely to be unworkable, and the conflict between the two sides will further escalate in the future.
Some analysts believe that within a week, Iran and the arc of resistance will launch a large-scale strike on Israel.
According to Iran's military strength, Israel may suffer considerable losses if it does so.
This is undoubtedly a bad thing for United States.
At present, United States is facing a lot of troubles, and it is not willing to jump into the muddy pit of Palestine and Israel, let alone see the Palestinian-Israeli situation escalate again, which is why the United States government has taken the initiative to promote peace despite the opposition of the Israel right-wing forces.
But this assassination completely shattered the United States plan, and Iran and the arc of resistance could not bear this breath, and retaliation was imperative.
And once Israel falls into the disadvantage, United States will have to personally end up in order to keep this nail inserted into the Middle East.
However, this is clearly not in the interests of United States, and Biden still wants to use diplomatic means to de-escalate the situation.
According to a report by the global network, Mora, a senior EU diplomat, has traveled to Tehran to hold talks with Iran, apparently to persuade Iran not to retaliate.
At the same time, the United States also sent diplomats to Saudi Arabia.
Now that Saudi Arabia and Iran have resumed diplomatic relations, the relationship between the two sides on the Palestinian-Israeli issue is quite harmonious, so it is United States likely that they want to persuade the princes of the Middle East to persuade Iran.
United States' purpose is very clear, that is, it hopes that Iran will not retaliate, and even if it wants to retaliate, it is better to just make a show, just shoot a few missiles at will, and do not carry out a large-scale strike on Israel.
At the moment, it is not known whether the two sides have negotiated a result, but it is worth noting that at this critical moment, the Western media published the details of Chania's death.
And there are three rather strange doubts among them.
In fact, after Chania's assassination, details about his assassination spread all over the Internet.
Some say it was a missile attack, and a missile hit Chania's room with precision.
But judging from the pictures and videos circulating on the Internet, although the windows of the room where Chania was located were shattered, the damage to the exterior wall was not particularly serious, and it did not look like a missile attack.
There is also speculation that Chaniye died in a rocket attack.
In short, various theories are rampant, but the authoritative media around the world have not given specific statements.
It was not until August 2 that several United States media outlets gave details of Chania's assassination.
According to a report by Guangming Network, United States media said that Haniyeh did not die from a missile attack, but a bomb hidden under the bed in advance.
The New York Times also gave more details, claiming that the bomb was not planted recently, but had been planted in the room two months earlier.
On the day of the incident, after Hania returned to the room, the killer used the remote control and detonated the bomb.
Source: Guangming.com August 3, 2024 Report on "US media: Hamas leader killed by bomb hidden in hotel where he stayed".
Although the US media's report seems to be reasonable, there are actually many doubts.
First: how did the murderer let him into the hotel
The hotel where Haniya stayed, guarded by the Iran military, has hosted many important people, and Haniah has stayed several times before, and its status is similar to that of the state guesthouse on the mainland.
There is no doubt that the security of such an important hotel must be the highest level, and the guards will be quite tight.
In this case, how did the attacker sneak into the hotel with a bomb and not be detected? And I didn't find it for two months.
Won't the security staff at the hotel check?
Although we all know that there are a large number of pro-Western people in Iran, who have been heavily infiltrated from top to bottom, it is still difficult for me to believe that external forces can unscrupulously assassinate Iran's guests.
If Iran have really rotted to such an extent, then why should United States and Israel face the enemy when facing Iran?
Second: The timing of the bomb planted by the killer is also strange.
In May, former Iran President Raisi died in a plane crash while attending the event.
After dealing with Raisi's aftermath, the Iran government organized the general election in full swing, and finally Pezeshiziyan won the election and became the new president of Iran.
This time, Haniyeh traveled to Iran mainly to attend the inauguration ceremony of the new president, Pezeshizizyan.
If, according to the United States media, the killers had planted the bomb in the hotel two months earlier, how did they accurately predict that Hamas would send people to the inauguration?
Taking a step back, even if the killer judged Hamas's close relationship with Iran that Hamas would attend the inauguration ceremony of Iran's new president.
But in a high-security hotel, the killers could never have planted a bomb in every room, so how did they predict which room Chania would stay in?
Even with internal considerations, it is almost impossible to plan an assassination two months in advance, because there are so many variables.
As long as there is a slight change in the period, Chania's itinerary may change, and the assassination plan will fail, how can the scheming Mossad carry out such a time-consuming and laborious plan with uncertain results?
Third: The timing of this news in the United States media is also somewhat unusual.
As we mentioned earlier, the United States and the West had just found Iran to negotiate on the front foot, hoping that Iran would not retaliate, and the media on the back foot broke out quite outrageous details of the assassination.
There is some relevance to this, no matter how you look at it.
United States is likely using this to deflect pressure on Iran, after all, the assassination was planned two months ago and aimed at Hamas, not Iran.
Once the news comes out, at least the anti-American attitude of the Iranian people will not be too fierce, which can give the Iran government some buffer space
In this way, Iran's retaliation may be reduced, after all, Iran itself does not want to go to war directly with the United States and Israel.
The reason why the reaction is so fierce now is largely because it has been erected, and if there is no retaliation, the domestic people will be dissatisfied, and the international image will also be affected.
Therefore United States it is very likely that they will take the initiative to give Iran a step in exchange for Iran lower retaliation.
Of course, the above three doubts are only speculation, and there is no specific evidence, and we are not clear which direction Iran and US-Israel relations will take.
But what is certain is that Haniyeh's death will definitely bring more variables to the Middle East, and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict will continue to escalate for some time to come, which is nothing less than a bad thing for people in the Middle East.