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Who would have thought that Japan's political scene would set off an "earthquake-like" shift change under the scorching summer sun, and just when people were still immersed in the joyful atmosphere of the summer festival, a shocking news broke through the sky like a thunderbolt, Fumio Kishida announced that he would not participate in the LDP presidential election, effectively announcing his resignation. The once glorious Japan prime minister has now chosen to "retreat bravely", and what is even more interesting is that on the eve of his resignation, the Kishida government is still busy sending heavyweights to visit China.
Let's turn the clock back to the end of 2023, when the LDP's "political black gold" scandal began to surface. This time bomb ticked over Japan's political arena as if it could be detonated at any time, and as time went on, the scandal continued to ferment, like an undercurrent surging in Japan's political arena.
The LDP's practice of setting sales targets for members of the Diet and selling political fund-raising party tickets for fundraising is like a double-edged sword, which not only hurts the credibility of the government, but also makes the people lose confidence in politics. This behavior is reminiscent of past scandals in Japan's political scene, but this time the impact seems to be more far-reaching, as it comes against the backdrop of Japan's economic downturn and growing social tensions.
On August 14, 2024, Fumio Kishida finally couldn't hold back and officially announced that he would not participate in the presidential election of the Liberal Democratic Party, a decision that stirred up a thousand waves like a stone, causing an uproar in Japan's political circles.
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Fumio Kishida's approval rating has been hovering around 20%, like a small grass crumbling in the cold wind, facing the double blow of factional contradictions within the party and the decline of public trust, Fumio Kishida can be described as a dilemma. His resignation became his "optimal solution", a decision that was both a way to protect his own political career and a way to preserve the LDP's long-term ruling position.
However, at this time of turmoil, the Japan government made a surprising move. The surprise visit to China by Minister of Health, Labor and Welfare Keizo Takemi in mid-August has raised eyebrows: Could this be Kishida's last resort before he resigns?
Keizo Takemi's visit to China can be described as a diplomatic move with a special mission, and as Minister of Health, Labor and Welfare, Keizo Takemi's duties mainly involve social welfare and labor issues in Japan. However, his visit to China is burdened with a more important mission, to promote friendly exchanges between China and Japan, and this arrangement fully reflects the importance that the Kishida government attaches to Sino-Japanese relations.
What is even more jaw-dropping is that Japan also plans to send a political and business delegation to China by the end of August, which is undoubtedly sending a signal of goodwill to China. Japan seems to be playing a "China card", hoping to make breakthroughs on the two issues of visa liberalization and the return of Japan's aquatic products to the Chinese market.
This series of diplomatic moves by the Japan side is like a well-choreographed diplomatic dance music, and in this way, they hope to inject new vitality into Sino-Japanese relations before Kishida Fumio leaves office. However, diplomacy is like playing chess, and every step requires careful consideration, and it will take time to verify whether this series of moves by Japan can achieve the desired results.
However, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi's statement at the international conference gave Japan a blow to the head, and the four words "if you do not advance, you will retreat" are like a hammer, shattering Japan's beautiful illusions. This statement is not only a warning to Japan, but also an expectation for the future of Sino-Japanese relations, and China hopes that Japan will adopt a more proactive attitude in bilateral relations, rather than just staying at the surface of friendly gestures.
At the same time, the situation in Japan is not optimistic, the economic recession, social contradictions have intensified, and the Liberal Democratic Party has lost elections one after another, and this series of problems is like a mountain, weighing on the shoulders of Fumio Kishida. The downturn in Japan's economy is not just a decline in numbers, but also deeply rooted in the daily lives of ordinary people, with rising prices, stagnant wages, and unstable employment making Japan anxious about the future, and the LDP's election defeat has further exacerbated dissatisfaction with the ruling party.
Looking back at the "political black gold" scandal during the administration of Fumio Kishida, it is not surprising that Fumio Kishida's approval rating is sluggish in this context, which not only exposes some unspoken rules in the Japan political arena, but also makes people question the integrity of politics.
Today, the transfer of power in Japan's political arena is like an "earthquake" change, and the future direction is full of suspense. Shinjiro Koizumi, Shigeru Ishiba, Taro Kono and others are eager to try and prepare for the prime minister's throne, and this political wrestling will undoubtedly affect the situation in Japan and even East Asia.
As the son of former Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi, Shinjiro Koizumi has a prominent political background and a high reputation, and he advocates equal environmental protection and economic development, and has quite a supporter among young voters. Shigeru Ishiba is known for his political experience and steady image, and is considered a reliable candidate to lead Japan out of its current predicament, while Taro Kono has won a lot of support for his open-minded political stance and international vision.
In this political storm, the development of Sino-Japanese relations has become a focus that cannot be ignored, and peaceful development is the main theme of Sino-Japanese relations, which requires the joint efforts of both sides. The Japan Government's visit to China by sending high-level representatives to China during this sensitive period is undoubtedly a gesture of goodwill to China and hopes to make breakthroughs on some key issues.
However, diplomacy is like playing chess, and every step needs to be carefully considered, and China's foreign ministry statement is both a warning to Japan and an expectation for the future of Sino-Japanese relations. Fumio Kishida's resignation is like a boulder thrown into a calm lake, stirring up a thousand waves, which is not only a simple change of power, but also a profound self-adjustment in Japan's political arena. Faced with a series of problems such as the "political black gold" scandal, the economic downturn, and the decline of public trust, Japan's political scene urgently needs a new leader to turn the tide.
In this political storm, we cannot help but ask, what will be the future of Japan's political arena, whether the new leader can lead Japan out of its current predicament, and how will Sino-Japanese relations develop? These questions take time to come up with answers.
In any case, we should remain rational and calm, and the political situation is changing, but peaceful development is always the main theme. It is hoped that the new leader of Japan will continue to promote the development of Sino-Japanese relations in a more positive direction and bring more benefits to the people of the two countries.
It is worth noting that this change in Japan's political arena will not only affect Japan's domestic political situation, but will also have a far-reaching impact on the entire East Asian region. As the world's third largest economy, Japan's political trend is of great significance to the global economy and regional security, so the international community is also paying close attention to this change in Japan's political arena.
On the economic front, Japan's new leaders will face a series of challenges such as how to stimulate economic growth and tackle inflation. Japan's economic policies will not only affect Japan people's livelihoods at home, but will also affect economic relations with major trading partners such as China and United States.
On the diplomatic front, how the new leader will balance the Japan-US alliance and Sino-Japanese relations, and how he will deal with the historical legacy of Korea will be important tests. Especially in the current complex international situation, the direction of Japan's foreign policy will directly affect the stability and peace of the East Asian region.
In addition, some social problems in Japan, such as an aging population, labor shortages, and reform of the social welfare system, also urgently need effective solutions from the new leaders, which are not only related to Japan's long-term development, but may also become key factors affecting the approval rating of the new leaders.
Finally, we might as well make a bold prediction that a new political star may emerge in Japan's political arena in the future, who or she will lead Japan out of its current predicament and reshape Japan's image on the international stage. At the same time, China-Japan relations may also usher in new opportunities, and the cooperation between the two countries in many fields such as economy, culture, and environmental protection is expected to be further deepened.
Information sources:
Japan Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said he would not participate in the LDP presidential election 2024-08-14 14:04·CCTV News
Japan's Senate passed amendments to the Political Funds Regulation Act 2024-06-19 12:03· Beijing Daily client