The Middle East is once again in the spotlight. The level of tension seems to be accelerating in an irreversible direction towards the most severe.
Lebanon, once a tranquil Eastern Mediterranean country, now faces a heavy shadow of becoming a second Gaza, and its future fate tugs at every nerve of the international community.
On 24 September, an AFP report thundered when Israel forces launched airstrikes on the southern outskirts of Lebanon's capital, Beirut, killing a senior Allah commander. This incident quickly escalated the already tense situation in the Middle East and became the trigger for a new round of conflict.
Then, the air raid on the 25th killed at least 72 people and injured 392 people, the Lebanon people struggled in despair, and the future of the country was overshadowed.
Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's tough statement indicates that the Israeli army's attack on Allah will be an unprecedented and unimaginable action.
However, in the face of the threat of hundreds of thousands of rockets and missiles in the hands of Allah, Israel's ground military operation does not appear to have proceeded as quickly as expected. This is a war that neither side dares to win easily, and the rash actions of either side could lead to catastrophic consequences.
Just as the situation in Lebanon is heating up, another unexpected event is taking place in the Middle East.
Israel's artillery fire has once again turned to Syria, this time targeting Tartus, an important port city with a Russia naval base. Israel's undeclared war has made the already complex situation in the Middle East even more confusing.
Syria quickly activated its air defense system, but key questions such as whether the S-300 anti-aircraft missile was successfully intercepted, whether the Israel missile accurately hit the target, and whether the Russian base was damaged are still mysterious.
This incident not only tested Syria's air defense capabilities, but also invisibly increased tensions between Russia and Israel.
Looking back over the past few years, relations between Russia and Israel have been full of ups and downs. Despite differences between the two countries in a number of areas, the two sides have always maintained a delicate balance and avoided the outbreak of a direct military conflict. Israel's attack on Tartus is undoubtedly a major challenge to this balance.
Outwardly, Israel does not seem to intend to completely tear its face with Russia. After all, not long ago, Netanyahu sent his military secretary, Gorman, to Russia to negotiate a ceasefire in Gaza and the safe return of detainees.
However, Israel's action has undoubtedly brought a lot of pressure to Russia, especially in the context of the ongoing Russian-Ukrainian conflict and the Gaza war, Russia's tolerance for Israel has reached its limit.
However, it is worth noting that Israel move may not only be a provocation to Russia, but more likely a petition submitted to the United States. As Israel's largest ally, United States' interests in the Middle East are closely linked to Israel.
Faced with the threat of Iran, Allah Party and other forces, Israel urgently need United States military assistance to consolidate its own security. Therefore, by attacking Tartus to show United States its determination and strength, it may be possible to exchange United States more support and assistance.
With the build-up of the elite Israeli army in Lebanon and the heavy losses of Hamas's main force, a new round of turmoil and chaos in the Middle East seems inevitable.
For Russia, this is undoubtedly an excellent opportunity to drag the United States into the quagmire of war. However, the calm attitude of Iran and United States has made this plan uncertain.
Although Russia does not want to suffer dumb losses, it is still unknown whether it will launch retaliatory actions against Israel in the current situation of being attacked by the enemy and full of dangers.
After all, Israel is not a soft persimmon, and its military power is strong enough to discourage any adversary. Therefore, in the face of a desperate situation, Israel will never be soft on Russia.
The situation in the Middle East is like an impending storm, the scale and depth of its impact are unpredictable. Who will be the ultimate winner in this storm? Is it Russia, Israel or United States? Or the innocent civilians involved in the maelstrom of war?
All this will be revealed gradually in the coming days. In any case, it is hoped that this storm will pass as soon as possible and that peace and tranquility will return to the Middle East.