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Shocking data is coming. NATO planes finally flew over the Black Sea.
A Turning Point on the Battlefield in Ukraine
Unprecedented changes are taking place. From the presence of a large number of NATO military aircraft over the Black Sea, to the accumulation of large reserves on the border of Ukraine, to the signs of a rout of the Ukraine army on key fronts, the chain of developments is alarming. What will happen to the war? What kind of deep game is behind it? Let's explore the mysteries together.
The latest war situation: Ukraine is on the verge of collapse
According to the latest reports of military correspondents, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are in an extremely difficult situation in the Ugledar region. After fierce fighting, Russian forces have taken control of the southern and western parts of the city and raised the Russia flag in a high-rise building. Although the 72nd Brigade of Ukraine received the order to retreat, it found that the only way to retreat was laid by the Russian army, and it was difficult to evacuate safely. Some Ukrainian troops were even hit on the way to flee, suffering heavy casualties. Shockingly, the Ukraine military has not only abandoned the 72nd Brigade, but even the 58th Brigade and some mercenary units have been abandoned in the city and are being "melted" by the Russian army.
Even more worrying is the fact that the General Staff of Ukraine ordered a complete withdrawal of troops from Ugledar, but the troops had nowhere to go. NATO's large-scale military operations over the Black Sea are also alarming and may well set the stage for major developments to come. Military experts analyze that Ukraine's defense lines in key areas are rapidly collapsing, which may indicate that a larger military crisis is brewing.
The interests of all parties: Who's in the game?
The root cause of this war is not simply a territorial struggle, but a complex game of interests hidden behind the scenes. On the one hand, Russia is trying to rebuild its influence in Eastern Europe by force and restore the geopolitical advantages of the Soviet era. Ukraine, on the other hand, wants to get rid of Russia's influence and turn to the European and American camps for security guarantees.
But on the other hand, NATO countries are also competing in secret. They value Ukraine's status as a buffer zone and do not want it to fall completely under Russia's control. At the same time, the United States also wants to contain Russia through the Ukraine issue and hinder its further expansion in Europe. A military conflict provides NATO with the "legitimacy" to intervene and can take the opportunity to consolidate its strategic presence in Eastern Europe.
Historical legacies and cultural differences are also important factors leading to the irreconcilable contradictions between Russia and Ukraine. Although the two countries once had close relations, the long-standing differences in national consciousness and political positions have caused deep-rooted hatred. This makes it difficult for both sides to reach a compromise at the negotiating table.
Unpredictable consequences
If this war worsens, it will have far-reaching consequences for the regional and global landscape. First, Ukraine's military collapse is bound to exacerbate its economic and social turmoil and bring great suffering to the local population. While Russia's victory could secure its geopolitical advantage in Eastern Europe, it is also likely to trigger tougher sanctions from Western countries, further worsening its economic situation.
Second, the spread of war could also trigger a larger-scale military confrontation. If NATO gets involved, it is likely to turn into a direct conflict between Russia and the United States, or even the terrible prospect of provoking a third world war. Even if such extremes are avoided, local wars will exacerbate the confrontation between East and West, exacerbating the already fragile international order.
However, war may also contribute to the resolution of some long-term problems. For example, it could push European countries to accelerate their energy transition and reduce their dependence on Russia; At the same time, it may accelerate the transformation of Ukraine society and promote the deepening of the democratization process. But these "positive effects" are built on the premise that the war will not get out of control, which is undoubtedly a huge bet.
What is thought-provoking is that the current geopolitical game has gone beyond simple military conflicts and involves deeper interest competitions such as energy security, technological competition, and even ideological confrontation. We have to wonder: when will human society be able to move beyond narrow nationalism and power politics and build a more just and inclusive international order? The outcome of this war may be a harbinger of the future direction of the world.
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