Waking up, the news was a bit jaw-dropping, with serious infighting in the West erupting — Turkey announced it would expel ambassadors from 10 countries, including the United States, Germany, and France.
You know, the expulsion of diplomats is a very serious diplomatic incident. Now, Turkey is expelling the ambassador, and once the expulsion is 10 countries, the starting point is the US ambassador.
Many of them are still NATO allies, and this matter is a big deal.
Well, Turkey is angry and the consequences are severe.
Comprehensive media coverage.
1. Who announced it?
Turkish President Erdogan!
At a rally on October 23, Erdogan declared: "I have ordered the Ministry of Foreign Affairs that the ambassadors of 10 countries must be immediately declared "undesirable" and that "they will know and know about Turkey." They don't know they're leaving when they don't know Turkey. ”
People cheered.
Since they are not welcome, they will be expelled according to diplomatic practice.
2, Which 10 countries?
United States
Germany
France
Canada
Denmark
Netherlands
Norway
Sweden
Finland
New Zealand.
The U.S. is the lead, the European Union is up, a lot of it is a NATO ally, and oh, there's a New Zealand.
Looking at it, the UK and Australia are slippery and are not among them.
3. What annoys Turkey?
Kavala Event!
In Turkey's view, the philanthropist Kavala, who conspired to participate in the coup d'état in 2016, has been detained for years and is on trial, most likely for life.
In that coup, Erdogan was almost overthrown, if it were not for Putin's timely communication regardless of the previous accusations, the current Turkish president, nine times out of ten, would not be him.
But the West believes that the trial of Kavala is actually Turkey's political framing. On October 18, the ambassadors of the 10 Western countries issued a joint statement ordering Turkey to "immediately release" Kavala.
Turkey was angry, and the Foreign Ministry summoned the ambassadors and scolded them for being irresponsible.
Erdogan, who is not willing to do so, is said to have scolded on October 21 that the ambassadors of these countries would not release their own "bandits, murderers and terrorists".
Two days later, he increased his weight and simply announced at the mass rally that all the ambassadors of the 10 countries would be expelled.
Don't forget, Erdogan was an ambitious man, and in the eyes of the West, he was not even satisfied with Mustafa Kemal ii, but wanted to be the king of the Middle East.
Take a look at the Reaction of the West. The ten countries are in urgent consultations. Of course, some Western politicians are also tit-for-tat: never bow to Turkey, Erdogan, you wait.
So on, next, three possible consequences.
Possibility one, Turkey really expelled.
Now that everything has been said, let's expel it. But there is no doubt that this will be the worst conflict between the Erdogan regime and the West, and the diplomatic equivalence, the 10 Western countries will retaliate and expel the Turkish ambassador, which means the arrival of a full-blown diplomatic crisis.
Possibility two, can not be expelled.
Erdogan also put his mouth cannon, and under the pressure of the West, he changed his mouth a few days later: Well, the next is not an example. But such a major event, such a light and fluttering result, where did Erdogan's face rest? Of course, diplomacy is illusory, not to mention Turkey in the country, everything is possible.
Possibility three, the two sides saw acting.
The Turkish stick is waved, and it may not actually be put into action, or it may end up expelling an ordinary diplomat to sacrifice the flag. Western retaliation may not be a real knife and a real gun, just like acting, the two sides of you and I fight back and forth, lively and lively, it is over.
International politics, interesting.
Finally, what do you think?
Old rules, three rough opinions.
First, sure enough, Turkey in the country.
France was furious and at most recalled its ambassador to the United States. Please note that it is the ambassador who recalls himself, not the ambassador who expelled the other person.
But Turkey is Turkey, expulsion! Moreover, one drive is 10 countries, what the United States, France, Germany, your ambassadors are all out of the way.
Erdogan's boldness, Macron really can't compare. The premise is that if it is really expelled, otherwise it will make Macron laugh.
Second, people's hearts are scattered, and the team is really difficult to bring.
France was furious and recalled the ambassador to the United States; Turkey was furious and wanted to expel the American ambassador. It is estimated that the Americans also sighed, people's hearts were scattered, and the team was really difficult to bring.
Not to mention Germany, don't forget, a few years ago, the "Six Gate Sect besieged the Bright Peak".
Also, the United Kingdom and Australia, how to slip their heads like this, the Protest Statement led by the United States, actually did not participate, sitting on the mountain and watching the tiger's head.
These former little brothers now dare to play a trick on big brother one by one.
Big Brother's face, where is it now?
Third, the West is really not monolithic.
The West is definitely still the West, and people like to be in the same breath, but under the so-called values, there are more profound contradictions.
Anyway, recently, we saw:
France and the United States, Britain and Australia are allies, but there is a "submarine crisis";
France and Britain are old enemies and are staging a "fishing crisis";
The UK and the EU are separated, and the "cheese friction" is not over;
The United States and Germany, around the "Nord Stream 2" are still in various struggles;
Poland and the European Union are now quarreling over the "constitutional crisis";
The United States and Japan, the inextricable "agricultural friction";
The United States and Mexico, the unbearable immigration conflict;
Japan and South Korea, the contradiction between the old wrongdoers, we don't need to say more...
The United States is still the boss of the West, and the West has a Western style, and we should not have any illusions about this. Of course, we must also be confident, and we must also have strategy, don't look at these countries as brothers and brothers, but in terms of specific interests, it is really not a monolith.
The reason is very simple, in this world, there are no eternal enemies, there are no eternal friends, there are eternal interests.
Now, all of them are NATO allies, and Turkey is furious and will expel the ambassadors of 10 countries, including the United States, France, and Germany.
What about the United States?
Turkey in the middle of the country, sure enough, there are problems again.