With 5 more rounds to go, the CBA's regular season of the season will come to an end. As the race draws to a close, the playoffs are becoming clearer and more intense.
Currently, seven teams have already locked up playoff qualification early, six more teams have missed the playoffs early, and the remaining five playoffs will be produced between the remaining seven teams.
Seven teams are locked in
The seven teams that have been locked up for the playoffs are: Guangsha, Shanghai, Liaoning, Zhejiang, Shenzhen, Guangdong and Beijing.
Among them, Guangsha, Shanghai, Liaoning and Zhejiang have already locked up the playoff qualification in the second phase of the regular season (ending on January 28), and Guangdong and Shenzhen have locked up the playoff qualification after three rounds of the third phase of the regular season (March 1). Beijing, on the other hand, has just locked up playoff qualification after today's double-win against Guangzhou.
It's worth noting that while there are only 5 rounds left in the regular season, no team has yet been able to determine the final ranking. The gap between the top four Guangsha, Shanghai, Liaoning and Zhejiang is very small, and there are still many games between them that have not yet been fought, which also makes the final ranking of the top four in the regular season extremely suspenseful. At the same time, Shenzhen and Guangdong also have the possibility of impacting the top four, but because they are at least 2 wins behind the fourth place Zhejiang, this also makes Shenzhen and Guangdong lose the initiative, and can only wait for the results of the top four teams while competing for victory.
Six teams were out early
The six teams that missed the playoffs earlier were: Sichuan, Qingdao, Fujian, Jiangsu, Ningbo and Tongxi. Among them, Ningbo and Tongxi missed the playoffs in the second stage of the regular season, and the other four teams lost the playoff qualification after the start of the third stage.
Qingdao completely missed the playoffs after today's fiasco against Guangsha. At present, Qingdao only has 10 wins and 23 losses, even if the remaining 5 rounds of regular season all wins, they can only achieve 15 wins, the record is not as good as the current ranking of 12th, the record is already 16 wins and 16 losses of Beikong.
Sichuan, which wins today and currently has 11 wins, if the remaining 5 rounds of regular season games are also won, it can get 16 wins under extreme circumstances. Assuming that Beijing Control loses all the remaining regular season matches and the record is 16 wins, the record of the two teams will be the same. However, because they were killed by The North Control double this season, they were inferior in each other's hands, so Sichuan also missed the playoffs in advance.
Seven teams compete for 5 spots
The remaining five playoff spots will be created between seven teams in Shanxi, Guangzhou, Jilin, Shandong, Beikong, Tianjin and Xinjiang.
At present, the best situation in the playoffs is Shanxi and Guangzhou, as well as Jilin, which have already won 19 games. Although the remaining games in Shanxi will play two games against Shanghai and one against Zhejiang, the other three games will be two games against Sichuan and one against Jiangsu; the remaining games in Guangzhou will play two games against Shenzhen and one against Guangdong, but also two games against Fujian. As long as they win two more games and win 21 games each, Shanxi and Guangzhou can avoid the results of three or more teams with the same record (under the limit theory), thus locking up the playoff qualification in advance (Xinjiang or Tianjin up to 20 wins).
Jilin, who currently have 18 wins, have doubled Xinjiang this season, but they have been double-killed by Tianjin, and they need to win three more games and achieve 21 wins to be sure to reach the playoffs. Their remaining games include two games against Zhejiang, two games against Qingdao, and one against Jiangsu, and as long as they can win Qingdao and Jiangsu, Jilin can lock in the playoffs.
The slightly worse situation in the playoffs is Shandong. Shandong, who won 17 games, drew 1-1 with Xinjiang in the regular season but lost to Xinjiang in a small score, and temporarily played tianjin once and lost to the opponent, so Shandong only had to win four more games to ensure that they could reach the playoffs, but this was extremely difficult for them. Because Shandong's remaining opponents include Shenzhen, Tianjin, Beijing and Guangdong, Shandong can only grasp more initiative if it takes revenge on Tianjin and has an advantage in small points, but they are currently 2 wins ahead of Xinjiang and Tianjin, which will become their advantage.
The toughest playoff situations are in Beijing, Xinjiang and Tianjin. After beating Guangdong in the last upset, Beijing Control currently has only 16 wins. Their remaining opponents include two battles in Tianjin, and one each against Beijing, Guangdong, Shenzhen and Fujian. Considering that their main players like Zhang Fan, Liao Sanning and Zou Yuchen are injured, Zou Yuchen may not even be able to play in the remaining regular season, and it is very stressful for Beijing To enter the playoffs unless it can kill Tianjin twice.
The remaining regular season games in Xinjiang include a second-game match against Shenzhen and one match each against Guangdong, Beijing and Tianjin. Unless it can continue to win some strong opponents, such as the previous upset to defeat Guangdong and today's shenzhen, and it is best to avenge Tianjin, which is ahead of itself, it will not be easy for Xinjiang to qualify for the playoffs.
Tianjin's remaining opponents include the two battles of Beikong and Ningbo, and will also play once each with Xinjiang and Shandong. The matches with Beijing Control and Xinjiang, especially the two games against Beijing Control, are likely to directly determine their playoff situation.