Today is the Dragon Boat Festival, I wish you all a safe and healthy Dragon Boat Festival! In fact, the Dragon Boat Festival has another meaning, the end is the beginning, and the afternoon is 11 o'clock to 13 o'clock, which is the hottest time of the day; Therefore, the Dragon Boat Festival is also pointed out as the weather is starting to get hot.
After last week's decline, can the market stabilize and rebound after the holiday?
Judging from the weekend news, investors are obviously dissatisfied with quantitative differentiated fees, which is not as good as expected; In addition, the sluggish trading volume, which means that a large number of people have left the market in despair, with the current trading volume, to get out of a wave of rebound market, almost impossible, superimposed on Friday night, the United States non-farm payrolls data exceeded expectations, the European and American markets fell across the board and other factors, the market next week is not optimistic.
In general, there are many unfavorable factors in A-shares, and it is not only easier to go short than long, but also to obtain greater benefits and superimpose quantitative "whack-a-mole" harvesting, resulting in no operability in the market; This kind of market where in addition to losing money is losing money, who else wants to enter the market.
This week's capital market event reminder
On January 12, the National Bureau of Statistics will release CPI and PPI data for May; There will also be social finance data released this week. The US will release CPI data for May.
2. There will be 18.714 billion shares lifted in the three trading days from Tuesday to Thursday this week, with a market value of about 114.8 billion yuan, and you must know that the daily turnover is only about 700 billion yuan. Among them, more than 70 billion yuan of Three Gorges Energy has been lifted.
3. A number of ST stocks will take off their caps next week, among which *ST Fuji and *ST Huichen will withdraw their delisting risk warnings on Tuesday; ST Guoan and ST Shida revoked other risk warnings; On the 12th, *ST Zhengbang and *ST Toyo revoked the delisting risk warning, and *ST Gold doubled the delisting risk alert, and continued to implement other risk warnings. It is conducive to releasing panic about ST, and you can pay attention to the target with the risk warning of revocation.
At 24 o'clock on June 13, the domestic refined oil price opened a new round of adjustment window, and the price of gasoline and diesel is expected to be reduced by 205 yuan/ton.
On June 13, the Federal Reserve will publish a summary of its interest rate decision and economic expectations. The G7 meeting will be held in Puglia, Italy. Tesla held an annual shareholders' meeting, and the humanoid robot that has been released to warm up is one of the highlights.
On June 14, Japan will announce its interest rate decision.
July 10-14, Apple Worldwide Developers Conference.
From June 12th to 14th, Shanghai held the 10th China International Technology Import and Export Expo, with the theme of "Digital Chain Era, Green Future".
Good news for the industry
Integrated circuit industry
From January to May this year, the export value of the mainland's integrated circuit industry increased by 21.2% year-on-year, surpassing the growth of automobiles by 20.1 in the same period, and the export value of South Korea's chips increased by 54.5% year-on-year, maintaining growth for seven consecutive months; Among them, the export of memory chips increased by 98.3%. Behind this, it is mainly due to the growth of demand for HBM and other chips by artificial intelligence, which has led to an increase in semiconductor exports.
The National Grand Fund
On June 7, the State Administration of Financial Supervision approved the administrative approval of the six major state-owned banks to participate in the investment and establishment of the third phase of the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund.
The registered capital of the third phase of the fund is 344 billion, and according to the proportion of local matching funds and social funds leveraged in the first and second phases, the third phase of the fund is expected to bring 1.5 trillion or even larger incremental investment funds to the semiconductor industry.
Memory chips
According to the analysis of the CFM flash memory market, for the upcoming third quarter, a number of original storage manufacturers have released signals that their quotations will continue to rise.
On the 6th, despite the flat performance of the consumer market demand in the second quarter, the memory module factory maintained a strong annual growth rate in May, and was optimistic about the replacement tide of terminal applications driven by AI, and the memory price is expected to continue to rise, and the DRAM spot price will return to the same rise mode as the contract price after August.
Brokerage
Mergers and acquisitions in the securities industry are progressing steadily, and market expectations are rising. Zheshang Securities announced that the transfer of 449 million shares of Guodu Securities held by Guohua Energy for about 1 billion yuan is conducive to promoting the continuous improvement of capital strength.
Regulation encourages the brokerage industry to enhance its core competitiveness through mergers and acquisitions, which is expected to promote the evolution of the industry pattern, and the mergers and acquisitions of securities companies may become one of the important investment themes this year.
real estate
National Standing Meeting: Continue to study the policy measures to reserve new high-end cars to de-stock and stabilize the market. No wonder real estate rose suddenly on Friday, it turned out that there were funds to know the news in advance. Since it has risen in advance, what is left is risk.
Satellite navigation
China Satellite Network Group, China North Industries Group, and China Mobile Communications Group jointly invested 4 billion yuan to establish Spatio-temporal Information Group; The business scope includes satellite navigation services, satellite communication services, big data services, artificial intelligence public data platforms, geographic remote sensing information services, etc.
Transportation equipment updates
The Ministry of Transport and other thirteen departments issued the "Action Plan for Large-scale Equipment Renewal of Transportation", and by 2028, it will involve the basic elimination of ship power, new energy buses, and old locomotives in key areas, and realize the large-scale alternative application of new energy locomotives, mail security inspection, Beidou terminals, and transportation carbon emissions.
Judging from the above good news, chip semiconductors are undoubtedly the most positive and the most promising sectors that can come out of the current market.
The chip concept rose by 50% during the first phase of the big base, and the large fund rose nearly 3 times during the period, and the scale of the third phase of the large fund is more than the sum of the first and second phases, under the influence of the A-share environment, there is no performance; With an incremental capital of 1.5 trillion, it is impossible not to perform, and it is only a matter of time before chip semiconductors come out of a big bull market.
Taking advantage of the current callback, choosing leading enterprises in subdivided fields, especially varieties with a very low probability of exposure, burying positions on dips, and waiting for the coming of the tuyere is one of the best strategies at present.
Recently, several articles on the concept of chips have been published in the column "Coach's Selection", among which the target is not only extremely low in the probability of thunderstorms, but also predicted that the leading enterprises will increase their net profits by more than 10 times year-on-year this year, but the stock price is still at the bottom, which is an ideal target for burying positions. If you want to know more, you can check it out.
That's all for today's article, I wish you all a healthy Dragon Boat Festival and a smooth investment!