There was no suspense on Monday this week, although the index rebounded, it was just a deadlift index, such a rebound is not good, and finally it was pitted, what's the point?
Over the weekend, the three major exchanges announced the full resumption of IPOs. This kind of mischief, broken jar and broken move, so that many people interpret the negative as a good, saying that there must be a way to resolve the negative, the so-called solution is nothing more than to increase the intensity of mysterious funds into the market, and the result is that everyone has also seen that the effect of the bailout funds is getting worse and worse, worse than last Friday, which is the result of dishonesty. You save yours, I'll go mine, you just pull up, I'll run. As a result, it can only pull the index, and individual stocks are still miserable.
The weak strength of the bailout funds is really unable to withstand the large amount of selling pressure from institutions, and the selling pressure of institutions is further increased today, unless the bailout funds increase their efforts to hedge a large number of selling pressure from institutions.
Nearly 5,000 stocks in the two cities fell, more than 10 sectors represented by electricity and wine turned infrared, and the rest fell across the board. Weight protection, small and medium-sized themes have become the hardest hit areas. There was a pessimistic atmosphere throughout the market, and investors were discouraged.
1. A-shares are once again on the hot search, and panic is spreading
The market suffered a heavy setback today. From the perspective of the sector, banks, brewing, electricity and other weights tried their best to protect the disk, the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index rose, Moutai opened sharply lower and then rose rapidly, and it has been running in the red in the afternoon. Obviously, the index as a whole relied on some weights as a cover, and a large number of small and medium-sized themes fell sharply, and the yellow line representing small and medium-sized themes on the tick chart fell sharply throughout the day.
The underlying SSE 50 ETF rose sharply, but the CSI 300 ETF rose and fell, falling all the way in the afternoon, and the central enterprise technology ETF fluctuated all the way throughout the day. The disk protection funds are also powerless, fall more and rise less, what does the market take to rise, and what is the use of pulling a few large-cap heavyweight stocks, the more you pull the weight, the more you divert the theme of the funds, the more it will cause the money-making effect to fall.
The people's hearts are scattered, the team is not easy to bring, the disk protection funds are nothing more than to play the role of throwing bricks and attracting jade through a small buy, to attract retail institutions to enter the market, retail investors are lying down, want to buy the bottom and there are no bullets, the key is that the institutional funds are endless, do not expect institutional funds to flow in, at least the outflow must be reduced, today a day outflow of more than 42 billion, that is only one way down.
When it just broke 3,000 points last Friday, the mentality of investors was still stable. Today, it is obvious that many people can't sit still, and they directly began to sell in the morning, and today there are obvious signs of panic:
Last week's volume shrank to 620 billion, today from the morning began all the way to the volume, the whole day of the volume of 76.1 billion, despite this, the whole day can not exceed 700 billion, although the volume, but the degree of volume is insufficient, if it falls again, there will be more people to cut the meat, when the beginning of the fall many people still have hope, once you see that the decline can not be stopped, the mentality will change, will also join the ranks of cutting meat, and eventually the market will rebound with a large number of meat cutting plates, and it is still impossible to give an accurate signal to stop falling.
Every time the bottom is accompanied by the emergence of a large number of killings, but the real bottom must be supported by more signals:
First, after the volume kills the fall, there is a bottoming rebound, and a long K-line with a lower shadow appears on the K-line chart, indicating that there are bottom-buying funds entering the market. But it can't just pull the index, it must be a situation where the index and individual stocks pull up together. Like today, the index was only pulled, and individual stocks basically did not react, unable to attract funds to buy the bottom, and finally fell back.
Second, either there is a large-scale K-line, or there is an extremely shrinking K-line, preferably three in a row, and a large number of stocks rise every day.
Third, the market is often a small fall to a sharp fall, then to a slow fall, and then to stop falling, which is the same as the car driving, first slow and then fast, then slow, and then run in the opposite direction.
To be honest, that signal didn't appear today, and in the afternoon I was hoping for a rally and rebound, but in the end it was in vain.
The only good thing today is that there are more than 1,400 stocks that have fallen by more than 5%, and the panic in the market has been released to a certain extent.
2. Today, the small and medium-sized market has suffered a big purge, what should investors do?
There are several reasons why small and micro cap stocks are hurt the most during every big fall:
First, after the National Nine Articles, small and micro cap stocks have been continuously abandoned by institutions, which is already a general trend. When it rises, it is heavy, and when it falls, it is heavy, and the market has been mainly down, and the large weighted stocks are naturally favored, and the first to kill is the small and micro cap stocks.
Second, with the full recovery of IPOs. Now there are basically not many large-cap stocks, and even if there are, they are easy to dare not go on, and the next listed stocks are small-cap stocks, which will definitely have an impact on the current small and micro caps.
For small and micro disks, short-term killings and falls will inevitably fall into the sand, but in the future, we must not heal the scars and forget the pain. Especially those companies that lack performance support, although they do not lose money, but lack profitability, will slowly stay away. Even if there is a bull market in the market in the future, it can only be an index bull supported by the weight of the large market. Many individual stocks are also uncared for, marginalized for a long time, repeatedly shocked, only a small band opportunity, difficult to have a big opportunity.
In fact, from many friends' messages can feel the pessimism of the market, you don't enter, I don't enter, the market will naturally not rebound, the rebound of the market needs collective strength, relying on the action of protecting the disk funds alone, it will not work at all, unless it costs a trillion days to pull. The endless sell-off of institutional funds. The main forces are running, so what can be done to let retail investors.
No matter how long you invest, it doesn't mean that you will be able to make money, after a long time, you can see the essence of this market, and your heart will be more greedy and calm. If you have a good mentality, you won't have so many worries. Many people who lose money always pin their hopes on whether there will be a bull market in the future, and the people who really make money have nothing to do with the bull market, and the bull market is also a large number of people who lose money, but you are all friends around you are the first to enter, so you feel like you are making money. In fact, it is a large number of new leeks entering the market that brings a money-making effect.
Many also chose to leave the scene in anger. In fact, such talents are those who can really afford to let go, and most of those who think about where to fall and where to get up are still in vain.
The choice of whether to go or stay is your own choice, and it will not be easily changed because of other people's opinions.
The market has fallen to this point, and no one dares to say that you should cut the meat at this time. Opportunity arises in the big fall, which seems to be true but nonsense. This only applies to a very small percentage of people. Most of the heavy positions are trapped. Repeatedly hovering between profit and unhinging.
I have repeatedly emphasized that controlling positions, when the market is good, it is not much of a problem if you don't control positions, but most of the time in this market, the market is very bad, so you have to control positions.
I have always been a small position operation, when the big fall is sharp to enter the market, the small rise and fall basically do not move, today the big fall I slightly increased the position, a small profit did not go, the result is hedged again. I'm determined to do the right thing, and the overall money is small, so the ups and downs don't affect me much. So the mentality has been kept very good.
3. In the morning, my prediction was that there was a high probability of bottoming out and rebounding today, but in the end, I was slapped in the face by the market. What's next?
First, a panic has been formed today, but the degree of panic is insufficient, and the end of the market is still falling again, and the overall rhythm is still a big fall, and there is a high probability that it will continue to fall tomorrow.
Second, we are accustomed to seeing the rebound after a big fall, but in fact, sometimes the more terrible it is, many times, looking at the rebound is completely an inner idea, we must face the reality, someone is willing to buy the bottom before the rebound, at least we have to see that domestic institutions are no longer smashing the market. Will it stop tomorrow, you just think that you have thrown so much and it is time to make up for it, but this idea ultimately needs to be verified by the market.
Third, my point of view has been operating under the premise of strictly controlling positions, but many investors have already filled their positions, so my point of view is basically nonsense for them. My point of view is very clear, below 3000 points, talk about opportunities, not about risks. But after many people lose money, others want to talk about opportunities, politely say a few sarcastic words, and unkind words are a big scolding. Many times, the position is different, the operation must be different, you are full, at this time except for stupid waiting, what else can be done. But I have a light position, I dare to enter the market today, and I don't have anything to worry about if it falls tomorrow, I won't move, my low-level chips, am I afraid that there will be no chance to make money in the future.
How much it will fall below 3000 points, no one can predict. Every time I encounter a big fall, every time I panic, I will increase my position a little, I can sell a small rise, but a small drop can never enter, and the final position will never exceed seventy. I believe that below 3000 points, only lose time and do not lose money, as long as the market does not close, is it that the chips below 3000 points will not be able to be set for a long time.