Tactical board|The national football team aims to fight for the fourth, no need to care about Japan, Australia and Saudi Arabia! Winning Indonesia depends on one move

Mitch watches the ball

2024-06-27 19:28Super League scout, football tactics analyst and creator in the field of sports

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01 The goal of the national football team in the round of 18 stage is to fight for the top four, and there is no need to care about the results of the matches against Japan, Australia and Saudi Arabia.

02 Judging from the historical head-to-head record, the national football team has the advantage in the face of Bahrain and Indonesia, with a record of 6 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss and 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss respectively.

03 However, when the national football team faced the Saudi team, the winning rate was relatively low, with only 3 draws in history.

04 In order to complete the goal of fighting for the top four, the national football team needs to play 4 games in the round of 18, especially against Bahrain and Indonesia, and play its strength.

05 In addition, the addition of naturalized players, such as Oscar and Serginho, will help the national football team get back one point from Australia and improve the chances of success in the race for the fourth.

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Although it is in the same group as the strongest Saudi Arabian team in the third bracket, it is a sign for the national football team, but in terms of the strength of the national football team, the goal in the top 18 stage is to "fight for the fourth".

What really needs to be concerned is the two opponents of Bahrain and Indonesia. Judging from the historical head-to-head record, the national football team has the upper hand with 6 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss. If this "tradition" can be maintained, the national football team can get a place in the play-offs.

01. In the same group as Japan, Australia and Saudi Arabia: Is it considered a sign?

a. The top two teams: There is not much difference for the national football team

In fact, after the end of the bracket, we should understand that the national football team will inevitably enter the "group of death".

It's just that in the end, the first 3 brackets were drawn to Japan, Australia and Saudi Arabia, which are the highest-ranked FIFA teams in the same bracket, which seems to be a sign for the national football team.

Fortunately, compared with Iran and South Korea, the national football team may be slightly "better" in terms of score against the Japanese team. After all, in the face of the first gear, we shouldn't expect the national football team to score points.

In the second pot of teams, Qatar's national football team has just met in the Asian Cup, and even if they use a substitute lineup and a little force in the back, they can beat the national football team that wants to get a draw.

Iraq also showed good upward momentum, with the win over Japan being an example. This kind of opponent who is physically and technically superior in the face of the national football team is actually very difficult for us to encounter.

Therefore, as far as the first two gears are concerned, there is little difference between who is drawn for the national football team, and in the end it is in the same group as Japan, Australia and Saudi Arabia, which is actually the same result as in the last World Preliminaries.

b. The significance of the Saudi team to the national football team: I hope to double the other two

For the national football team, the most unfortunate seems to be that the third pot met the strongest Saudi team. After all, the strength of the Uzbekistan and Jordan teams still seems to be somewhat different from that of Saudi Arabia, which can beat Argentina.

However, it should be noted that the Jordanian team can eliminate South Korea in the Asian Cup to reach the final, and their strength is not something that the national football team can beat. In the same way, it is very difficult for the national football team to win for a team like Uzbekistan that has physical confrontation and high overall tactical literacy.

One of the advantages of being in the same group as the Saudi team is that this team has a high win rate against second- and third-rate Asian teams. Maybe the national football team will not be able to take advantage, but as long as Indonesia and Bahrain will be killed by the Saudi team, the goal of the national football team to fight for the fourth is good news.

After all, it was said from the beginning that the goal of the national football team in the top 18 is to compete for the fourth!

02. Last World Preliminaries: The national football team scored 2 points against Saudi Arabia and Australia

a. Can I take points from Australia? The key is to look at the distribution of technical players

Whether it's Saudi Arabia's technical superiority or Australia's physicality, they have a good chance of a double against Indonesia and Bahrain.

Even though the Indonesian team showed strong strength in Southeast Asia, the Indonesian team suffered a 0-4 defeat when they met Australia in the round of 16 of the Asian Cup. Although the gap on the field is not large, the style of play is compatible, so that the Indonesian team has no possibility of turning over.

If the opponent has no chance to score points, once the national football team can "steal" back 1 or 2 points, it can establish a big advantage. In the last World Preliminary Tournament, the national football team was in the same group as Saudi Arabia and Australia, and drew these two opponents in the second round to get 2 points.

However, the ability to draw Australia at that time was related to the three Brazilian internationals of Luo Guofu, Alan and Exxon in the front. Coupled with Wu Xi, Xu Xin and Wang Shenchao, they ensure that they can effectively maneuver with their opponents by maximizing their ball holding skills at their feet.

It's a pity that the lineup at that time is impossible for the national football team to replicate at this time. Can Fernando and Alain, who are in the front court at the moment, play a big enough role?

Whether Oscar and Serginho can be naturalized in time will be the key point to help the national football team get back one point from Australia.

b. Facing Saudi Arabia in the last World Preliminary Tournament: The national football team drew by luck

Compared to a draw with Australia at a neutral pitch, it is a matter of overall tactics and personnel. Then the game of the home draw against Saudi Arabia relied more on luck and the favor of the referee.

After all, the national football team had 2 to 18 shots in the whole game, 0 shots in the first half, and only 2 shots in the second half. The only shot on target in the game came from a somewhat unexpected penalty, and such a draw may not be easy to replicate.

Even the players who made the penalty kick at that time could not play for the national football team again, and many things have been "copied" and cannot be returned.

03. The top 18 match of the national football team: the key is to play 4 games

a. Bahrain and Indonesia: Historical record: 6 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss

Judging from the historical head-to-head record, the national football team faced the Bahrain team with 3 draws, and the Indonesian team faced 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, and the only defeat occurred 67 years ago.

Although the current Indonesian team, because of the naturalization of a large number of players from the Dutch league, the combat effectiveness has long been different. However, judging from their 0-4 loss to Australia (Asian Cup round of 16) and 1-5 loss to Iraq (World Preliminary Round of 36), the Indonesian team is still an opponent that the national football team can fight after all.

In the Asian Cup, Australia's goals came from the small penalty area to the penalty spot in front of the goal, I have to say that this routine is very Indonesian, and it will also give the national football team some reference.

In the match with the Thai team, the national football team has also shown its strength in this field. The three-center combination of Baihelamu, Zhang Yuning and Jiang Shenglong is unbearable for the opponent.

Maybe we don't have the ability to suppress the Indonesian team, but at least we can push for the last 20 minutes of the game and try to bring back the victory.

b. Fourth place in the group: Reaching the play-offs is a success

Although it is said that the expansion of the World Cup has brought the national football team closer to the main stage. However, the strength of the national football team is declining after all, and if you want to squeeze into the last train, you need great luck and the favor of a third party.

However, in any case, it is the responsibility of the national football team to finish fourth in the group and enter the play-offs, so that the players can get more opportunities to practice, and let the fans watch a few more "top confrontations" at the Asian level.

In order to accomplish this goal, the naturalization of Oscar and Serginho should also be accelerated in time.

After all, with someone who can hold the ball, the national football team can maneuver with the opponent, and the coach's tactics can be displayed. Especially the old Ivan, after all, is an offensive-oriented coach, and naturalized players should play a greater role in his hands.

Conclusion:

We are used to not having a national football team in the World Cup, but there is always a dream, but as long as the team is not out, we will hope that they can go further.

In particular, playing six games against top Asian teams such as Japan, Saudi Arabia and Australia will be a valuable asset for the development of young players in the national football team, which in itself is the greatest significance of our reaching the round of 18.

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