We see that the wholesale price of Moutai has shown a big dive in the past month or so, a month ago, the wholesale price of Moutai market was still able to maintain at about 2,600 yuan, at that time, a considerable number of dealers and scalpers who repurchased Moutai would basically recycle 53 degrees of Feitian Moutai at a price of 2,400 yuan at a price of 2,600 yuan, and then sell it at a price of 300~400 yuan, and the average price of the market was maintained at about 2,800 yuan.
If you want to buy cheap Moutai again, you can only go to the current e-commerce platform or the current i Moutai to buy Moutai for 1499 yuan. However, this kind of very test of people's luck and corresponding luck is often easy to grab only when the volume is particularly large in a specific time period, otherwise, if you want to buy a genuine 53 degrees flying Moutai, you still have to go to the dealer to increase the price by 1400 yuan to be able to buy it.
However, from the end of May, we saw that the price of Feitian Moutai at 53 degrees showed a large avalanche. The wholesale price in the market has fallen from 2,600 yuan all the way to the lowest around 2,080 yuan, and even some areas have fallen below the 2,000 yuan mark. Affected by this, we see that Moutai's stock price has also fallen relatively sharply, and in just one month, the market value of Moutai's stock price has also fallen by 300 billion, giving up its position as the first brother in market value.
Subsequently, we saw that Moutai urgently took action to regulate the supply and energy of Moutai in the current market, trying to stop the decline of Moutai prices through the balance between supply and demand in the market. Moutai Group began to suspend the provision of 12 bottles of a large box of Moutai, and for some Feitian Moutai and Zodiac Moutai and Moutai 1935 have corresponding limited quantities, under the joint price increase of Moutai joint distributors, we see that the price of Moutai has recovered to a certain extent, but it has risen from 2080 yuan to about 2200 yuan, and has not continued to rise.
So will Moutai fall sharply in the future?
Personally, I think that the price of Moutai will definitely continue to decline in the future, and the core reason is that the consumption scenario of high-end liquor like Moutai is limited and the domestic demand is insufficient, which promotes the price of Moutai's financial attributes to return to market rationality.
It is the ex-factory price of 898 yuan, and the market guide price is 1499 yuan, but at present, it is necessary to increase the price by about 600 yuan to be able to buy Feitian Moutai, which is unreasonable in itself.
When the market's sentiment returns to rationality, Moutai's current corkage rate is only 30%~40%, while Moutai's annual output can reach 120 million bottles.
Once the Moutai stored in the market for so many years falls sharply in the price of Moutai, it is likely to sell off on a large scale. In this case, the market price of Moutai is likely to return to the market guidance price of 1499 yuan, and even falling below the market guidance price is also a possibility, but it will take longer from the perspective of the time cycle.