This morning, the first televised debate of the US presidential election has ended.
First of all, there was not much talk about China, and it was better than expected.
The focus of attention has become Biden's performance, which is indeed worse than expected!
Stumbling speech, incoherent speech, and erratic eyes...... Old age!
For an 81-year-old man, it is actually normal to have such a state at this age.
But such a performance did make many middle voters "give up" on Biden.
According to real-time data, the well-known website PredictIt estimates that the probability of Biden winning the election after the debate fell from 47% the previous day to 33%, the lowest in the past year; Trump's win rate rose to 59 percent.
Tonight, the capital market is also voting with its feet: Trump Media Technology Group opened up nearly 8%!
If the current situation continues, then Biden will basically lose and Trump will basically win.
However, the Democrats seem to have prepared for both sides this year.
First of all, today's debate is a little earlier than in previous years.
Historically, the first round of debates in general elections has tended to take place after both parties have confirmed their candidates, usually in September.
Because the Democrats will not confirm their candidacies until August.
Therefore, before the official confirmation in August, the Democratic Party can change presidential candidates.
Today's debate is taking place ahead of schedule, and that should also be taken into account.
Just like now, Biden's performance is really poor, and it is possible that the Democratic Party will be replaced, such as Biden's Vice President Harris, and the political star of the Democratic Party, California Governor Newsom, are potential candidates.
But it is indeed very difficult for them to PK with Trump, a veteran.
Now, whether to change or not is a dilemma for the Democratic Party!
China, now we are watching the fire fight from the other side, we will not take sides anyway, just wait for the results of the US election to come out: whoever wins, we will talk to whom!
For the Biden administration, one thing is certain: it is to do as much as possible in the coming months.
After all, this is where the ruling party excels.
For example, inflation and employment, two key issues.
Geographically, the Russia-Ukraine and Middle East issues are probably difficult to resolve in the short term.
Hopefully, the Americans will continue to fight among themselves, and the more fiercely they fight, the less pressure they will put on China.
Anyway, in general, it's just one sentence: the situation is unknown, and you have to continue to boil!
Finally, a few words about the market.
This morning, the market was generally reversed, and it was still relatively strong, but in the afternoon, the brokerage suddenly dived, and Oriental Wealth and Wealth Trends took the lead in diving.
A few small essays were transmitted, and it was difficult to distinguish between truth and falsehood.
However, there is an announcement tonight, which is issued by Fortune Trend: the Shanghai Stock Exchange issued a regulatory work letter to Fortune Trend, involving listed companies.
For the content of the regulatory working letter, the SSE requires that Wealth Trends does not need to publish specific content.
But the wealth trend claims: it has nothing to do with today's stock price decline!
However, this coincidence still aroused the association of the majority of shareholders......
In addition, the village chief also spoke tonight: a comprehensive evaluation of capital market reforms such as the registration system is being carried out in depth!
is still evaluating, there is still no substantive action, and the shareholders have already left the market in disappointment......