This year's pig breeding is able to make money, the price of pigs is the same as last year, because this year's fattening piglets and feed are much cheaper than last year, last year's pig prices are basically a slight profit, that is, the price of pigs has increased significantly, and there are farms that are losing money, which has a lot to do with whether to master pig breeding management technology, disease prevention and control technology and pig management, Last year, some breeding enterprises reported that the production cost of fat pigs per catty was only 5.5 yuan, some farms need 9 yuan, the difference is very large, last year the production cost per catty was generally about 7.50 yuan, the second half of this year pig price trend is bullish, at the end of August into the pork consumption season will go all the way up, pig prices to November - December into this year's highest price period, the price per catty is estimated to fluctuate around 11 yuan, it is difficult to occur a big rise and fall phenomenon.
On May 18 this year, pig prices in various places began to rise slowly, to the Dragon Boat Festival around the price of fat pigs per catty in most places more than 8.5 yuan, some places broke through 9 yuan close to 10 yuan, I think the pig price rise is mainly due to the fact that it has now entered a new pig price cycle, pig energy, human factors and the overlap of the Dragon Boat Festival and the college entrance examination time. After May 18, the price of live pigs rose slowly, many pig farmers took a wait-and-see attitude, reducing the number of fat pigs slaughtered, resulting in a shortage of fat pigs in the market, the Dragon Boat Festival and the college entrance examination time pork demand increased, an increase and a decrease, the price of live pigs during the Dragon Boat Festival has risen sharply, and the price of live pigs in many places exceeds 9 yuan, that is, the price of live pigs per catty has risen by 1.5-2 yuan. After the end of the Dragon Boat Festival, pork consumption was further weakened, and the price of live pigs began to fall, but the decline was small, and the price of live pigs remained at a high level, still maintained at 8.5-9 yuan per catty. Why is it said that this year's pig breeding can make money and not lose money?
1. According to the analysis of experts, in June this year, it has bid farewell to the pig price cycle in 2022 and entered a new pig price cycle, ending the long loss period of pig raising and entering a new price cycle.
Recently, due to the hot and dry climate and school summer vacation, pork consumption has been greatly reduced, pig prices fluctuate frequently, the price is down a few corners today, tomorrow up a few corners, on the whole is showing a slow downward trend, there is no big ups and downs, the current pig market is stable. It can be seen from the last few pig price cycles, in the early stage of each pig price cycle, the time is about 1-1.5 years, this stage is the dividend period of pig raising, often entering a new pig price cycle Pig prices will continue to rise, pig prices will rise more, decline less, breeding profits will be greatly improved, is the golden age of the pig industry, into the early stage of the pig price cycle into the pig profit period. However, due to the fact that the lean pork raised abroad is not favored by consumers, the amount of pork consumed has declined. Secondly, at the end of the year, the number of people processing pickled products has been greatly reduced, and the price of live pigs will fall every year, and the price of pork will rise sharply during the New Year's holidays, and the government will put a large number of low-price reserves of pork to stabilize the market pork price.
Second, in June, the price of fattening piglets continued to decline, this year during the Dragon Boat Festival pig prices soared, following the trend of breeding farms increased significantly, with the end of the Dragon Boat Festival, pig prices continued to decline, following the trend of pig breeders decreased, fattening piglet prices continued to decline. The fattening piglets purchased in June after 5-6 months of fattening will be slaughtered in 11-12 months, that is to say, this year's large reduction in the number of breeding sows is fruitful, due to the serious surplus of domestic pig breeding in recent years, especially the overbreeding of sows, according to statistics, the number of domestic breeding sows has been maintained at more than 42 million, too many sows, naturally resulting in too many piglets, resulting in overbreeding of pigs, resulting in long-term sluggishness in pig prices.
This year, the production capacity has been greatly reduced, and the number of sows that can reproduce has been greatly reduced, and it has been reported that a large number of sows have been eliminated, and the number of sows in the herd is now around 39 million. If the number of sows decreases, the number of fattening piglets will decrease, and the number of fattening pigs on the market will be significantly reduced compared with previous years, and the supply and demand will reach a balance, and the price of pigs will reach a reasonable price. The price of piglets continues to decline, indicating that the number of pig breeders will be relatively reduced this year, so the number of fat pigs slaughtered in the next stage will be relatively reduced, and the price will rise relatively.
Third, the cost of fattening piglets has been greatly reduced, before last year, the price of pigs was high and did not make money, the fattening piglets remained high, and the price of each fattening piglet fluctuated around 1000 yuan for a long time. The production cost of each catty of pigs is more than 2.5 yuan, and the price of a piglet in the Spring Festival of 2020 has exceeded 2,500 yuan, and the production cost of each catty of pigs has reached about 10 yuan, and the price of fattening piglets this year has dropped to about 400 yuan per head, and the production cost of each pig has been reduced by more than 500 yuan, which is equivalent to increasing breeding income by more than 500 yuan.
Fourth, the cost of feed declined, this year's feed raw material prices continued to drop in price, feed raw materials corn, soybean meal prices are stable and low, is a cheap period for many years, corn per catty maintained at about 1.20 yuan, soybean meal prices continue to fall, the price per catty is maintained at about 1.7 yuan, feed raw materials have fallen too much than in previous years, feed costs account for about 70% of production costs, feed prices have declined, breeding profits will increase significantly.
This year, pig breeding must be able to make a lot of money, but it can not be careless, to consider the changes in the price of pigs now is very weird, the season of the price increase is not the price increase, the price should not be increased in the season, the pig farmers should grasp the opportunity, the pig price has a proper profit when the slaughter should be slaughtered in time, do not press the fence, their own affairs, do not be bewitched by the meat of the Internet pig price, do not lack of people's hearts to swallow the elephant, pay attention to avoid the end of October 2022 14 yuan per catty will not be slaughtered and wait until the loss to slaughter the phenomenon of recurrence.