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The Ukrainian army's counteroffensive in the summer failed, and the Russian army's multi-point defense worked, and the fate of Bakhmut became the focus
Ukraine launched the summer counteroffensive operation since June 4, encountered stubborn resistance from the Russian army in the direction of Yuzhnodonetsk, heavy losses, according to the Russia Ministry of Defense, the Ukrainian army lost more than 1,500 people in two days, 28 tanks were destroyed, including the much-watched 8 Leopard tanks, the Russian army's multi-arms coordinated operation, successfully stopped the offensive momentum of the Ukrainian army, crushed its attempt to quickly break through the Russian defense line, and the Ukrainian side also had to admit that the results of the counteroffensive were far lower than expected
The situation on the battlefield in Ukraine is changing rapidly, but the offensive of the Ukrainian army in the direction of Bakhmut has made the Russian side uneasy, under the tactical containment of the Ukrainian army's voice to attack the west, the Russian army's defense in Bakhmut has a hole, the Ukrainian army successfully recaptured the northern key place Berkhivka, Wagner Group leader Prigozhin, who has been fighting here for several months, pessimistically predicts that the Russian army can only hold the city destroyed by the war for one to one and a half months at most
Wagner leaders have again warned of the repetition of uncertainties in the battle for Bakhmut
Prigozhin's remarks undoubtedly cast a shadow on the situation in Bakhmut, he believes that the Russian regular army that replaced the Wagner forces stationed in Bakhmut lacks actual combat experience and effective defensive strategies, and it is difficult to withstand the continuous offensive of the Ukrainian army, Prigozhin's pessimistic prediction is not groundless, the offensive and determination of the Ukrainian army in the Bakhmut direction, as well as the continuous military assistance from Western countries, have added variables to the fate of Bakhmut
Russia does not agree with Prigozhin's pessimistic statement, the Russian military insists that the Ukrainian army's attack on the north side of Bakhmut is only a local offensive, and has been effectively suppressed by Russian artillery fire, and the Russian side believes that Prigozhin's remarks are suspected of exaggeration, in order to highlight the importance of the Wagner Group and create public opinion for its possible return to the battlefield in Bakhmut
The Ukrainian army's counteroffensive has a long way to go, and the Russian army strengthens its defense to protect strategic locations
Although the Ukrainian army has made some progress in the Bakhmut direction, its summer counteroffensive operations as a whole still face great challenges, the Russian army after the initial defeat, quickly adjusted its strategic deployment, strengthened fortifications, and relied on strong firepower advantages to effectively strike at the Ukrainian army, if the Ukrainian army wants to achieve a decisive victory in the summer counteroffensive, it still needs to overcome many problems such as insufficient troops and equipment gaps
With this Russia is also actively responding to Ukraine's counteroffensive operations, in addition to strengthening defense in the eastern region of Ukraine, the Russian army has also strengthened its military deployment in the Black Sea and the Baltic Sea in response to possible military actions taken by NATO, it is foreseeable that in the coming period, the military confrontation between Russia and Ukraine in the eastern region of Ukraine will continue, and the fate of Bakhmut will also become one of the focal points of this conflict
When the fighting will cease and whether negotiations will begin remains unclear
Since the outbreak of the Ukraine crisis, it has had a huge impact on the warring parties and the regional situation, and although the international community has continued to call for peace talks, due to the huge gap between the positions of the two sides, the possibility of reaching a ceasefire agreement through negotiations in the short term is still slim
In the future, where the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will go depends on the interaction and game of multiple factors, the mediation efforts of the international community, the attitude of Western countries and the performance of both sides on the battlefield will have an important impact on the final situation, but it is certain that only through political dialogue to resolve differences can finally end this conflict and restore peace and stability to Ukraine and the region
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