The Japanese media are optimistic about India, in the next 10 years, India will replace China and become the "world's largest food consumer", India only has 2.9 million square kilometers of land, is it really a good thing that there is too much population?
Will India become the world's largest consumer of food?
More people mean more resources, but China has managed to control population growth so that the amount of population holdings matches the total amount of resources held by China, while our neighbor, India, is not so lucky, and it is still worrying about how to feed 1.4 billion people.
The reference news quoted the website of the "Japan Economic News" as saying that in the next 10 years, the protagonist of world food consumption will change from China to India. Specifically, China's share of global demand for agricultural and fishery products will plummet rapidly to 11% in 2033 from 28% in 2024, and India's share will rapidly expand from the current 13% to 20%.
For wheat consumption, China's wheat consumption is expected to be about 147 million tons in 2033, compared with an annual average of 137 million tons from 2021 to 2023, an increase of only 2.6%, while India is not, due to the population surge, its demand for wheat is only a little more, reaching 137 million tons in 2033, close to China's level.
For rice consumption, China's consumption is forecast to remain stable over the next decade, while India's consumption is expected to soar by 22.8% from the current level. At this stage, China's average annual consumption is about 99 million tons, while India only accounts for one-twelfth of China's consumption, about 7.9 million tons.
Considering that India's dietary structure may change in the future, India's vision of replacing China and becoming the world's largest consumer of food and agricultural products is likely to be realized. However, the basic premise for this to happen is that China's population continues to decline, and the number of births is less than the number of normal deaths.
Without blowing or blackening, this report of the Japanese media is relatively objective, because under the condition that the total amount of resources remains unchanged, the excessive growth of the population has pulled down per capita consumption, making the situation of populous countries such as India more difficult. If India wants to get out of the hunger crisis, it must find a way to generate more wealth, otherwise excessive population growth will become the last straw that will overwhelm India.
It is worth noting: The Japanese media like to hype up the "Chinese population crisis" the most, because in their view, China, as an ordinary developing country, is categorically unable to feed 1.4 billion people, unless China intensively cultivates the existing 1.8 billion mu of arable land and makes agriculture an absolute pillar of the national economy.
Facts have proved that Japan has crooked thinking and lacks a fundamental understanding of China. For example, China only retains 1.8 billion mu of arable land, but China's per capita grain production has reached 486 kilograms, exceeding the world average. India retains 2.3 billion mu of arable land, and its per capita grain production is only a pitiful 232 kilograms.
The reason is that China has achieved complete industrialization, China uses modern technology to ensure the basic output of fertile land, while India is not, still relying on the weather for food and still accustomed to manual work. As a result, India has fallen into the curse of "the harder it works, the poorer it gets", causing the gap between it and China to widen.
As a loyal friend of India, Japan estimates that the release of this data is not used as a warning, but as an opportunity to elevate India's "status", making the Modi government mistakenly believe that India will become a major food consumer in the future, and India's every move will have a butterfly effect on the world.
What we want to say is that rapid population growth must be a bad thing, it will put a heavy burden on the country and make it difficult for the national economy. Japan does not need to wear a top hat for India, and Indians know the benefits of "one child per family" and "fewer children and more trees" if they have a little basic common sense.
India has too many people, which is not necessarily a good thing
A few points.
First, India must control population growth.
According to unofficial figures, India more than 25 million marriages last year, compared with 7.68 million marriages in China, India more than three times that of China. Considering that China has practiced the concept of family planning, it is predicted that China will not exceed 10 million newborns per year in the past two years, while India is still trying to have children, and it is estimated that the population will increase by at least 30 million a year.
India's population is larger than China's, and its birth rate is more than several times that of China, and it is difficult to withstand this pressure based on the actual land area of 2.9 million square kilometers. This is doomed: India is far more involved than China, and the standard of living of ordinary people in India is very low, as if they are in the Asura hell.
If India wants to make a difference, it must implement strict family planning, but India is known to be a caste-based religious country, and the country is scattered. Counting on a birth ban at the top and strict implementation at the bottom is even less likely than the ban on guns and marijuana in United States.
Second, Japan does not need to look at China's jokes, everyone has entered a "declining birthrate" and "aging" society, and no one can say how to live in the future.
China's side has completely liberalized the population to have children, but the results are still not optimistic, and China is still plagued by low fertility; Japan's situation is even worse than China's, and in order to maintain a sufficient number of labor forces, it has to constantly open up the channels for immigrants to enter the country, and as a result, Japan's law and order are getting worse and worse.
As for India, who cares!
Except for the United States, Japan, and the European Union, when they needed India to come forward to confront China, waving the flag for India, the rest of the time was watching the joke of "building bridges and collapsing bridges and destroying planes", the so-called world's largest democracy. India really has been able to look up to itself as a developed country, and it is the center of the universe.