Judging from the current situation, A-shares have basically rebounded for two weeks, and the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 0.72% and 0.37% respectively in the past two weeks.
Why?
Because, many times before the Shanghai Composite Index has appeared the index rise, individual stocks fall, or, the index falls, individual stocks rise, so, there is a certain distortion effect, in turn look at the CSI 2000 index, in fact, at this time, this week is down, the data shows that this week, the CSI 2000 index is a total of 2.94%.
What does this mean? In the author's opinion, this means that two signals are coming.
The first signal, why are the three major A-share indexes rising this week, but the CSI 2000 index still falling this week? In the author's opinion, there is only one reason, that is, driven by the weighted sector, which made the three major A-share indexes rise collectively this week, that is to say, the so-called stability maintenance funds have entered the market, pulling the weighted sector.
Just look at an index to understand, that is, the CSI 300, the data shows that this week the CSI 300 index rose a total of 1.92%, and the CSI 300 index has been 9 consecutive yang, the CSI 300 index is basically some weighted plates, funds want to stabilize the market, the probability is to pull the CSI 300 index, from the recent rise of the CSI 300 index can be seen.
On the other hand, the CSI 2000 index has become a stark contrast, from the CSI 2000 and the CSI 300 differentiation can be seen a signal, that is, most of the stocks in the market are still not very optimistic this week, and due to the existence of stability maintenance funds, the weight of the sector began to rise this week, thus driving the market atmosphere.
Therefore, the current market, there is still no synchronization of the rise, on the contrary, there is a certain synchronization of the fall, so don't look at the three major indexes of A-shares this week did rise, but, in fact, the real situation is general, most of the small and medium-sized sectors are still at the bottom, and the rebound is not large.
The second signal, we can see a phenomenon, the CSI 300 index has run to an obvious pressure level, that is, 3560 points, why is this position a pressure level? Quite simply, in this position, the quarterly line and the annual line are very close, then double pressure will be formed, and if it is near the long-term cost line, the pressure will be even greater.
Not only that, this position is just the bottom of a sideways space on the CSI 300 index, the chips are relatively dense, if you can break through this position, then, the follow-up may continue to go well, however, because the pressure on this position is too great, the market turnover is insufficient, so, tomorrow, and even next week, this position will probably become a pressure point.
Once, the CSI 300 index is under pressure, the market's stability maintenance capital strength decays, the index is likely not to go well, which is also the author's concern, and although the Shanghai Composite Index is rising, the rise is very limited, almost showing a state of horizontal operation, so the overall upward rhythm is very slow.
To sum up, the author believes that tomorrow, I'm afraid it's not very simple, at least, the pressure on the index will be greater, of course, the above is just the author's personal analysis.