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"We hope to get China's aid and support!" Remember that? This is the friendly ruling attitude expressed by New Zealand Prime Minister Christopher · Laxson to China before taking office.
However, as time passed, what was never expected was that just after the summit of NATO to celebrate its 75th anniversary, the leader of the country, who had always claimed to maintain friendly relations with China, suddenly "defected" and directly changed his foreign policy towards China.
At the summit, the national leader not only used the so-called "Chinese espionage case" as a topic to hype, but even publicly announced that New Zealand would no longer remain silent, and would not hesitate to criticize China, and said that in order to raise the business community's awareness and vigilance of the "China threat".
And during the NATO summit, he also publicly emphasized that China must abide by the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea. This abrupt shift in stance not only came as a surprise to the outside world, but also sparked widespread analysis and speculation.
What is the reason for New Zealand, a country that has always maintained good relations with China?
Suddenly choosing to stand on the opposite side of China? Is it due to domestic political pressures, or is it the result of changes in the international political landscape?
1. New Zealand that eats sugar-coated and spits out shells
New Zealand, formerly known as New Zealand, is an island nation in the southwestern Pacific Ocean, with a territory area of about 270,000 square kilometers, and the whole country is made up of the North Island, the South Island and some other small islands.
However, in fact, the mainland area of New Zealand is not large at all, and even the population is relatively small, but such a small country is also a highly developed capitalist country.
New Zealand has long been known for the moderation of its China policy, which has not blindly followed United States' China containment strategy in its relations with China.
This independent diplomatic posture has not only earned New Zealand the trust of China, but also brought significant economic benefits to itself.
New Zealand has a particularly strong trade relationship with China, which has been a key factor in the continued economic growth of both countries.
We all know that New Zealand's economy is dominated by traditional agriculture, and the quality of its export goods is excellent, especially its dairy products, lamb and other products enjoy a high reputation in the international market.
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Moreover, China has been New Zealand's largest trading partner for ten consecutive years. In the dairy sector in particular, demand from the Chinese market is vital to the dairy industry in New Zealand.
According to 2021 data, New Zealand exports 42% of its total dairy exports to China are enough to demonstrate the importance of the Chinese market.
Even since January this year, New Zealand dairy products have enjoyed zero tariff treatment in China, which has not only reduced the cost of New Zealand dairy products in the Chinese market.
It has also enhanced the purchasing power of Chinese consumers for New Zealand's high-quality dairy products, directly contributing to the continuous growth of trade between the two countries.
During New Zealand's visit to China from June 25 to 30, 2023, China and New Zealand also signed more than a dozen relevant trade cooperation documents, further consolidating the economic cooperation between the two sides.
However, at the end of 2018, the New Zealand government chose to deny a telecom operator in the country the use of Huawei's 5G services on the grounds of a threat to national security. After this year's NATO summit, New Zealand's new Prime Minister Luxon jumped out as a bird and began to behave as a demon.
The gentleman is righteous, the villain is mercenary, this sentence describes New Zealand, and it is very appropriate. In particular, New Zealand's current attitude can be described as properly two-faced. People in front of them and behind them, and they want to cooperate with China to make money, and they turn their heads to slander and smear China!
There is an old saying that "sugar cane is not sweet at both ends", so New Zealand's attitude towards China also determines China's attitude towards him, and there have been lessons from Australia's past, but New Zealand still turns a blind eye to this.
In the past few years, we all know that the first "anti-China vanguard" in the world is United States, and Australia, the younger brother of United States, has also followed the big brother United States to actively participate in United States' strategy of "containing China" and has helped United States do a lot of things against China.
However, the final result is that China directly takes corresponding countermeasures, and in the end, Australia can be said to be unable to pay. Their commodity market in China has cooled down, and even iron ore prices have continued to plummet.
Later, they realized that after losing the Chinese market, the export volume of most of Australia's goods showed a direct avalanche decline.
However, what is even more ironic is that United States, as his big brother, not only did not help him at this time, but also took the opportunity to steal Australia's share of goods in the Chinese market.
Later, after Australian Prime Minister Albanese took office, he spent all kinds of energy and time to finally make China-Australia relations show signs of breaking the ice.
So it is conceivable that if New Zealand continues to provoke China in this way, then we don't mind letting New Zealand become the next "Australia".
Second, New Zealand's "wishful abacus"
In fact, as New Zealand's "core ally" of the United States, the change in attitude toward China seems to be "reasonable", and this may be related to domestic political pressure and judgment of the international situation.
We all know that with the tense game of Sino-US relations, countries around the world are taking sides, and New Zealand may try to find a balance in the great power game in this case.
The United States, as the world's largest economy and New Zealand's traditional ally, has important implications for New Zealand's security and economy.
However, China, as an emerging global economic power, is New Zealand's largest trading partner and is vital to New Zealand's economic development. New Zealand maintain a balance between China and the United States, we must avoid a complete reversal of United States, and we must not ignore the close economic and trade relationship with China.
Politically domestically, the Lacson government has to deal with pressure from different political forces. New Zealand's domestic political environment is complex, and various parties have differences on China policy.
Of course, some analysts point out that the current government in New Zealand is a three-party coalition, which is very similar to Germany's traffic light government, which also has a great impact on their China strategy.
Of course, Laxon's tough remarks about China now also have the purpose of "testing the waters", mainly to test the reaction of United States and China. What the New Zealand government may not have anticipated, however, is that such an approach could end up putting New Zealand in a dilemma.
Some economic experts have analyzed that if New Zealand is too dependent on a large country, it may pose a huge threat to its economic stability.
However, there is another question worth pondering about New Zealand, whether it is really willing to sacrifice its long-term friendly relations with China for the sake of temporary diplomatic interests, which is an issue that the New Zealand government needs to seriously consider.
Because, as an island country, New Zealand's economic development is inseparable from the support of the international market, especially China, so "offending" China, the consequences will be immeasurable.
At present, the New Zealand government also needs to expand the international market through diversified foreign policies, reduce dependence on a large country, and ensure stable economic development.
It should be known that the relationship between New Zealand and China is not only economic cooperation, but also a manifestation of the friendship between the two peoples.
3. What should China do?
In the current complicated chess game of international politics, we have to face up to the fact that the various accusations made by the NATO bloc led by the United States against the mainland often lack solid evidence to support them.
In fact, these accusations are often a means adopted by certain countries to achieve their specific political goals, that is, to divert attention or exert pressure by making groundless accusations against the mainland.
In particular, some Western countries are trying to extend their influence to the Asia-Pacific region by this means as a way to contain "potential adversaries" in their eyes.
This way of thinking and operating in the old era not only runs counter to today's trend of globalization and multipolarization, but also seriously undermines the atmosphere of cooperation and harmony that the international community should have.
As one of the largest developing countries in the world, China's sustained development and rise has become an irresistible historical trend.
In terms of economic strength, scientific and technological innovation, and comprehensive national strength, China has shown remarkable growth and progress.
China's success lies not only in its rapid economic growth, but also in its adherence to the path of peaceful development, its active participation in global governance, and its commitment to building a community with a shared future for mankind.
This open and inclusive attitude is in stark contrast to the attempts of some countries to safeguard their own interests through unilateralism and protectionism.
However, China's rise and rise in international status have inevitably led to a series of challenges and tests. In the face of these challenges, China needs to respond more calmly and resolutely to changes in the international situation.
First, China needs to further deepen reform and opening up. Only through reform and opening up can we continuously enhance our comprehensive strength and enhance our international competitiveness.
China needs to strengthen its own scientific and technological innovation capabilities and master more core technologies to meet various challenges in international competition. In addition, China also needs to enhance its international discourse, actively participate in international affairs, make its voice heard, and safeguard its legitimate rights and interests.
At the same time, China also needs to strengthen exchanges and cooperation with other countries to jointly promote the building of a more just and reasonable international order.
The current international situation is full of uncertainty and complexity. In particular, the continuous expansion of NATO and the tension in the South China Sea have not only affected regional security and stability, but also had a far-reaching impact on global peace and development.
The change in New Zealand's attitude towards China also gives us an important warning. International relations are full of uncertainties, and the attitudes and positions of countries will constantly adjust as the situation changes, so we must remain highly vigilant and respond to various challenges that may arise at any time.
At the same time, this also makes us see a clear truth, that is, the pursuit of interests is unchanged, and people constantly adjust their positions and attitudes in order to pursue interests.
Epilogue:
All in all, the change in Laxon's attitude toward China is a complex process of foreign policy adjustment. The reasons behind this can involve multiple levels of domestic politics, international relations, and the global strategic landscape.
This change in foreign policy will undoubtedly have a far-reaching impact on the relations between China and New Zealand. It will not only affect bilateral trade, investment and cultural exchanges, but may also trigger a series of chain reactions on the international stage.
References
New Zealand reneged on its commitments to China and still wanted to make money in China? China: Sugarcane does not have two sweets--2024-07-15 19:29 · Wushihui
What should China do? Regarded as the biggest threat by the United States, how to protect yourself to the greatest extent - Source: Scientific Knowledge Show - Zhejiang