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Trump's shock is coming, and the situation in Southeast Asia is going to escalate? Life in Viet Nam in the Philippines will not be easy

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As photos of Trump raising his fist continue to ferment on the Internet after Trump's assassination, more and more United States people have begun to support Trump.

Coupled with the United States election, Trump's impassioned speech contrasts sharply with Biden, who is unclear and slow to speak.

It has also made Trump's approval rating in the United States higher and higher, and it is not surprising that Trump will most likely replace Biden as the United States new president.

Trump's shock is coming, and the situation in Southeast Asia is going to escalate? Life in Viet Nam in the Philippines will not be easy

So is Trump a good thing or a bad thing for Southeast Asian countries when he comes to power? Personally, I think that after Trump takes office, Southeast Asia will become the hardest hit area.

First of all, let's get to know Trump as a person, and those who know anything about him should know that Trump's favorite thing to do during his presidency is to make money, and it is a very direct way to increase tariffs quickly if you want to get money.

Trump's shock is coming, and the situation in Southeast Asia is going to escalate? Life in Viet Nam in the Philippines will not be easy
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He values the interests of United States more, and at the same time is unwilling to pay the price of international responsibility, he feels that only if United States is strong enough then there is no need to have allies, which can be said to be a very extreme person.

Secondly, regardless of face, he often does some things that go back on his word, such as withdrawing from the Paris climate agreement, and even withdrawing from NATO at one point, it can be said that the coming to power of such an unscrupulous person to achieve his goals is an uncertain factor for the whole world.

But I have to say that Trump is good because he doesn't like war, and in the United States election, he said that if he came to power, he would solve the Russian-Ukrainian war within 24 hours.

Trump's shock is coming, and the situation in Southeast Asia is going to escalate? Life in Viet Nam in the Philippines will not be easy

In short, after Trump takes office, there may be fewer military wars in the world due to United States, but economic wars will become more.

Recently, Trump publicly stated that he would impose a flat tariff of 10% on all imports after he moved into the White House, and 60% on Chinese goods.

I have to say that this behavior is not good for countries all over the world, but the mainland does not need to worry too much, after all, the mainland is now the second largest economy in the world and has trade contacts with many countries around the world.

Trump's shock is coming, and the situation in Southeast Asia is going to escalate? Life in Viet Nam in the Philippines will not be easy

Although the United States market is large, it will not cause much loss to the mainland after giving up, after all, the mainland can convert the products of the previous United States market to other countries' markets.

Second, if there is really so much tariff increase, before China can not support it, the local residents of United States should be the first to be unable to afford it, after all, the tariff increases, and the price of goods will definitely rise.

So it's the people of United States who are hurting. But those countries in Southeast Asia are miserable, take Viet Nam as an example, although Viet Nam is a powerful country in Southeast Asia.

Trump's shock is coming, and the situation in Southeast Asia is going to escalate? Life in Viet Nam in the Philippines will not be easy

But it does not have a big say in the international community, and United States is also the largest exporter of Viet Nam.

Once the United States raises import tariffs, it will be a serious blow to Viet Nam.

If United States raises tariffs, then whether Viet Nam has any other way to go, the answer is yes, and that path is China.

Trump's shock is coming, and the situation in Southeast Asia is going to escalate? Life in Viet Nam in the Philippines will not be easy

As Viet Nam joins the BRICS, economic and trade exchanges between China and Viet Nam become more frequent, and United States raises tariffs, so Viet Nam can turn its attention to the Chinese market.

In addition to Viet Nam, life in the Philippines will certainly not be easy, speaking of which, some people will ask if the Philippines is not the little brother of the United States, even if it is impacted, United States should be afraid of being their allies to reduce the pressure on the Philippines.

Actually, I don't know if you have heard such a sentence, being an enemy of United States is dangerous, being an ally of United States is deadly, and Japan's recent tragic situation shows that this is not a lie.

Trump's shock is coming, and the situation in Southeast Asia is going to escalate? Life in Viet Nam in the Philippines will not be easy

Compared with Viet Nam, the situation in the Philippines may be even worse, after all, Viet Nam can still rely on China, and the Philippines can't rely on China if it wants to.

Who let the Philippines listen to the words of United States and create conflicts in the South China Sea and the mainland, it can be said that the Philippines wants to avoid this calamity can be said to be wishful thinking.

Secondly, when Trump comes to power, he is likely to talk about the past, after all, as long as there are enough interests in Trump, then anything can be done.

Trump's shock is coming, and the situation in Southeast Asia is going to escalate? Life in Viet Nam in the Philippines will not be easy

Trump accused Viet Nam of currency manipulation when he was in office, and this time he is likely to use the old methods to sanction Viet Nam.

In the case of the Philippines, he may change Biden's strategy, which has previously been able to waive protection fees as long as the Philippines maintains a tough stance on China.

This policy is impossible for the money-hungry Trump to implement, so the Philippines should prepare early now, and when Trump takes office, it will definitely collect protection money.

Trump's shock is coming, and the situation in Southeast Asia is going to escalate? Life in Viet Nam in the Philippines will not be easy

But this is not the most terrible, the most terrible thing is to ask you to hand over the protection money during Biden's tenure, according to Trump's temperament, it can really happen.

Philippine leaders should now be under a lot of pressure to deal with the shock of Trump and how to minimize the losses in this shock.

If I want me to say that the Philippines might as well withdraw from the ranks of United States' allies and turn to China, after all, compared to United States, China is not only strong, but also has a very good reputation in the world, and is very good to its allies.

Trump's shock is coming, and the situation in Southeast Asia is going to escalate? Life in Viet Nam in the Philippines will not be easy

From Pakistan and Serbia, it can be seen that the most important point is that China never interferes in the internal affairs of other countries, of course, if you want to get China's support, it is essential to always recognize one China.

All in all, after Trump returned to the White House, the first countries in Southeast Asia to be hit were the countries of Southeast Asia, in fact, what Southeast Asia needed all along, was a balanced and progressive China that had United States its sustained and stable existence.

But for Trump, a real businessman, these things are floating clouds, which can be used as bargaining chips in exchange for profits.

Trump's shock is coming, and the situation in Southeast Asia is going to escalate? Life in Viet Nam in the Philippines will not be easy

If Southeast Asian countries want to reduce their losses in this game, what they must do is to huddle together to keep warm, and only when the entire Southeast Asian countries huddle together can they cope with the next storm.

In the face of Trump's imminent takeover of United States, we in China must also be prepared, after all, the last time Trump took office, he began to attack the mainland.

I still remember the technology war and the trade war at that time, although the final outcome was that we won, but we also suffered heavy losses.

Trump's shock is coming, and the situation in Southeast Asia is going to escalate? Life in Viet Nam in the Philippines will not be easy

Many domestic enterprises can not bear the impact of the United States, choose to build factories in other countries, and even collapse in the impact, after a few years, the impact is about to return, this time we have to come up with their own means to fight back against United States.

What do you think about Southeast Asia as the hardest hit by Trump's shock? Welcome to discuss in the comment area!

Trump's shock is coming, and the situation in Southeast Asia is going to escalate? Life in Viet Nam in the Philippines will not be easy

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