The storm has changed! The market has taken a sharp turn, except for banks and a few sectors that are driving wildly, and the mainstream sector is almost defeated! Liquor, semiconductor chips, new energy vehicles, medicine and medical biology led the decline.
1. The stock index is weakening, is the rally over?
2. Banks have risen to a new high, how to operate in the market after high dividends and bonuses?
3. What is the reason for the sharp decline in liquor and semiconductor chips?
4. The demon stock leader has a daily limit, and intelligent driving is on the upper hand, can you still get on the car?
5. Uncle commented that securities rushed to the hot search, what enlightenment can we get behind the phenomenon?
A comprehensive and in-depth reliable analysis is here, friends and friends take what they need and read it carefully!
1. The stock index is weakening, is the rally over?
At the beginning of the rally, Dark Horse pointed out that this wave of rebound is expected to run for 8-13 trading days. Yesterday was the 9th trading day since the rebound, and the time node was about to change. At this time, the stock index weakened and had a downward tendency.
On the 120-minute trend of the Shanghai Composite Index, the MACD reversed the 0 axis and then died, which is normally a 120-minute pullback. If there is no external intervention, it will test the previous low of the 2900 line, and there is even the possibility of falling below; If there is an external intervention, it can be pulled up at any time, which is not something that technical analysis is to solve, but a matter of policy and news analysis.
From the point of view of the technical pattern, it tends to change downward, fall out of a new low, do a short digging pit, and then carry out a real rebound.
This wave of rebound is doing okay. During the previous adjustment, it absorbed medical, technology, and GEM, etc., and yesterday it reduced its position on the GEM and CSI Medical. The only pity is that the science and technology 50 did not decrease yesterday, and I was going to wait for it to rush and then reduce it today, but it turned out to be killed directly in the bardo, so let's reduce it today.
The opportunities are all falling out, the risks are rising, and another wave of opportunities is coming in a few days, and the operation of the dark horse will basically be released before 15:00, pay attention to @dark horse Feitian to increase wealth, and don't get lost in investment and financial management!
Second, banks have risen to a new high, can the market of high dividends and bonuses still get on the bus?
When the market is bad, high dividends are more stable and stronger, forming a distinct rocker effect with the hot spots. Today's stock indices fell sharply, and the banking sector hit another all-time high. It seems that the rise is gratifying, and several major state-owned banks and Yangtze River Power have been rising all the way, but it is not suitable to catch up at this time. The core key to investment profitability is not to buy what has risen sharply now, but to buy what can not rise in the future!
In fact, the dividend market has been correcting for almost two months, and only banks and power are still holding on with high dividend indices.
This picture must be familiar to old friends, at least twice before to analyze the dividend low volatility market, near the high point of 5, clearly remind the mid-line adjustment risk.
The core of technical analysis is to find patterns by analyzing the trend structure and providing a basis for trading decisions. Let's see how clear the rhythm and pattern of the trend of the dividend low wave are. 2, 3, and 4 all started a pullback shortly after breaking through the previous wave of highs, and 5 broke through the 4 highs, and according to the previous law, it is about to face a phased pullback. So, near the high of 5, I suggest the risk of a phased pullback.
Later, because I was worried that some friends didn't see it or didn't pay enough attention to it, I reminded it again when the CSI Dividend Index broke.
The white line is an important support level for the CSI Dividend Index, wave A stepped back to support the rebound, wave B rebound has weakened without hitting a new high, when the C wave falls below the white line, it means that this wave of adjustment has evolved into an ABC killing wave, which is a wave of adjustment at the middle line level.
A weaker dividend index is not a bad thing, it indicates that the switch between high and low is coming! When the market stabilizes, the track of medicine and medical care, science and technology, and new energy vehicles is expected to be taken care of by funds.
Dark Horse is always the first time to prompt opportunities and warn of risks, and nearly 180 practical techniques have been shared in the column.
3. Liquor and semiconductor chips have plummeted, how do you see the market outlook?
Last Friday, a technical analysis of the liquor sector was made, which clearly pointed out that this week's surge is likely to rise and fall. Today, Moutai really dived, and the CSI liquor fell by more than 4%. Today's killing and falling efforts are too large, and the previous low may not be able to hold.
The semiconductor rushed to the first pressure level at the white line, which is the long-short resonance point, and there is a heavy hinge disk above. When the market was unfinished last week, it was clearly emphasized that it was unlikely that there would be a continuous rise in the upward attack, so when it rushed to the white line last week, it was a take-profit reduction position. This reduction is like a stroke of genius, it can't be said how high the technology is, it is a routine operation, maybe it is lucky. If you talk about luck, the luck of the dark horse has always been good, hehe.
Observe whether the 7.5-day low can be held, and if it can't hold, it will test the support of the purple line below.
Fourth, the demon stock leader has a daily limit, and intelligent driving is on the upper hand, can you still get on the car?
Intelligent driving is out of the sky, and the demon stock leader Volkswagen Transportation is closed again, soaring 143% in 12 trading days. This kind of hot topic belongs to the battlefield of short-term masters, which requires a strong sense of disk and high discipline. This week, this theme will be differentiated, and the volatility of individual stocks will intensify, so take it easy.
Fifth, Uncle commented on the hot search, what enlightenment can we get behind the phenomenon?
Take a look at Uncle's comments and smile, don't take it too seriously! A nonsensical comment can rush to the hot search, which shows that A shares are too under-rising! It's been a bear for more than 3 years, and people's minds are rising!
Yesterday, CITIC Securities opened sharply higher, and the trading volume was significantly enlarged, and apparently some people rushed in believing it, and as a result, they paid for their impulses today.
Real investment must be based on effective market laws and scientific investment logic, not on subjective speculation, let alone farce. There are a large number of investment dry goods articles in my column, all of which are the experience of the dark horse for many years, which can be said to be a treasure trove of practical technology.
Finally, please give a thumbs up, give encouragement and support, thank you very much!
The above content is personal opinion only and is not intended to be instructive. The mention of individual stock funds is only to record market views and the actual operation process, and accumulate materials for future creations, without making any recommendations, please do not blindly follow up. Past performance is not indicative of the future and investors should be aware of the risk of market volatility. Investment is risky, and you need to be cautious when entering the market!