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Just yesterday there was a good show in United States politics. Mr. Trump, who was originally proud of the spring breeze and thought he was in control, suddenly felt like someone had poured a basin of cold water on his face, and he was directly dumbfounded!
Mr. Trump was there the other day celebrating triumphantly, feeling that he had won the election. He wore a confident smile on his trademark orange face, and his fingers kept gesturing with a "V", as if the goddess of victory had beckoned to him. But who knows that there are unforeseen circumstances in the sky, and people have good and bad luck. Just halfway through the election, Biden suddenly announced that he was withdrawing from the election!
As soon as this news came out, it can be said that it dropped a bombshell in United States politics. Everyone is speculating, what's wrong with Biden? Is there something wrong with your body, or is it pressured by the party? In any case, this decision made the whole election situation instantly confusing.
The Democratic Party changed generals all of a sudden, and Harris, a little pepper, directly took the position of presidential candidate. Harris is not a good stubble, she has worked hard in politics for many years, from California Attorney General to Senator to Vice President, it can be said that she is experienced and capable.
Harris, a strong woman, is not a vegetarian, and she gave Trump a punch as soon as she came up. Within 24 hours of becoming a candidate, she raised $84 million in campaign funds! That's more than Biden and Trump combined, and it's making Wall Street's financiers so happy that they're scrambling to give Harris money, and it seems that they have a lot of confidence in the 59-year-old woman.
Behind this huge amount of money is Wall Street's support for Harris. In United States politics, the power of money cannot be underestimated. With the money, Harris was able to advertise across the country, organize rallies and hire more campaigners. This can be said to have given her a huge boost.
Not only that, but the latest poll results have made Trump unable to sit still. Some polls show that Harris's approval rating has surpassed Trump by 2 percentage points! In United States elections, 2 percent is not a small number. In some swing states, even a 0.1 percent margin can determine the belonging of an entire state.
At this time, Trump's "sure victory" instantly became "precarious". His iconic orange face has probably turned bitter melon color, right? It is conceivable that Trump must be pacing back and forth at his Mar-a-Lago estate right now, munching on his favorite burger and wondering how to respond to this sudden challenge.
In the United States, there are actually only two kinds of presidents: one is those traditional presidents who represent the interests of the elite, such as Clinton, George W. Bush, Obama and others; The other is a figure like Mr. Trump who represents "non-mainstream" interests.
Trump can be said to have offended the United States elite. The military-industrial complex, the Jewish plutocracy, financial capital, you name it, he has basically offended everything. A series of policies he pursued since taking office, such as trade protectionism, immigration restrictions, and withdrawal from international agreements, can be said to have made the establishment in Washington angry enough.
But don't think he's unsupported, on the contrary, he's the face of the working class, conservatives and Israel's Zionists. These groups are not small numbers in United States, and they feel that Trump is the only president who truly cares about their interests.
On the other hand, Harris's side is favored by Wall Street funders. These elites really have only one idea in mind: whoever is president, as long as it is not Trump! They feel that Trump is too uncontrollable, too out of line, and has done serious damage to the international image of United States.
Mr. Trump is having a hard time this time. First of all, age is a big problem. Although he is 3 years younger than Biden, compared to Harris, it is the gap between grandpa and granddaughter. If Mr. Harris was full of energy and Mr. Trump looked tired during a televised debate, it would be a huge blow to his image.
In addition, the sympathy votes he had accumulated before were slowly draining. In 2016, many voted for Trump because they felt he was an outsider who could change the corrupt status quo in Washington. But four years later, many people have found that Trump has not really "drained the swamp," but has made the situation worse.
Minority support for him is also pitifully low. Trump's tough stance on immigration policy and racial issues has kept his approval rating among minorities low. And minority votes in the United States are becoming increasingly important, especially in some key swing states.
Remember that 2020 election? At that time, there were a lot of "zombie votes" problems. Trump and his supporters have claimed massive election fraud, but have been unable to produce conclusive evidence. While popular with his die-hard supporters, it has also made many middle-of-the-road voters suspicious of him.
On January 6, 2021, Trump supporters even made a disturbance on Capitol Hill, and the scene was shocking to think about. Supporters stormed the Capitol, interrupting the certification process for Electoral College votes, resulting in multiple casualties. The incident arguably cast a shadow over Trump's political career, and many believe that he is responsible for the riot.
Interestingly, though, while Trump seems to be in a difficult position right now, some say that it would be good for China if he could return to the White House. Why? Because although Trump is tough on China on trade issues, geopolitically, he is actually an "isolationist" and does not like United States to meddle in international affairs. In this way, it gives China more international space.
But then again, if he does lose, the United States could be plunged into even greater social unrest. Trump supporters are quite loyal, and if they believe the election results are unfair, they are likely to take to the streets again to protest, and even more violent incidents may occur.
Some experts predict that from July 2024 to July 2025, the United States is likely to enter a period of the most chaotic and weak. Whether Trump or Harris is elected, there will be enormous challenges in the year. The aftermath of the pandemic, economic recovery, racial tensions, and climate change all require the new president to address them immediately.
As a female, African-American and Asian-American mixed-race person, Harris's identity itself is a big selling point. In the current context of the growing emphasis on diversity and inclusion in United States society, these characteristics of her identity may win her more voter support.
But Trump's side is not entirely without opportunities. Although he offended the elites, his approval ratings were quite high among ordinary workers and conservatives. Trump's "United States First" policy, while internationally criticized, has won a lot of support at home.
The problem now is that there are simply too many challenges for Mr. Trump. Age, low minority support, and the loss of sympathy votes are all difficulties he needs to overcome.
Don’t wait for prosperity to care for the things important to you. Trump wants to sit comfortably on the presidency, but the storm is coming one after another. From the day he announced his candidacy, the controversy has not stopped. But I have to say that it is this kind of controversy that has always made him occupy the headlines and maintain high exposure.
Then again, the election of either Trump or Harris is a huge challenge for United States. Because the problems facing the United States now cannot be solved by changing presidents. From economic issues to social contradictions, from international relations to domestic policies, every aspect needs to be handled carefully and carefully.
On the economic front, the United States now faces high inflation and potential recession risks. Whether it is Trump's tax cuts or Harris's possible large-scale government spending plan, it will have a profound impact on the United States economy.
Speaking of social problems, racial contradictions and the gap between the rich and the poor in United States have become more and more serious in recent years. Trump and Harris have worlds apart from each other on these issues. Trump tends to uphold traditional values, while Harris is more supportive of progressive policies. This divide reflects the deep-seated contradictions in United States society.
In terms of international relations, whether it is Trump's "United States First" or Harris's possible continuation of multilateralism, it will profoundly affect United States's role and status in the international arena. Especially in the face of hot issues such as the rise of China, the Russia issue, and the situation in the Middle East, the policy orientation of the new president will directly affect the global pattern.
Although it seems that Harris has the upper hand now, the outcome of the election is really difficult to say. After all, United States electoral system is quite complicated, and the Electoral College system alone is enough of a headache. In the 2016 election, Hillary · Clinton led Trump by nearly 3 million votes in the national popular vote, but ultimately lost the election because of the Electoral College system.
Coupled with the fact that there is still some time between now and the official elections, who knows if there will be any more variables? Politics is like that, it's changing rapidly. Maybe tomorrow there will be some earth-shattering news that will completely change the election.
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