1. POSCO VS Gimcheon Sangmu
Fundamentals: The home team has been much better than the visitors recently, with only one defeat in 10 games, a 3-game winning streak at home, 10 home games unbeaten and 10 unbeaten, and this defeat alone is the key answer to this game.
As for the away team, there are only two wins in 10 away games, and there is no confidence in the away win.
The fundamentals reflect that the contrast between the recent conditions of the two sides is very obvious.
In terms of past results, the home team has failed to win twice, and there are concerns about the home win.
The home team is second in the standings and the away team is third, with only one point separating them.
In terms of data, the initial attitude of still believing in the home team was given; Later adjustments to away wins.
In fact, the away team has been running wild since the promotion from K2 and has grown in strength. Many fans believed that the home team was at least unbeaten, and the result was unexpected, but it made sense.
2. Hammarby vs Mjallby
Fundamentally, both sides have recently won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3, and their form is evenly matched. The home record, Hammarby 5-2, the away record Mia 3-4, the home win is not absolutely confident, and the away team will not necessarily lose.
In terms of past results, the 2 Hammarby games played this season have a draw and a loss, which is a big blow to the home win, because the time of these two matches is very short from this game, which is of great reference significance. Moreover, the last 2 home games of the past record have been drawn, and there is a high possibility that this game will continue to be drawn.
In the standings, the away team is higher than the home team, with four more points than the home team, which is another blow to the home team.
In terms of data, catering to market expectations, an index that is extremely unfavorable to Hammarby is given, and the usual concessions are 4 gradients, but this one actually only gives 1 gradient, setting up obstacles to the home win.
As a result, Hammarby won 3-0.
3. Lilleström vs Sarpsborg
This game is also one of the author's recommended events yesterday, and I watched the whole game live.
In terms of track record, with 2 wins and 4 losses, the home team is at the bottom of the game. In terms of recent results, the home team is 514 and the away team is 316, and the home team is slightly better.
The home team has won 3 consecutive games at home, you see, it is another winning streak theme; Away teams alternate wins and losses away from home.
The home team is 8th and the away team is 14th in the standings, but the difference is only 2 points.
To sum up: the home team has been doing better than the away team recently, the home team has a winning streak at home, the home team is ranked higher than the away team in points, and all the benefits are pointing to the home win option.
In terms of data, it still gives the attitude of believing in the home team, and the intensity is even greater. Turning a blind eye to the 3-game losing streak in the past, he took advantage of the recent situation and the home winning streak to continue to give confidence to the home win.
As a result, the visitors led 2-0 at half-time, the home team tied in the second half, and the 2-2 draw surprised everyone. Can you predict that two teams that don't like to play a draw will end up in a draw? With a record of 0 draws and only 1 of 10 recent games each, this draw is really incredible. This is where the so-called low-probability event comes from.
Final Summary:
Pohang Steelers are unbeaten in 10 home games, and this one is defeated; Hammarby did not have the confidence to win, and the agency thought so, and the result was a big victory; Lillestrom has been in good form recently, with a high ranking and 3 consecutive home wins, and the institution has strengthened its confidence in winning at home and has come out with a draw.
Therefore, one of the main focuses of single-level events is unexpected, or few people can think of it. The basic law is that fundamentals are illusions, and strength is the decisive factor in the results. Pohang Steelers was double-killed in the first 2 games, which is enough to prove that the skills are not as good as others; Hammarby seems to be unstable, but its real strength is far above its opponents; Lillestrom seems to be ranked much higher, but in fact it is very close to Sarpsburg.
So, what exactly is the essence of football? I kept asking rhetorical questions, and in the end it was actually just four words: comprehensive strength.