I always believe that if Trump loses the 2024 election, then there is a real possibility of civil war in the United States, because the current United States has indeed reached the "zero point". The "Capitol Hill" and the "Trump assassination" are proof of this.
On July 22, Republican Senator George · Lang of Ohio delivered a speech at a local campaign rally in which he said: If Republican candidate Donald Trump loses the November election, he may have to fight a civil war to save United States.
The news was actually very important, but it didn't make much of a splash on the Chinese internet.
Why?
Because almost no one believes.
If everyone doesn't believe it, they won't forward it, and the spread will be very small.
However, I tell you that this news is by no means alarmist. On the contrary, it is highly likely to become a reality.
Don't rush to refute me yet, after reading the following article, if you still think I'm alarmist, then I have nothing to say.
I don't know if you've ever thought about a serious question: Why is the partisan struggle in United States so strong?
In the United States, in many ways, the political views of the Democratic Party and the Republican Party are almost completely opposite: the Democratic Party advocates globalization, and the Republican Party advocates anti-globalization; The Democrats demand the strengthening of government power, the Republicans demand a return to liberal capitalism; Democrats advocate tax hikes for the rich, while Republicans advocate tax cuts for the rich; Democrats advocate greater regulation, Republicans advocate deregulation......
The bottom line is that both parties are "evenly matched" and both have a large number of supporters behind them.
History has taught us that politics is the art of compromise.
There can be no politics without conflict, and without compromise, politics can only end in violent conflict.
There is little room for compromise between the two parties in United States today on many major issues. Not only is there no compromise between the Democrats and Republicans, but there is no room for compromise between the people, and supporters of different parties are on the same page.
Why is this happening?
There is only one answer: neither side can understand the other at all.
When one side is completely unable to understand the other, and even thinks that the other side is putting forward a complete joke, a mistake, and may even lead the country into an abyss from which it will never recover, do you think there is any room for compromise between the two sides?
That's how it is in United States!
What causes the United States people to not understand each other?
Eight words: class solidification, class segregation.
I'll give you a simple example, so it's easy for everyone to understand.
For example, I grew up in the countryside, changed my fate through studying, and now I have a car, a house, a little savings, a job, and I have no worries about food and clothing, and I am considered a middle-class person. Although I am a middle-class person, I grew up in the countryside, so I understand the lives of the people at the bottom very well and their hardships very well. In this context, if the state introduces a policy to benefit farmers, then I will understand and support it.
But, I tell you, not everyone understands it.
Some people think: agriculture is a profiteering industry, and farming is very profitable, so why abolish the agricultural tax? Not only can it not be canceled, but even the tax must be raised.
How did he come to the conclusion that "agriculture is profiteering"?
He said in the video: A seed is planted, and then you lie down, the seed will sprout and grow on its own, and finally 1 seed can produce 500 grains of grain and 500 times the profit, isn't this a huge profit?
According to his logic: since agriculture is a profiteering industry and the peasants are still so poor, it can only be said that the peasants are too lazy.
Don't think it's a joke, there are a lot of people who think this way, and there will be more and more.
Why did he think this way? Because he had never been in the countryside, he had never understood the peasants, and he had never been engaged in agriculture.
When I was in the company, I knew a person who grew up in the city since he was a child, and he was very envious of the life in the countryside, and even wanted to find a small mud house in the countryside to retire.
The reason why he has this idea is because he watched the live broadcast on Douyin and felt that the life of rural people is really good: raising flowers and planting grass every day, breathing fresh air, and eating green food...... That's a life like a fairy.
I grew up in the countryside, and I know what the real countryside is like, so I told him: you must not do that, life in the countryside is not as good as what you see on Douyin, what you see is only the best side of the countryside, and the bad side can only be understood by people who have lived in the countryside. In the summer, there is no air conditioning in such a mud house, and it will be so hot that you have nowhere to wait; There is no bathroom in the house, so if you want to take a shower, you can only make your own bucket to shower; The latrine is outside, and you have to go out in the middle of the night when you wake up, when mosquitoes will bite your buttocks; There are also no entertainment, hospitals, shopping malls, etc. in the countryside...... You are used to living in the city, and you may still feel new and fun to spend a few days in the countryside, but if you plan to retire there, you will soon be unable to stand it.
He didn't listen to what I told him, and he didn't think the problems I said were big problems and were very easy to solve.
As a result, he didn't make it to the countryside for even 10 days, so he went back in disgrace.
Before I resigned, I also had a colleague, a child of the oil field, who had lived in the city since he was a child and received a good education, so he always thought that he was very talented and capable, and the state-owned enterprises limited his development. In his vision, as long as he resigns and opens a store casually, he can't earn hundreds of thousands of dollars a year? If you go to a big city to work casually, you can't earn tens of thousands of dollars a month?
After he resigned, after he really entered the society, he realized that his ideas were too naïve, this society was not as simple as he imagined, and the money was not so easy to earn. Now, he can only honestly do an ordinary job with a meager salary.
……
Many things are not as simple as you think, you have to go through them to really understand.
Many times, it is useless for you to reason with a person, because he simply does not understand!
Many times, people can't teach people about many things, only things can teach people!
These conclusions are also something that I have come to understand after a lot of things I have experienced - although I have known these truths before, I have not been able to really understand them until I have actually experienced them.
Why are the people of United States torn? Why is the partisan struggle in United States so fierce?
Here's why: Many middle-class people in United States have never been to the slums, let alone experienced their lives, so they can't understand the lives of those at the bottom.
In 2010, United States a reporter wrote a book called "My Life at the Bottom", which had a score of 8.4 on Douban. It's about a columnist who abandons his old life, goes undercover to become a laborer at the bottom, and struggles to survive on a meager salary.
Many middle-class people in United States rely on this book to understand the lives of people at the bottom.
But understanding is one thing, understanding is another.
What's more, more middle-class people won't read the book, so they can't even do the most basic understanding.
In the eyes of many middle-class people, those who do not have any skills deserve low-end jobs and low wages; In the eyes of many middle classes, even if some people have little education and no skills, as long as they are not afraid of hardship, tiredness, and dirty, even if they sell coolies, they will live very well, so the fundamental reason for those who are poor at the bottom is laziness; Even, some middle class people believe that those people at the bottom are already the "negative assets" of society, those people are a burden to society, a waste of resources, and even a waste of air, and those people have no contribution to the whole society, and they are not even worthy of living......
I am sure that among those who read our article, there must be people who think like this.
Why would anyone have those thoughts above?
Because United States society has experienced serious class segregation and class solidification, each other cannot understand each other's world.
If different classes live in the same community, then different classes can understand each other. But once the class is segregated, the middle class and the rich live in big cities and upscale neighborhoods, and the people at the bottom live in slums, and there is almost no contact with each other, or even face-to-face, then how can the so-called "elites" understand the poor? This is called "class segregation".
What is "class solidification"?
My parents lived at the bottom of society, and I grew up with them, so I can understand the hardships of the people at the bottom - even if I get out of the bottom and become the so-called "middle class" through my own efforts, I can understand the people at the bottom. However, if a child has lived in a middle-class family since he was a child, has received a good education, and will still be middle-class when he grows up, then it will be difficult for him to understand the life of the people at the bottom.
For example, I was very worried about my child and that she would not know the hardships of life in the future, so every week I asked her to go back to the countryside and let her see how the peasants lived. Let her know how much money a farmer can earn in a hard year?
Children from low-class families will still be at the bottom when they grow up, and children from middle-class families will still be middle-class when they grow up, which forms the so-called "class solidification".
When class solidification and class segregation begin to emerge on a large scale, serious contradictions will arise between different classes: they cannot understand each other.
There is already serious class segregation and class solidification in the United States today.
The life of the United States people at the bottom is very difficult, and the cost of education in United States is very high, which is not at all affordable for those low-level families, so the children of low-level families are still low-level people when they grow up, and they lose the possibility of "promotion"; The children of the elite can receive a good education and will still be the elite when they grow up. The children of poor families will still be poor when they grow up, and the children of elite families will still be elites when they grow up, which has formed a serious class solidification.
In addition, property taxes in the United States have a lot to do with school districts. Property tax is the most important "land tax" in United States, and most of the property tax, more than 50%, or even 70% is used on schools, so it is also called "school district tax". This money is earmarked for school funds. If the housing prices in high-end communities are high, the taxes will naturally be more, so you can afford to hire good teachers and principals, and the school facilities are good, and the education of students will naturally be better. The reverse is a vicious circle, with slums with lower housing prices receiving less tax and less funding for schools.
In the United States, the rich and the poor are often separated by only one street, but this street is the dividing line between heaven and hell. This street completely separates the different classes, making it impossible to understand each other - the rich areas have strict security measures, and the poor cannot enter at all; The slum environment is very poor and the law and order is very chaotic, and the rich will not and dare not go to the slum.
When different classes are completely unable to understand each other, do you think there is any possibility of mediation between them?
When the different classes are completely unable to understand each other, the question arises: why not eat meat if there is no food?
Don't put the question "Why don't you eat minced meat?" This sentence was taken as a joke.
Why did Trump appear?
It is because the elite and the bottom of the United States have been completely decoupled, and the people at the bottom have completely lost confidence in the United States government.
It is precisely because the people at the bottom of the United States have completely lost confidence in the elite that when Trump appears, even if he does anything unthinkable, they will support him, because Trump is their only hope!
Seeing this, it seems that it is not difficult for you to understand that after Trump lost the election in 2020, the angry people at the bottom of United States launched the "Capitol Hill Incident" that shocked the world; Seeing this, you seem to understand Trump's assassination.
Now you can understand why the partisanship in United States is so serious, right? Can you understand why the policies of the two parties in the United States are almost completely opposite? Because the two parties in United States represent two classes, and these two classes simply cannot understand each other!
Politics is the art of compromise.
However, when the elite and the bottom class are completely unable to understand each other, there is no possibility of compromise between them, and eventually they will go to extremes and conflict erupt.
So, if Trump loses again in 2024, then a civil war in the United States is not out of the question.
Now United States is like a husband and wife, the young man is the bottom person, the wife is a rich family who has been pampered since childhood, these two people are combined, they cannot communicate with each other normally, and they will inevitably lose in the end!
To be honest, I'm very worried now, because there is already a trend of class segregation and class solidification in China - many urban people and elites can no longer understand the hardships of rural people and people at the bottom, otherwise there would be no such remarks as "agriculture is a profiteering industry".
If we want to prevent class solidification and class segregation, we must not follow the old path of United States, which is mainly reflected in two points:
First, the future property tax must not learn from United States, and the property tax cannot be linked to the school district, otherwise the rich will gather together;
Second, higher education must not be privatized, or it is necessary to ensure that the public institutions of higher learning are controlled by the government, otherwise the high tuition fees of higher education institutions will completely block the "promotion" channel of the people at the bottom.
Of course, there are more reasons for class segregation and class solidification in United States. For example, gate valve politics, capital control politics, etc. Therefore, we must not take the capitalist road, and anyone who wants to lead us down the capitalist road is guilty of the worst crimes.