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There are different opinions What exactly killed Chania?

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In the early morning of July 31, local time, the leader of the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas), Ismail · Haniyeh, was killed in an attack on his residence in Tehran, the capital of Iran, and both Iran and Hamas confirmed his death, as for who did it, the Iran Revolutionary Guard Corps officially said that the incident is still under investigation, while Hamas believes that the Israel Air Force launched an air strike, using precision-guided bombs or air-to-ground missiles to hit Haniyeh's residence.

There are different opinions What exactly killed Chania?

Now there are photos from the scene, the building where Haniyeh lives, located in the north of Tehran, only 150 meters from the Iran presidential palace, has been surrounded by a tarp, an earlier photo can see the broken windows, but there are almost no traces of the explosion.

It can be seen that the possibility of the Israel Air Force using precision-guided bombs or air-to-surface missiles is very low, otherwise, at least half of the building will have to be blown up, and the Israel Air Force will have to fly 1,500 kilometers and fly for 2 hours to carry out such a mission. And even the use of stealth F-35I is also very risky, air refueling is indispensable, escort fighters, AWACS aircraft, tankers, etc. may lead to operational exposure.

There are different opinions What exactly killed Chania?

Current Iran media reports insist that "the missile that killed Haniyeh was launched from a foreign country," while the Iran government says that the exact circumstances of the assassination, the location of the missile, etc., are still under investigation.

According to the Israel media, it was a "Spike" anti-tank missile that killed Chania. Israel's "Spike" missiles have now been developed to the sixth generation, and the range varies from one model to another, with a maximum range of 50 km, some with a range of 4-5 km, and a short-range version of the Spike SR with a range of only 800 meters. This missile is relatively convenient to use, it can be launched from helicopters, drones, buildings and even pickup trucks, its guidance system is also very advanced, with dual-band infrared guidance and visible light guidance capabilities, the seeker is equipped with a camera targeting system, and it can be launched if the coordinates are determined, without additional laser irradiation of the target, etc., no matter after launching, it is very accurate to hit a fixed target.

There is also suspicion that this is not a conventionally charged "Spike" missile, because the explosion mark is indeed too small, and it is likely to be a blade "Spike" missile similar to the American-made AGM-114R9X, which is not difficult for Israel.

There are different opinions What exactly killed Chania?

Now the problem is that even if it is known that Haniya lives in the Iran Revolutionary Guard Corps guest house, it is not easy to know which room to live in, two possibilities, one is that the top level of Iran's security services was infiltrated and leaked, and the other may be that Hania's mobile phone or other important belongings are precisely located, which is not simple.

However, if Israel's intelligence services did it, the assassination is not worth it, because it is likely to expose agents or insiders in important Iran departments, and for Hamas, it has even become accustomed to its leaders being assassinated and eliminated, Haniyeh is only a foreign representative, and the assassination of more important leaders such as Yassin and Rantisi has not led to destruction. And Israel's security environment has not improved except for drawing an X on another playing card.

For Iran, this operation once again exposed its seemingly tight security system, full of loopholes, there are many high-ranking officials and scientists who have been assassinated in Tehran over the years, and the methods used are also various tricks, motorcycle bombs, cars are installed with magnetic bombs, automatic weapon shooting, remote control machine gun shooting, etc., this time if it is finally determined to be a "spike" missile attack, it is another way. Even the capital, dignitaries, cannot be foolproof, and this may be what Israel wants Iran to see.

Take a look at the journalist: Li Suning

Editor: Li Suning

Editor-in-charge: Fang Liang