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China, Japan and South Korea newborns have dropped dramatically?
You can believe that the mainland is facing the same difficulties as Japan and South Korea, and now that the data on the number of newborns in each country in 23 years has been released, the situation of China, Japan and South Korea is not optimistic.
The hope of a country's future can be said to be all pinned on the number of newborns every year, and in the previous year, the number of newborns in Japan was only 720,000, and Korea was even worse, not even crossing the threshold of 300,000, only 235,000.
As a country with a large population, the number of newborns on the mainland is definitely much more than the two of them, but the birth rate is only 6.39 per thousand, and there is also a negative population growth, what is going on? Next, let's take a look at the demographic challenges faced by China, Japan, and South Korea from various perspectives.
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Japan has a record low
Let's talk about Japan first, their 727,277 newborn count is really a record, setting a new low in one fell swoop, 43,482 less than the previous year, and the average number of children for women is 1.2, which means that for every 1,000 women, only 1,200 newborns will be born.
In this way, many people think it's okay, in fact, this number is extremely low, 1000 women need 1000 men, that is to say, a total of 2000 people can give birth to 1200 people, directly 800 less, like this, it will only be less and less from generation to generation, how can the newborn population increase.
And this will lead to a new problem, that is, an aging society, the number of newborns is small, and the prime of life will become old age, and over time, young people on the streets of Japan will become a "scarce species", and the elderly will become an important part of society.
Of course, the mainland and Korea are also facing such problems, and Korea is even more serious, and this aspect is being popularized to you after talking about Japan.
In April this year, several Japan experts held a "strategy meeting" on population issues, according to which they said that almost half of Japan's 744 municipalities are at risk of disappearing, and by 2050, the number of women between the ages of 20 and 39 will be halved.
The reason for all this is inseparable from Japan's economic instability, Japan young people cannot do both work and childcare, because work, most of them choose to marry later, even if they are married, divorce will be caused by various ensuing child-rear-related problems.
According to statistics, the number of marriage registrations in Japan in 23 years is only 474,717 couples, and the number of divorce registrations is 183,808 couples, and the number of people who are white-headed to old age is not much, let alone the fertility rate.
And in 22 years, the number of people aged 65 and over in Japan accounted for 29% of the total number, if you think that this is it, then think that the situation in Japan is too good, of which the population aged 75 and over will account for 15.5%, according to this situation, by 2050, every 1.4 labor force will have to support one elderly person.
This will increase the burden on young people, making it more difficult to raise children, and the whole is like falling into a dead circle, and the acceleration of the aging population is undoubtedly the primary problem facing Japan.
20% of the population over 65 years old means that the country has entered a super-aging society, and Japan has obviously reached the target, while Korea seems to be more serious, and even the president said "If you don't have children, Korea will be extinct!" ”
Korea or the first to disappear?
Like Japan, the number of births in Korea in 23 years is also a new low, only 235,039, while the overall number is 51,325,329, but the difference is that Korea's aging situation is not as serious as Japan.
According to relevant data, the number of 65-year-old population in Korea accounts for 19.5% of the total population, which is one step away from a super-aging society. Of course, the number of newborns is too low.
"Living up to expectations", Busan, Korea, has shown signs of disappearing, its population has decreased from 3.88 million in 95 to 3.3 million, and its disappearance risk index is a figure obtained by dividing the golden reproductive age women aged 20 to 39 by the elderly population of 65 years old.
If it is 1.0 to 1.5, it means that it is normal, while 0.2 to 0.5 has entered the disappearing stage, and Busan is only 0.49.
At the same time, the national average of Korea is only 0.615, which can be said to be dancing on the edge of the cliff, and if it does not improve, it may become the first country to disappear naturally.
At this time, some old iron should be curious, obviously Japan is the most aging, why Korea has become a country with a high risk of disappearing, this question is easy to answer, that is, the overall number of people.
Although Japan is an island country, the total number of people is not small, and there will be 124.88 million people in 23 years, about twice that of Korea, so it will definitely be Korea "disappearing" first.
As for the reduction in the number of newborns, in addition to the work and economic aspects, there is also the equality of men and women.
Before Korea has always advocated absolute male power, you also know the scandals in various circles, according to 21 years of statistics, more than seventy percent of young women in Korea have been discriminated against.
With the development of the times, Korea women began to pay attention to their rights, thus giving birth to feminism, men are not used to women's rights, women are not used to men's rights, no one can see who will make up a couple to marry and raise children.
The Chinese population could be halved?
In the data released in January this year, the number of newborns in the mainland was 9.02 million, but the number of deaths was 11.1 million, so the overall negative growth was not too much, but it was not a good phenomenon.
The mainland has nearly 300 million elderly people over 60 years old, accounting for 21.1% of the total population, as if it has entered a moderately aging society.
The United Nations made a population outlook report on July 11, which mentioned that the population of the mainland may shrink to 630 million by 2100, compared with 1.4 billion today, this number is more than half.
I believe that some Lao Tie will think that it is not a good thing that the population of the mainland has declined a little, but we must understand that the focus of this article is that the decrease in the number of newborns is accompanied by the increase in the number of elderly people.
When the elderly are the majority in a society, the working-age labor force will be greatly reduced, which will have a great impact on the development of the country and the burden on the family.
The reason why the mainland is developing so rapidly is that the demographic dividend is an important factor, and the population will be more young and middle-aged, and the number of talented people in the field of scientific research will also increase.
end
At present, China, Japan and South Korea are actively improving the fertility rate and aging problems, and the mainland has begun to promote the construction of a childbirth-friendly society, and the maternity leave system and the maternity subsidy system are being carried out step by step.
In particular, the "three-child policy" contains a lot of improvements in childcare, reducing the cost of education, reducing the burden of parenting, strengthening maternity security, and so on.
At the same time, for the aging society, the mainland has not chosen to sit still, the development of the "silver economy" has long been put on the charter, I believe that with the country's policy support and the efforts of the mainland people, we China will continue to move forward in a better direction!
Reference sources
Global Times2024-01-17 12:21Beijing - Latest! The 2023 birth population data is released
Guangming.com2024-01-03 10:52 - Statistics say that Korea's birth population in 2023 will be 235,000, a record low
Xinhuanet2024-06-05 21:28Beijing – Japan's total fertility rate in 2023 will hit a record low