The Iran Israel suffered a severe blow and humiliation as a result of the assassination of Hamas Politburo Chairman Haniyeh in Tehran, the capital of Iran, and also during the inauguration of the new president of Iran. Therefore, Khamenei angrily stated that Iran would launch a fierce retaliation against Israel. Iran is not the only one that will retaliate against Israel, the Lebanon Allah Party will also launch an attack on Israel, because almost at the same time, Israeli air strikes on Beirut killed the senior commander of the Allah Party, Shukur. Israel is escalating the regional situation, obviously to provoke Iran and Allah and trigger a larger war. In this way, the United States can also be pulled into the water. With such a big fight, Netanyahu has a chance to get out of the trap. The United States has long seen through the minds of the Israelis, they do not want to be dragged into the war, so they try to hold secret talks with the Iran side.
According to Kuwait media, diplomats from United States secretly flew from Turkey to the northern Iran city of Karati, and held secret talks with Iran high-level officials under the mediation of Oman. The request of the United States is simple: they hope that Iran will not retaliate against Israel, because that would likely lead to a large-scale war. Once the war starts, the U.S. military will have to intervene, and then it will inevitably be a big battle in which both sides will lose.
On August 4, Jordan's Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Safadi flew urgently to Tehran, Iran, after two lengthy telephone talks with Iran's deputy, Ali · Bagheri Kaney. This time he flew to Tehran and brought a message from King Abdullah II of Jordan, in fact, the core content of which is that Iran should not retaliate against Israel.
In fact, Iran is also very worried about the outbreak of a major war at this time. In the face of many provocations by Israel and even United States before, Iran has maintained a high degree of restraint. But this time, Iran, although very clear about the situation and the consequences, still rejected the United States' proposal. For Iran, it is really not okay not to retaliate this time, or even to say that it will not retaliate violently.
Israel's assassination of Haniyeh in Tehran this time was indeed too much. Hamas is the external force that Iran has painstakingly propped up for many years, and it is also the forefront of the fight against Israel. Hamas, which has just suffered heavy losses in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, is still fighting fiercely with Israeli forces in Gaza. Haniyeh, as chairman of the Hamas Politburo, travels to Tehran to attend the inauguration ceremony of the new president of Iran, and the Iran side naturally treats him as a distinguished guest, not only receiving high-level receptions, but also arranging the highest level of security measures. But the Iranians did not expect that such an important guest would be blown up by the Israelis in their capital. This attack not only caused Iran heavy losses, but also made Iran a laughing stock all over the world, and it can only be said that Iran's intelligence system leaked like a sieve.
Iran and Israel have been sworn enemies for decades, and the Mossad has repeatedly carried out explosions and assassinated important figures inside Israel, so Iranians hate Israel to the core. This time is equivalent to another slap in the face of Iran in public, how can the already strong Iranians endure? They must retaliate, and violently, or Iran's president and supreme leader will not have to do it.
According to reports, a person familiar with the matter revealed that after the secret talks, United States Secretary of State Blinken informed the G7 foreign ministers that Iran was likely to launch a retaliatory attack within 24 hours. Subsequently, the countries concerned informed their citizens of Israel and Lebanon to leave immediately. Iran's retaliation is about to begin.
The US military has urgently dispatched troops to reinforce the Middle East, and a new aircraft carrier strike group will also be deployed to the Middle East. United States is very worried about the outbreak of a major war in the Middle East, even if Iran's retaliation this time will be as restrained as last time, and it has been disclosed to the United States in advance. However, it cannot be ruled out that the Lebanon Allah party will carry out real retaliation. In fact, since Soleimani's death, the so-called "Arc of Resistance" has been unhappy with the weakness of Iran's top brass. This time, Israel attacked their capital, killing their senior commanders and civilians, and the Lebanon Allah Party may not be able to exercise restraint as Iran does, and they are much stronger than Hamas.
All in all, a fierce retaliatory action is about to begin, and whether it will lead to a big war depends on how well Iran and Lebanon grasp the proportions!