Sail to the sea, meet you, the United States and Japan, the more you play, the more you will meet. Hello everyone, I am Lao Hong Cube, today is the beginning of a new week, I hope that the good day will continue from here, and good luck will continue. The heart rises in dimension, and the dimension decreases in things.
Today's chat: Wang Yangming, who is known as a saint with Confucius, has entered Beijing 3 times to take the exam, and only when he was 28 years old did he become a jinshi, you must know that the average life expectancy of the emperor of the Ming Dynasty at that time was about 40 years old, which is equivalent to saying that Wang Yangming's life has passed more than half of his life, maybe many people will feel that it is too procrastinating, and the gains outweigh the losses, and he does not care. His classmates were sad and indignant because they didn't pass the exam, but he persuaded: "The world is ashamed of not being the first, and I am ashamed of not being tempted", simply put, everyone in the world is ashamed of not being in the middle, but I am ashamed of not being in the middle. This kind of calmness and courage is also very within the reach of ordinary people.
Later, he went to the officialdom, but because he offended the eunuchs, he was demoted to Longchang in Guizhou, which was a very desolate place at that time, and there was not even a house to live in. But it was also because of here that he saw the real world, his body was damaged, he saw the suffering of the world, experienced life and death, and also coexisted peacefully with the locals, farming, watering, food, clothing, housing and transportation were all done by himself, building a home, and his life gradually improved. It was also in this process that Tatsuba became enlightened, he founded the "study of the heart", forgot the bitterness of being degraded, and reaped happiness and hope for life.
This is a typical spiritual enjoyment and abundance, a little bit of hard work in things, a higher dimensional perspective in life, a different mentality in the face of difficulties, the same ability to maintain firmness and self-confidence, we do not need to wait for the wind and rain to pass before moving forward, but to learn to dance in the wind and rain. It's like we're in a labyrinth, no matter how you walk, it's a wall, but if you stand on top of the maze, it's a road.
US-Japan Yihui: Let's take a look at the news worth paying attention to in the market this week:
1. At 23:00 this evening, the United States New York Fed 1-year inflation expectation for July The previous value of 3.02% The forecast value has not yet been released It has an impact on the US dollar
2. At 08:00 on Tuesday morning, Trump gave a bombshell interview with Musk It may have an impact on the dollar
3. At 20:30 on Tuesday evening, the annual rate of PPI in United States in July was 2.6% in the previous value and the forecast value was 2.3% It has an impact on the dollar
4. At 01:15 a.m. on Wednesday, Atlanta Fed President Bostic gave a speech on the economy that had an impact on the dollar
5. At 10:00 a.m. on Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rate decision and New Zealand Fed President Orr's monetary policy press conference an hour later 5.5% Previous 5.5% Forecast 5.5% has a big impact on the New Zealand dollar
6. At 17:00 p.m. on Wednesday, the annual rate of GDP in the second quarter of the euro area was revised 0.6% in the previous value and 0.6% in the forecast value has an impact on the euro
7. At 20:30 on Wednesday evening, the seasonally adjusted CPI annual rate at the end of July in United States was 3% in the previous value and 3% in the forecast value has a great impact on the US dollar
8. At 22:30 on Wednesday evening, the previous value of United States' weekly EIA crude oil inventories was -372.8 The forecast value has not yet been announced, which has a great impact on crude oil
9. Thursday at 14:00 p.m. United Kingdom's Q2 GDP monthly rate 0.3% previous forecast 0.9% has an impact on the pound
10. At 20:30 on Thursday evening, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week was 23.3 in the previous value and 23.6 in the forecast had an impact on the dollar
11. Thursday evening at 20:30 United States retail sales in July 0% previous value forecast value 0.4% has a relatively large impact on the dollar
12. Thursday evening at 21:10 St. Louis Fed President Moussamlay's speech on United States economic and monetary policy has an impact on the dollar
13. At 21:15 on Thursday evening, United States' industrial production in July was 0.6% in the previous month, and the forecast was -0.3%, which had an impact on the dollar
14. Thursday evening at 22:00 United States NAHB housing market index for August Previous value 42 Forecast value 43 has an impact on the US dollar
15. At 01:10 a.m. on Friday, Philadelphia Fed President Harker delivered a speech that had an impact on the dollar
16. Friday at 14:00 p.m. United Kingdom seasonally adjusted retail sales in July -1.2% previous forecast 0.6% has an impact on the pound
17. At 20:30 on Friday evening, the total number of housing starts in United States in July was annualized 135.3 previous and 133.5 forecast
18. At 22:00 on Friday evening, the preliminary United States one-year inflation rate forecast for August was 2.9% in the previous value and the forecast value was 2.9% It has an impact on the US dollar
19. At 01:25 a.m. on Saturday, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee participates in a fireside chat which has an impact on the US dollar
Overall, this week, we will mainly focus on the above 19 events and prepare for risk control in advance, especially the CPI data at half past eight on Wednesday night, when the market will be volatile, please pay attention to market risks.
Today's U.S. and Japan, the four-hour K-line is between the moving averages of 30 and 60, and the KDJ three-line diverges around 50.
The current price is 146.96, the turning point is 147.20, the upper pressure level is 149.70, and the lower support level is 144.50.
From a fundamental point of view, the dollar has been slightly lower recently, and so is the yen, although the yen has raised interest rates, but the high-level speeches have been dovish, and the yen's carry trade has come to an end, and the yen also has the probability of weakening. This week, the main focus is on how the CPI data will affect the Fed's expectations of a rate cut, which in turn will affect the dollar.
The above is purely a personal opinion, for reference only, investment is risky, you need to be cautious when entering the market!
Trading chatter: many people will be more or less exposed to a lot of books on technology and analysis when they first come into contact with the market, such as "Trading Rules", "Turtle Trading Rules", "Trading System" and the like, there will be a period of time obsessed with technical indicators, hoping to see through the market through these indicator tools, and then understand the system, and pay attention to the waves, Gann, Dow, and even the so-called entanglement theory, etc., it seems that a lot of content will be applied to the real trading market. You will find that the difficulty of this will rise a lot, and it is different from the product fluctuations or the time cycle that is said in the book, and in the end, you will get half of the real learning and half of the self-created half-bucket water shape.
The market is very simple, so simple that it only takes a click of the mouse to enter and exit, and it is also very complicated, so complex that it is a life-or-death situation.
Delusional use of a mechanical, set or a simple theory to build a system, in the face of such a complex and changeable market is basically no chance of winning, because many systems are their own subjective things, and the market will care who you are and what you want to do, how it wants to go, how far it wants to go, but after understanding this, it is just a little bit of understanding the market, and more of the essence of the market, but need to do more, feel more, and always keep updated, continuous progress may be the right way.
The full text is over, thank you for reading, if you feel good, feel free to pay attention, and we'll see you next time!
