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△Positioning of Typhoon "Bebinca" (Central Meteorological Observatory/Fa)
People's Voice of the World, September 15, Beijing Express In the blink of an eye, the traditional 24 solar terms of "white dew" have arrived. On the national weather stage this week (September 9-September 15), in the opinion of experts, the subtropical high remains strong; But. The cold air is also active; During this period, some cold air can penetrate southward from low altitudes. Therefore, although the high temperature in the south is still there, it will be reduced from last week. On the northern edge and interior of the subtropical high, it rains a lot because of the convergence of cold and warm. Rain and cold air will also bring cooling; As a result, the temperature in the north will fluctuate a lot.
△Satellite monitoring of Typhoon "Bebinca" (Fengyun-4 satellite/Fa)
The monitoring data shows that at 10 o'clock today (15th), the center of Typhoon "Bebinca", the 13th typhoon of this year (2024), entered the 24-hour warning zone. The vertical wind shear is smaller along its path and the sea surface temperature is relatively high, so it is conducive to strengthening. Judging from the satellite image, the edge of "Bebinca" is hairy, corresponding to the divergence of high-altitude cirrus clouds; Therefore, the high-altitude outflow from the south side of "Bebinca" will increase today, which is also conducive to its strengthening. However, there may be some dry air in the mid-layer just before landfall, which may weaken slightly.
△ Situation Field Numerical Model Forecast (Central Meteorological Observatory/Fa)
It is worth noting that industry insiders emphasized that it is not difficult to find that as experts say, although Typhoon "Bebinca" is not large, it is actually capable of its core and boosted by high sea temperatures; As it approaches the East China Sea, it will become more intense and the center will become more compact. When it makes landfall on the mainland, it is at least a typhoon, and it can even reach a strong typhoon, which is a small and compact type. Therefore, although the impact area of the strong wind and rain caused by it is relatively small, the intensity of the wind and rain near the landing site will be very large. For people in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai and their surrounding areas, it is necessary to be vigilant against the occurrence of secondary disasters and urban waterlogging. (Editor-in-charge/Xiangyu)
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