Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal
League: 2024-2025 English Premier League (20 teams in total)
Premier League 21:00 Tottenham Hotspur VS Arsenal Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium Weather: Occasional clouds Temperature: 17°C~18°C
Tottenham Hotspur (home team) has 25 players, the whole team is worth €768.3m, 16 members of the national team, and the average age is 25.3 years:
Record in the last 6 games: 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, 24 goals scored in the last 10 games, 15 goals conceded, and 9 goal difference.
League Standing: 3 matches, 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, 4 points, ranked 13th (midstream)
Home results: 5 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses
Personnel situation: (main striker) Richarlison, (main midfielder) Bissouma injured and unable to play.
Tottenham Hotspur's Dominic · Solanke and Donny van der Ven should return to the starting line-up, with the former making his home league debut on Sunday.
After Tottenham Hotspur put in a strong performance against Newcastle United, Brennan · Johnson wants to start against Arsenal.
Tottenham Hotspur's Richarlison was injured in training, as was midfielder Bissouma, and neither was available for the game.
Tottenham Hotspur's Bentancur, who has been charged by the FA for his comments against captain Son Heung-min this summer, must respond by 19 September.
Team fighting spirit: Tottenham Hotspur lost 1-2 away to Newcastle United in the last round, this game is at home, and it is the focus of the Premier League north London derby.
Team update: Tottenham Hotspur have scored a total of 9 goals in the last 5 games, with an average of nearly 2 goals per game, and the offensive side is full of firepower.
Tottenham Hotspur have won just one of their last five matches and have been in poor form lately.
Tottenham Hotspur have conceded 8 goals in the last 5 games, an average of nearly 2 goals per game, and the defensive performance is poor.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal
Arsenal (away) has 22 players, the whole team is worth €1170m, 19 members of the national team, and the average age is 26.6 years:
Record in the last 6 games:4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 18 goals scored in the last 10 games, 7 goals conceded, and 11 goal difference.
League standing: 3 matches, 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, 7 points, 6th place (middle and upper reach)
Away results: 6 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses
Personnel: (new central defender) Calafiori, (main left-back) Tierney, (substitute right-back) Tomiyasu Kenhiro, (new central midfielder) Mikel· Merino, (main central midfielder, captain of the team) Martin · Odegaard (main midfielder) Declan · Rice Banned from playing.
Arsenal's Ricardo · Calafiori is still available for action despite suffering a calf injury in international competition, while Gabriel Jesus is also expected to recover in time.
Raheem Sterling is expected to make his debut after moving from Chelsea to Arsenal on transfer deadline day.
Rice, who was suspended after receiving a red card against Brighton, was absent along with three injured players, Kenhiro Tomiyasu, Tierney and Merino.
The biggest blow for Arsenal was captain Odegaard who suffered a serious ankle injury in Norway's 2-1 win over Austria and was unable to play.
Fighting spirit: Arsenal have had a lot of injuries recently, and the incomplete squad is the biggest problem for manager Mikel Arteta, who is away to Tottenham Hotspur in the north London derby.
Team update: Arsenal are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning four of them, and the team has been in good form recently.
Arsenal have scored a total of 11 goals in the last 5 games, with an average of more than 2 goals per game, and the offensive side is full of firepower.
Arsenal have conceded 2 goals in the last 5 games, an average of less than 1 goal per game, and the defensive performance is excellent.
Recent all-time meetings between the two teams: 55 meetings between the two sides in total, Tottenham Hotspur have a record of 13 wins, 20 draws and 22 defeats, which is the underdog.
In the last 8 meetings between the two sides, Arsenal have scored 15 goals and conceded 11 goals, and the offensive and defensive statistics are in the advantage.
In terms of the same handicap: Initial handicap: the home team concedes half a half, the home team has the same handicap trend in the last 6 games as this game: lose, lose, lose, win, lose, win,
Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal
Pre-Match Briefing:
The Premier League returns this weekend after the international break, with Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal facing off in a north London derby on Sunday afternoon.
Arsenal are unbeaten this season, having picked up seven points from nine points, while Tottenham have one win, one draw and one defeat.
Tottenham suffered their first defeat of the season before the international break, losing 2-1 at Newcastle United. In that game, despite Tottenham having 66 per cent possession and 20 shots on goal, Ange · Postecoglou's side were unable to overcome a solid defence and sharp counter-attacking Newcastle United.
Tottenham drew 1-1 with Leicester City in their opening game of the season and then thrashed Everton 4-0, but failed to pass their first major test in the game two weeks earlier.
Still, Tottenham can draw confidence from last season's home record, having won 13 of their 19 Premier League home games last season.
Arsenal, on the other hand, have had a strong start to the season, winning 2-0 against Wolverhampton Wanderers and Aston Villa, with four different players scoring for the team.
However, before the international break, Arsenal drew 1-1 with Brighton and Declan · Rice's red card in the 49th minute affected the team's performance.
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 10 Premier League away matches due to a strong run of form at the end of last season.
Having lost just three of their last 25 matches in all competitions, Arsenal are confident of a positive result this weekend.
Head-to-head record: Tottenham have failed to win their last four Premier League meetings with Arsenal, suffering three defeats in that run.
Considering that over 2.5 goals have been scored in nine of the last 12 league meetings, this north London derby could well be another high-scoring game.
Tottenham have won just one of their last seven league meetings with Arsenal, leaving them without much fond memories of this game.
Tottenham are likely to adopt a 4-3-3 formation and are expected to start in the following line-ups: Guglielmo· Vicario, Pedro· Poro, Christian · Romero, Mikey · Van der Veen, Destini· Udoghi, Pape· Sarr, Rodrygo· Bentancur, James · Maddison, Dejan· Kulusevski, Dominic· Solanke and Son Heung-min.
Arsenal boss Mikel · Arteta has a number of players absent. Riccardo · Calafiori (calf problems), Kieran · Tierney (hamstring injury), Martin · Odegaard (sprained ankle), Tomiyasu Kenhiro (knee injury) and Mikel · Merino (shoulder injury) are unavailable.
Arsenal are most likely to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation and are expected to start · David Raya, White, Willian·· Saliba, Gabriel, Jurien· Timber, Jorginho, Thomas· Partey, Bukayo· Saka, Kai· Havertz, Gabriel· Martinelli and Leandro · Trossard.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal
1. Strength analysis
- Tottenham Hotspur last 10 games: 24 goals scored, 15 goals conceded, goal difference 9.
- Arsenal last 10 games: 18 goals scored, 7 goals conceded, goal difference 11.
- Arsenal have a 0.2 goal advantage in the absolute theoretical world.
2. State analysis
- Tottenham Hotspur: The last 6 games have a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, and total 7 points.
- Arsenal: The last 6 games have a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, accumulating 13 points.
- The difference in form points between the two teams is six points, indicating that Arsenal have a clear advantage in form. In addition, Tottenham's main striker Richarlison and main midfielder Bissouma are absent due to injury, while Arsenal's main defenders Declan Declan · Rice, Tomiyasu Kenhiro, Tierney and Odegaard are also unable to play due to injury.
3. Analysis of fighting spirit
- Tottenham Hotspur: Currently in the middle of the table, 13th, there is a need to fight for a better position. And this is a north London derby, so they are full of fighting spirit, especially when playing at home, they are more eager to win.
- Arsenal: As a mid-table side, Arsenal are currently just behind their rivals for a Champions League spot, so they are just as strong.
4. Asian Indices
- In the initial handicap, the home team conceded half a half, and the water level was 0.91 for the home team and 0.97 for the away team.
- The current live handicap is a draw for the home team, with the water level at 1.09 for the home team and 0.83 for the away team.
- Initial session (early September): Most institutions opened with Arsenal handicap/hemisphere-hemisphere, suggesting that the initial market expectation for Arsenal was slightly stronger than Tottenham. The earliest markets tended to favour Arsenal with an edge, but Tottenham Hotspur were not entirely at the back.
- Medium-term volatility (mid-September): As can be seen from the data, between September 6 and September 13, the market sometimes fell back from "push/hemisphere" to "push", indicating a gradual decline in market confidence and a gradual weakening of Arsenal's advantage.
- Recent ticks (15 September): The latest ticks show that most of the markets are back to a push, and the water level has changed, with Tottenham's water level gradually decreasing from its initial high, indicating that the market's confidence in Tottenham is gradually increasing. Some institutions have even begun to look to Tottenham as a slightly advantaged side.
- As can be seen from the trend of the water level, the water level in Tottenham has continued to fall, especially in the recent session, reflecting the overall trend of the market. In the draw, Tottenham's slip shows that the market believes that Tottenham have a better chance of winning at home or at least remaining unbeaten.
5. Institutional Bottom Line
- Win: 3.00/2.80=1.07
- Draw: 3.60/3.65=0.99
- Negative: 2.30/2.01=1.14
- None of the values exceed the institutional bottom line of 1.2, and no one option can be directly excluded.
6. Handicap fixing
- Tottenham (mid-stream) vs Arsenal (mid-top), away mid-table teams against mid-table teams, theoretically a reasonable handicap should be Arsenal handicap 0.5 goals. Arsenal handicap in the early handicap, which is consistent with the theoretical handicap, and the game is a real opening.
7. Analysis of the trend of wins, draws and losses
- In the intraday, institutions generally lowered the water level of the home win, raising the expectation of the home win. The drop in home wins and the rise in home win percentage suggest that Tottenham Hotspur is considered by the market to be more likely to be at least unbeaten at home.
- The overall increase in the level of away wins and the decline in the away win rate indicate that the market's confidence in Arsenal's victory in this game has weakened. Despite Arsenal's strength advantage in terms of fundamentals, the tick level reflects increased uncertainty about their away game.
- The draw level has been slightly lowered and the draw rate has increased, which means that the probability of a draw in this game has increased compared to the initial set, but not by much.
Win transaction data
8. Transaction data analysis
- The trading price of the home win has dropped from a high of 3.75 to around 2.84, and the turnover has gradually increased as the price has fallen, indicating that more and more money is entering the main win direction. This shows that the market's confidence in Tottenham Hotspur is growing. The price and volume curve showed a clear downward trend, which, combined with the increase in turnover, reflected the gradual increase in market expectations for Tottenham's home win.
- Away wins were the most volatile, but the gradual rise in prices from the lows suggests that while there is plenty of money backing Arsenal to win, market confidence has weakened, possibly related to Tottenham's home performance or Arsenal's injuries. Looking at the transaction trend, the price of the away win is gradually rising to 2.52, indicating that the confidence of funds in Arsenal's away win has diminished, which is in contrast to the inflow of funds into Tottenham Hotspur's home win.
- The volume of the draw was relatively low, with the most traded price at 3.75, and the traded price remained relatively high, indicating that the market did not have strong expectations for a draw. The low turnover and stable prices show that the market is less concerned about the possibility of a draw, and most of the money is more inclined to win and lose.
Final Lottery Prediction Suggestion: Home +1 Win Two to Two
Statement: I only provide pre-game information and China Sports Lottery and Beijing single game analysis and prediction, most of the data from the network collection, analysis is only a personal opinion for reference only, please buy a reasonable regular lottery.